What is Geoffrey Harker's strike rate?

Geoffrey Harker has won 29 of 350 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Geoffrey Harker do best at?

Thirsk by strike rate: 5 wins from 39 runners (12.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Geoffrey Harker?

Sam James, with 94 runners since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (10.6%).

Is Geoffrey Harker in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Geoffrey Harker's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 347 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Geoffrey Harker

350 runners in the last 5 seasons · 26 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

29–350

Wins / Runs

8.3%

Strike rate

n=350

96 (27%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=347 · 0.78 incl. margin

−42.80

£1 level stake

n=350 at SP · −12.2%

£325k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.90). With a claiming rider up the record reads 14% (37 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 350 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10% Sam James: 10.6% from 94 Claiming riders: 13.5%

The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 13.5% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.99). Sam James rides 27% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.6% vs 8.3%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 61-180-day break (13.3%, n=30). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 3.3% over 30 runners, 5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.49 across 93 runners (4.3% strike, −54.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Eijaaz (IRE) — 11 wins from 70 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10%+1.7

n=50 · A/E 1.66 · £1 +12.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

18.8%+10.5

n=16 · A/E 2.74 · £1 +0.50

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.3

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−8.3

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.7%−0.6

n=26 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −11.50

When favourite

26.7%

n=15 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −1.63

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.5%+5.2

n=37 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +10.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.7% vs 8.3% · n=30

With claiming riders up 13.5% vs 8.3% · n=37

Over 1m – 1m1f 4.3% vs 8.3% · n=93

With Shane Gray 3.2% vs 8.3% · n=31

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 3.3% vs 8.3% · n=30

Off a 61-180-day break 13.3% vs 8.3% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 349 29 8.3% −41.80

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 110 9 8.2% −39.88

Good 97 9 9.3% −0.75

Good to Firm 87 7 8% +14.83

Soft 28 2 7.1% −13.00

Good to Soft 26 2 7.7% −2.00

Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 93 8 8.6% −29.38

Thirsk 39 5 12.8% +10.33

Redcar 38 2 5.3% +0.00

Doncaster 29 1 3.4% −3.00

Catterick 27 6 22.2% +29.00

Beverley 24 4 16.7% +32.50

York 19 0 0% −19.00

Ripon 14 0 0% −14.00

Southwell (AW) 13 1 7.7% −6.50

Wetherby 11 0 0% −11.00

Carlisle 7 0 0% −7.00

Haydock 6 0 0% −6.00

Ayr 5 0 0% −5.00

Pontefract 5 1 20% −1.75

Hamilton 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 113 12 10.6% −5.13

Class 5 104 9 8.7% +13.50

Class 4 67 5 7.5% −14.50

Class 3 39 3 7.7% −9.67

Class 2 27 0 0% −27.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 21 5 23.8% 0.96 −4.13

2nd–3rd fav 67 8 11.9% 0.81 −14.67

4th–6th fav 113 8 7.1% 0.81 −32.00

7th+ in betting 149 8 5.4% 1.19 +8.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rum Runner (GB)from Richard Hannon 38 2 7 9 Sep 25

Mudamer (IRE)from Kevin Prendergast 34 4 10 19 Oct 26

Travis (GB)from George Boughey 33 2 11 16 Oct 26

Powerful Response (IRE)from Edward Bethell 29 2 9 22 May 26

Rocket Rod (IRE)from Hugo Palmer 27 4 11 2 Jun 26

Scottish Summit (IRE)from Sir Michael Stoute 24 2 8 7 Sep 24

Key Look (IRE)from Kevin Frost 23 2 7 3 Jun 24

Rhythm Master (IRE)from James Horton 21 1 6 4 Oct 25

Hail Sezer (GB) 19 3 5 14 Jul 25

Sydney Bay (GB)from Ann Duffield 14 2 4 4 Feb 25

Animate (IRE)from Simon & Ed Crisford 13 1 2 28 Jul 25

Sir Yoshi (IRE)from David Marnane 10 0 0 17 Oct 26

All 26 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 26 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Archie Watson (2); 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

