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Trainer profile

Simon Earle

149 runners in the last 5 seasons · 14 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2024
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
14–149
Wins / Runs
9.4%
Strike rate
n=149
48 (32%)
Placed
1.16
Fair A/E
n=149 · 0.98 incl. margin
+93.38
£1 level stake
n=149 at SP · +62.7%
£127k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
13.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.16). With a claiming rider up the record reads 16% (32 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 149 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance James Best: 6.8% from 59 Claiming riders: 15.6%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 15.6% (n=32, Fair A/E 2.45), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.7% (n=35, Fair A/E 1.05). James Best rides 40% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (6.8% vs 9.4%, A/E 0.80). The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (16.3%, n=49) and in Flat races (13.7%, n=51). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 4.5% over 44 runners, 4.9pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Red Not Blue (IRE) — 9 wins from 36 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.7%−3.7
n=35 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +11.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.4
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
16.7%+7.3
n=6 · A/E 3.37 · £1 −0.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.4
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
14.3%
n=7 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −4.62
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
15.6%+6.2
n=32 · A/E 2.45 · £1 +140.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 2% vs 9.4% · n=51
Off a 31-60-day break 16.3% vs 9.4% · n=49
With claiming riders up 15.6% vs 9.4% · n=32
Over 1m5f – 2m 4.5% vs 9.4% · n=44
In Flat races 13.7% vs 9.4% · n=51
In Class 4 6.1% vs 9.4% · n=49
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 84 6 7.1% −25.12
Flat 51 7 13.7% +6.50
NH Flat 13 1 7.7% +113.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 46 3 6.5% −3.00
Standard (AW) 41 5 12.2% +5.00
Good to Soft 24 1 4.2% −18.50
Soft 23 3 13% +114.00
Heavy 14 2 14.3% −3.12
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Worcester 23 1 4.3% −16.00
Wincanton 15 2 13.3% −4.12
Southwell 15 2 13.3% +19.50
Lingfield (AW) 13 1 7.7% −7.50
Kempton (AW) 12 1 8.3% −6.00
Ffos Las 9 2 22.2% +121.50
Chelmsford City (AW) 9 2 22.2% +12.50
Uttoxeter 6 0 0% −6.00
Windsor 6 0 0% −6.00
Hereford 5 0 0% −5.00
Southwell (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Stratford 4 0 0% −4.00
Chepstow 4 0 0% −4.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Exeter 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 71 6 8.5% +105.38
Class 4 49 3 6.1% −14.50
Class 6 21 4 19% +2.00
Class 3 6 1 16.7% +2.50
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 2 22.2% 0.95 −2.12
2nd–3rd fav 32 7 21.9% 1.53 +10.00
4th–6th fav 51 2 3.9% 0.52 −25.50
7th+ in betting 57 3 5.3% 1.97 +111.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Golden Dove (GB)from Tim Easterby · then Dan Horsford 25 1 8 26 Dec 24
Robber's Bridge (IRE)then Dan Horsford 21 2 10 16 Oct 24
Crimson Sand (IRE)from Richard Hughes · then Dan Horsford 15 3 7 30 Dec 24
Nivelle's Magic (GB)from Henry Candy · then Dan Horsford 15 3 7 6 Jun 24
Rare Clouds (GB)from Sue Smith · then Dan Horsford 14 2 6 5 Dec 24
Malago Rose (IRE)then Neil Mulholland 10 1 3 21 Aug 24
Nowyouvebinandunit (GB)then Neil Mulholland 9 0 1 10 Dec 24
Bella Madonna (GB) 9 0 1 9 Jul 24
Kimberley Eve (GB)from Ian Williams 8 1 4 14 Feb 24
Meraki Mist (FR)then Dan Horsford 7 0 0 5 Dec 24
Golden Millie (GB)then Dan Horsford 7 1 1 8 Apr 24
Ashton Court (IRE)from John Joseph Hanlon · then Gordon Elliott 4 0 0 8 Nov 22
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 14 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Dan Horsford (7) and Neil Mulholland (3); 3 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
2510130878111361515
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJames Best
40% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 0.80
RiderRWSR£1
James Best 59 4 6.8% −35.62
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
48
Archived wins
£328k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 8 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Rare Clouds (GB) — Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Handicap Hurdle Wincanton · Jan 2024 · Class 3
£13,203
Headly's Bridge (IRE) — Bathwick Tyres Handicap Chase Exeter · Nov 2014 · Class 3
£9,495
Kavanaghs Corner (IRE) — gg.co.uk Handicap Chase Exeter · Mar 2019 · Class 4
£7,473
Notable horses
Red Not Blue (IRE) Headly's Bridge (IRE) Saucy Night (GB) Kavi (IRE) Crimson Sand (IRE) Nivelle's Magic (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Golden Horn (GB) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 13.8% of 3,736 runs since 2008 (345 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 161. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 233.
Frammassone (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 11.3% of 451 runs since 2008 (34 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.8% from 117.
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 20% · 3–15
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,784 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Hellvelyn (GB) 20% · 3–15
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,952 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.7% from 256.
Cloudings (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,882 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 410. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.
Malinas (GER) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,939 runs since 2008 (419 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 574 · newest first

