No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
23–234
Wins / Runs
9.8%
Strike rate
n=234
62 (27%)
Placed
1.06
Fair A/E
n=234 · 0.92 incl. margin
−35.09
£1 level stake
n=234 at SP · −15.0%
£455k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.1%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06).
Deterministic profile computed from 234 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceClaiming riders: 10.7%
The read
The record is strongest at Ayr (20%, n=35), clear of the yard's 9.8% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 6.3% (n=63, Fair A/E 0.82). The yard also read well beyond 3m (20.9%, n=43) and off a 8-14-day break (19.4%, n=31). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 46 runners, 9.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Merigo (FR) — 7 wins from 32 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.3%−3.5
n=63 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −25.09
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.3%−3.5
n=16 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −12.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.8
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.8
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
4.5%
n=22 · A/E 0.17 · £1 −20.09
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10.7%+0.9
n=56 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +10.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With Timmy Murphy27% vs 9.8% · n=37
Beyond 3m20.9% vs 9.8% · n=43
Over 1m5f – 2m0% vs 9.8% · n=46
At Ayr20% vs 9.8% · n=35
Off a 8-14-day break19.4% vs 9.8% · n=31
With Richie McGrath2.2% vs 9.8% · n=45
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle140107.1%−49.50
Chase821315.9%+26.41
NH Flat1200%−12.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good821113.4%+10.41
Good to Soft5658.9%+0.50
Soft5135.9%−28.00
Heavy28310.7%−4.50
Good to Firm1715.9%−13.50
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Kelso40615%−10.59
Ayr35720%+54.50
Perth30310%−12.50
Carlisle2700%−27.00
Hexham2314.3%−16.00
Newcastle2015%−14.00
Musselburgh1516.7%−5.50
Sedgefield1000%−10.00
Catterick8112.5%+4.00
Doncaster6116.7%+2.00
Wetherby600%−6.00
Cartmel400%−4.00
Haydock300%−3.00
Aintree2150%+5.00
Stratford2150%+11.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 4123108.1%−32.59
Class 55147.8%−29.00
Class 330310%−5.50
Class 212433.3%+22.50
Class 61000%−10.00
Class 18225%+19.50
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite2627.7%0.29−21.09
2nd–3rd fav43818.6%1.22+3.00
4th–6th fav671116.4%2.11+36.00
7th+ in betting9822%0.70−53.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m5f – 3m781215.4%+25.91
2m1f – 2m4f6723%−55.00
1m5f – 2m4600%−46.00
Over 3m43920.9%+40.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200850612%+0.00
20092613.8%−20.00
20103139.7%+1.00
20115658.9%−27.00
201234514.7%+26.41
20133738.1%−15.50
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1512013.2%+19.91
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners7157%−39.00
8-10 runners661116.7%+24.50
14-16 runners4700%−47.00
5-7 runners34411.8%+13.00
17+ runners13215.4%+14.50
2-4 runners3133.3%−1.09
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 37 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 37 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from George Charlton (3) and P Monteith (3); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.
20 have since run for another yard, most often for Lucinda Russell (6) and Alistair Whillans (2); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
94137167330013618
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
36
Archived wins
£579k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Merigo (FR) — Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Ayr · Apr 2010 · Class 1
£114,020
Merigo (FR) — Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Ayr · Apr 2012 · Class 1
£102,510
Merigo (FR) — totesport.com Eider Handicap Chase Newcastle · Feb 2009 · Class 2
Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,371 runs since 2008 (131 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA)18.2% · 4–22
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,267 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Anshan (GB)10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.
Commanche Run (GB)11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 7.3% of 384 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.4% from 125. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4% from 101.
Rudimentary (USA)7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,114 runs since 2008 (201 horses).
Court Cave (IRE)8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,921 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 479 · newest first
The latest 50 of 479 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 6 October 2013.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Andrew Parker's strike rate?
Andrew Parker has won 23 of 234 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andrew Parker do best at?
Ayr by strike rate: 7 wins from 35 runners (20%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Andrew Parker's Fair A/E?
1.06, from 234 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Andrew Parker·SR 9.8%·A/E 1.06
KTB
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