000791281352060

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSam James

27% of all rides
10.6% SR · A/E 1.26

RiderRWSR£1

Sam James 94 10 10.6% +14.37

David Allan 32 2 6.3% −16.00

Shane Gray 31 1 3.2% −20.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

180

Archived wins

£1.28m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 20 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Scottish Summit (IRE) — Sky Bet Handicap Thirsk · May 2023 · Class 3

£13,500

Ginger Jack (GB) — John Smith's Redcar Straight-Mile Championship Final Handicap Redcar · Oct 2012 · Class 2

£12,450

City of The Kings (IRE) — John Smith's 'No Nonsense Racing' Handicap York · Jul 2009 · Class 2

£11,657

Notable horses

Eijaaz (IRE) Scottish Summit (IRE) Shamaheart (IRE) Eldelbar (SPA) Key Look (IRE) Cabal (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 9.1% · 5–55

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,898 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Havana Gold (IRE) 6.4% · 3–47

Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,056 runs since 2008 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 117. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.

Australia (GB) 14.6% · 6–41

Progeny have won 11.1% of 5,656 runs since 2008 (564 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Shamardal (USA) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,412 runs since 2008 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Advertise (GB) 6.1% · 2–33

Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,547 runs since 2008 (151 horses).

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,168 runs since 2008 (661 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,191.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,181 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,181 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mo Anam Chara (IRE)J: Andrew Mullen Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 14/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mudamer (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 18/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Sir Yoshi (IRE)J: Sam James William Hill Catterick Dash Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 14/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Travis (GB)J: Jake Dickson racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 18 ran 13th 10/1

10 Oct 26 York Mr King (IRE)J: David Nolan Sky Bet Peter Nolan Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 20 ran 17th 40/1

30 Sep 26 Catterick Mo Anam Chara (IRE)J: Jake Dickson Bet At racingtv.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 5th 9/4

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Travis (GB)J: Sean Kirrane Mwh Treatment Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 12/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Hey Havana (IRE)J: P. J. McDonald Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 8/1

22 Sep 26 Beverley Mudamer (IRE)J: David Nolan Fango Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 7/1

22 Sep 26 Beverley Mr King (IRE)J: David Nolan Fango Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 16/1

21 Sep 26 Hamilton Sir Yoshi (IRE)J: Jake Dickson Sir Ian Good Memorial Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 17/2

14 Sep 26 Thirsk Mo Anam Chara (IRE)J: Jake Dickson decronhorsecare.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 1st 5/2J

09 Sep 26 Redcar Hey Havana (IRE)J: P J McDonald Constant Security Services Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 8th 5/1

09 Sep 26 Redcar Golden Redemption (USA)J: Oisin McSweeney racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 11th 66/1

09 Sep 26 Redcar Travis (GB)J: Oisin McSweeney Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 15 ran 11th 6/1

29 Aug 26 Beverley Mudamer (IRE)J: Oisin McSweeney Churchill Tyres Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7.5f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 20/1

29 Aug 26 Beverley Sir Yoshi (IRE)J: David Nolan Blink And You Miss It Sprint Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 6/1

27 Aug 26 Carlisle Hey Havana (IRE)J: P J McDonald Racing Again Wednesday 9th Sept Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 11f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 6/1

22 Aug 26 Redcar Mr King (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Marske Fabrications And Engineering Handicap Stakes (Marske Fabrications And Engineering Straight Mile Qualifier)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 5th 3/1

21 Aug 26 Hamilton Sir Yoshi (IRE)J: David Nolan Acrisure Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Geoffrey Harker's strike rate?: Geoffrey Harker has won 29 of 350 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Geoffrey Harker do best at?: Thirsk by strike rate: 5 wins from 39 runners (12.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Geoffrey Harker?: Sam James, with 94 runners since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (10.6%).
Is Geoffrey Harker in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Geoffrey Harker's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 347 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.