The latest 50 of 574 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 30 December 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Dec 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Crimson Sand (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Gamble Responsibly At BetUK HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 7/1
26 Dec 24 Wincanton Golden Dove (GB)J: James Best Longman Cheese Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 40/1
10 Dec 24 Uttoxeter Nowyouvebinandunit (GB)J: James Best QuinnBet Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 50/1
05 Dec 24 Leicester Rare Clouds (GB)J: James Best Weatherbys Global Stallions App Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 25/1
05 Dec 24 Leicester Meraki Mist (FR)J: James Best Next Meeting At LeicesterRaces Wednesday 11th December Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 14/1
02 Dec 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Crimson Sand (IRE)J: Callum Hutchinson Weekly Free Bets With BetUK Handicap (Rider Restricted Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 12/1
21 Nov 24 Wincanton Golden Dove (GB)J: James Best Boxing Day Hospitality Available Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 18/1
11 Nov 24 Kempton Golden Dove (GB)J: James Best Watch Racing TV Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 9/1
09 Nov 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Crimson Sand (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Lookers Ford Sponsorship HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 6/1
27 Oct 24 Wincanton Golden Dove (GB)J: James Best Dan Skelton Supports Wincanton Charity Day Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Good · 16 ran 7th 18/1
19 Oct 24 Stratford Kilkeaskin Molly (IRE)J: James Best Visit racingtv.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Heavy · 12 ran PU 25/1
17 Oct 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Crimson Sand (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Betfair Exchange HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 7/1
16 Oct 24 Worcester Robber's Bridge (IRE)J: James Best Sri Lanka Awaits You Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 13/2
12 Oct 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Crimson Sand (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Betfair Exchange Beacons Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 16/1
09 Oct 24 Kempton (AW) Golden Dove (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Unibet More Boosts In More Races HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 5th 10/1
27 Sep 24 Worcester Jour D'orage (FR)J: James Best Caremark Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 250/1
01 Sep 24 Worcester Kilkeaskin Molly (IRE)J: James Best Neu-Servo Superb Service Circuit Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 5th 100/1
21 Aug 24 Worcester Malago Rose (IRE)J: James Best Kidderminster Harriers At The Races Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 5th 10/3J
21 Aug 24 Worcester Jour D'orage (FR)J: James Best Terry Phillips Retirement Celebration Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 5th 80/1
14 Aug 24 Kempton (AW) Golden Dove (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 7th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Simon Earle's strike rate?
Simon Earle has won 14 of 149 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Simon Earle?
James Best, with 59 runners since 2022 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.8%).
What is Simon Earle's Fair A/E?
1.16, from 149 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).