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Jockey profile

Andrias Guerin

61 rides in the lifetime window · 33 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Aug 2014 98% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–61
Wins / Runs
8.2%
Strike rate
n=61
11 (18%)
Placed
1.11
Fair A/E
n=61 · 0.93 incl. margin
−9.67
£1 level stake
n=61 at SP · −15.9%
£19,137
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 8.3%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.1%−2.1
n=33 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −16.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−8.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.1%−1.1
n=14 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.3%+0.1
n=60 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −8.67
Big fields · 14+ runners
7.1%−1.1
n=14 · A/E 2.21 · £1 +12.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Neil Mulholland 12.5% vs 8.2% · n=40
On first rides for the horse 6.1% vs 8.2% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 48 4 8.3% −0.67
Chase 10 1 10% −6.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 17 1 5.9% −9.00
Heavy 15 0 0% −15.00
Good to Soft 12 2 16.7% +18.00
Soft 11 2 18.2% +2.33
Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fontwell 8 1 12.5% +0.00
Newton Abbot 5 0 0% −5.00
Wincanton 5 1 20% −1.00
Taunton 4 1 25% +22.00
Southwell 3 1 33.3% +1.33
Punchestown 3 0 0% −3.00
Listowel 3 0 0% −3.00
Exeter 3 0 0% −3.00
Chepstow 3 1 33.3% +6.00
Bangor-on-Dee 2 0 0% −2.00
Ludlow 2 0 0% −2.00
Leopardstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Cheltenham 2 0 0% −2.00
Uttoxeter 2 0 0% −2.00
Towcester 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 28 4 14.3% +19.33
Class 4 17 1 5.9% −13.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 12 3 25% 1.46 +4.33
4th–6th fav 15 1 6.7% 0.99 −6.00
7th+ in betting 32 1 3.1% 1.11 −6.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.9% completed · 58 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 10 70% 0 2 1 0 0
Hurdle 48 91.7% 2 0 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Hobb's Dream (IRE) 11 2 5 30 Dec 12
Meet Me At Dawn (GB) 5 2 2 18 Feb 13
Silsula (GB) 5 0 0 27 Aug 12
Point Of Reference (GB) 5 0 0 19 Dec 11
Sterling Bill (IRE) 3 0 0 8 Jan 13
The Young Master (GB) 2 0 0 7 Feb 13
Caunay (GB) 2 1 1 15 May 12
Abbey Glen (IRE) 2 0 0 8 Jan 11
Streets Of Gold (IRE) 2 0 0 16 Sep 10
Helamis (GB) 1 0 0 16 Aug 14
Urbain De Sivola (FR) 1 0 1 14 Mar 14
Brinestine (USA) 1 0 0 16 Feb 14
All 33 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1703301300001700
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardNeil Mulholland
66% of all rides
12.5% SR · A/E 1.49
TrainerRWSR£1
Neil Mulholland 40 5 12.5% +11.33
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
5
Archived wins
£19,137
Prize money
2012
Best season · 4 wins
Hobb's Dream (IRE) — Grolsch Handicap Chase Wincanton · Mar 2012 · Class 4
£3,899
Hobb's Dream (IRE) — Alpha Company 40 Commando Royal Marines Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Taunton · Jan 2012 · Class 5
£2,395
Meet Me At Dawn (GB) — Lindley Catering Handicap Hurdle Chepstow · Mar 2012 · Class 5
£2,144
Notable horses
Hobb's Dream (IRE) Meet Me At Dawn (GB) Caunay (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Winged Love (IRE) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,965 runs since 2008 (296 horses).
Alflora (IRE) 40% · 2–5
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).
Exit To Nowhere (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,787 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 155.
Silver Patriarch (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.
Cloudings (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,887 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 411. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 61 · newest first

The latest 50 of 61 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 July 2009 to 16 August 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Aug 14 Market Rasen Helamis (GB)T: Denis Quinn Static Security Services 'Hands And Heels' Selling Hurdle (Conditional Jockeys And Amateur Riders)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 33/1
14 Mar 14 Cheltenham Urbain De Sivola (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 20.5f · Good · 24 ran 4th 33/1
16 Feb 14 Kempton (AW) Brinestine (USA)T: Paul Nicholls Kempton Park Chase Day 22.02.14 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat Race (Div 2)Class 4 · 18f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 5th 5/1
18 Oct 13 Cheltenham For Two (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Rewards4racing Rewarding Your Passion Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 5/1
18 Feb 13 Southwell Meet Me At Dawn (GB)T: Neil Mulholland Coral.co.uk Mobile Casino Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 8/1
07 Feb 13 Taunton The Young Master (GB)T: Neil Mulholland At The Races Sky 415 Racing Excellence 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditional/Amateur)Class 4 · 19f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 66/1
08 Jan 13 Chepstow Sterling Bill (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Freebets.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 10 ran 9th 66/1
05 Jan 13 Wincanton The Young Master (GB)T: Neil Mulholland Bathwick Tyres Salisbury Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Jockey Club Grassroots Jumps Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 15.5f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 25/1
30 Dec 12 Taunton Hobb's Dream (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Totepool Mobile Cashback Text Tote To 89660 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 7/1
26 Dec 12 Fontwell Hopatina (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Betfred 'Double Delight' Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 33/1
07 Dec 12 Exeter Sterling Bill (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E.B.F. 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier) (Div 2)Class 4 · 17f · Heavy · 12 ran 11th 250/1
04 Dec 12 Towcester Hobb's Dream (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Follow gg.com On Twitter Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Soft · 4 ran 3rd 9/2
21 Nov 12 Hexham Hobb's Dream (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Solar Signs Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 32f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 11/4
09 Nov 12 Fontwell Hobb's Dream (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Paddypower.com Celebrating Hunt Ball Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 17/2
27 Oct 12 Chepstow Meet Me At Dawn (GB)T: Neil Mulholland totequickpick Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran UR 10/1
01 Oct 12 Newton Abbot Sterling Bill (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Newquay Zoo 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 100/1
11 Sep 12 Worcester Wait No More (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Mirror Punters Club 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Chase (Conditional Jockeys And Amateur Riders) (Div 1)Class 5 · 23f · Good · 12 ran 4th 16/1
27 Aug 12 Huntingdon Silsula (GB)T: Neil Mulholland Marie Curie Daffodil Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 8th 12/1
03 Aug 12 Bangor-on-Dee Silsula (GB)T: Neil Mulholland R W Hough Plasterers Memorial Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 23f · Good · 12 ran 5th 25/1
06 Jun 12 Fontwell Silsula (GB)T: Neil Mulholland Chris Copsey Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Andrias Guerin's strike rate?
Andrias Guerin has won 5 of 61 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Andrias Guerin's Fair A/E?
1.11, from 61 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).