What is C Roche's strike rate?

C Roche has won 133 of 1,468 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does C Roche do best at?

Cork by strike rate: 9 wins from 53 runners (17%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for C Roche?

Alan Crowe, with 698 runners since 2008 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 59 (8.5%).

What is C Roche's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 1,467 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

C Roche

1,468 runners in the lifetime window · 153 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Dec 2017

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

133–1,468

Wins / Runs

9.1%

Strike rate

n=1,468

372 (25%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=1,467 · 0.74 incl. margin

−570.76

£1 level stake

n=1,468 at SP · −38.9%

£1.76m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 150 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 11% off breaks of two months or more (323 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,468 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Apr Fresh horses: 11.1% 26.6% when favourite Alan Crowe: 8.5% from 698 Claiming riders: 10.3% Sent off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Clonmel (16.9%, n=71) and Cork (17%, n=53) — all clear of the yard's 9.1% baseline. It is weakest at Roscommon (2.2% over 45 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 4.2% (n=119, Fair A/E 0.82). Alan Crowe rode 48% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.5%, A/E 0.89). The record read poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 3.5% over 199 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 0.46 across 220 runners (4.1% strike, −154.62 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the William Hill Galway Plate at Galway (Aug 2006, £121,800). The stable star of the record was Cool Running (IRE) — 8 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.1%+2.0

n=323 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −101.03

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.7%−1.4

n=13 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −10.25

Debutants · first career start

4.2%−4.9

n=119 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −41.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.6%−1.5

n=79 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −37.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.5%+1.4

n=76 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −43.87

When favourite

26.6%

n=154 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −28.85

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.3%+1.2

n=370 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −8.04

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.4%−0.7

n=95 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −28.92

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Clonmel 16.9% vs 9.1% · n=71

At Cork 17% vs 9.1% · n=53

On last-time-out winners 15.2% vs 9.1% · n=138

Over 2m5f – 3m 3.5% vs 9.1% · n=199

Off a 8-14-day break 4.1% vs 9.1% · n=220

At Roscommon 2.2% vs 9.1% · n=45

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 747 74 9.9% −236.68

Chase 435 31 7.1% −223.27

Flat 212 19 9% −78.94

NH Flat 74 9 12.2% −31.87

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 564 53 9.4% −195.46

Heavy 393 36 9.2% −137.25

Good 297 23 7.7% −157.02

Good to Soft 110 13 11.8% −17.36

Good to Firm 85 8 9.4% −44.67

Standard (AW) 16 0 0% −16.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 142 9 6.3% −43.50

Fairyhouse 118 11 9.3% −56.25

Naas 94 7 7.4% −32.42

Navan 83 4 4.8% −46.17

Clonmel 71 12 16.9% −12.78

Sligo 70 5 7.1% −48.00

Thurles 68 8 11.8% −28.92

Gowran Park 68 6 8.8% +22.13

Kilbeggan 62 5 8.1% −36.06

Leopardstown 62 4 6.5% −48.75

Listowel 61 8 13.1% +3.75

Galway 61 2 3.3% −36.00

Limerick 59 8 13.6% −26.07

Killarney 57 7 12.3% −18.18

Cork 53 9 17% +3.71

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 97 8 8.2% −30.92

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 187 46 24.6% 1.05 −39.60

2nd–3rd fav 334 52 15.6% 1.11 −61.16

4th–6th fav 406 21 5.2% 0.74 −188.00

7th+ in betting 541 14 2.6% 0.74 −282.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

88.6% completed · 1,182 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 435 80.2% 22 7 53 2 2

Hurdle 747 93.4% 16 6 24 0 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Park Ranger (IRE) 55 4 15 20 Apr 16

Sword Fish (IRE) 43 5 11 29 Nov 15

Good Decision (IRE) 38 3 11 19 Sep 14

Lethal Weapon (IRE)from David Wachman 37 5 10 4 Jan 15

Dragon Khan (IRE)then John O'Shea 36 2 12 27 Oct 16

Clarkey (IRE)from Ciaran O'Brien 33 5 12 1 Oct 12

Streets Of Gold (IRE)from A P O'Brien 33 3 7 11 Jun 12

Golden Ticket (AUS) 32 5 14 9 Sep 15

Harold's Cross (AUS) 31 4 9 14 Dec 13

Neddyvaughan (IRE)then Padraig Roche 27 2 8 31 Dec 17

Bay Hill (IRE)then Padraig Roche 27 6 11 7 Dec 17

Code Of The West (IRE) 26 3 12 27 Dec 12

The 60 most-raced of 153 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 55 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Padraig Roche (6) and Jonjo O'Neill (4); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

71112128107978137

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAlan Crowe

48% of all rides
8.5% SR · A/E 0.89

RiderRWSR£1

Alan Crowe 698 59 8.5% −363.31

Jody McGarvey 176 20 11.4% +2.82

Mr P Roche 114 11 9.6% −25.87

Mark Walsh 84 11 13.1% −15.42

Fran Berry 77 10 13% −24.25

A P McCoy 34 4 11.8% −14.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

208

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.03m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 33 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Far From Trouble (IRE) — William Hill Galway Plate (Handicap Chase) Galway · Aug 2006 · Grade A

£121,800

Lethal Weapon (IRE) — Durkan New Homes Juvenile Hurdle (grade 1) Leopardstown · Dec 2008 · Grade 1

£65,000

Like-A-Butterfly (IRE) — Powers Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1) Fairyhouse · Mar 2005 · Grade 1

£59,500

Notable horses

Cool Running (IRE) Bay Hill (IRE) Streets Of Gold (IRE) Sword Fish (IRE) Clarkey (IRE) Lethal Weapon (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 8.4% · 12–143

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

High Chaparral (IRE) 8.8% · 10–113

Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.

Sadler's Wells (USA) 9.3% · 8–86

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.

Galileo (IRE) 11.1% · 9–81

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,187 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 888.

Presenting (GB) 10.6% · 7–66

Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Milan (GB) 8% · 4–50

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,840 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,060 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,060 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 January 2005 to 31 December 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Dec 17 Punchestown Neddyvaughan (IRE)J: Roger Loughran Goffs Punchestown Invitational Sale Handicap Chase16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 7th 20/1

28 Dec 17 Leopardstown Waaheb (USA)J: Kevin Brouder Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier)24f · Soft · 29 ran 17th 50/1

15 Dec 17 Dundalk (AW) Way Back Home (IRE)J: Kevin Manning Christmas Party Packages At Dundalk Stadium Nursery Handicap (Plus 10)7f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 11/1

10 Dec 17 Punchestown All Is Well (IRE)J: Jody McGarvey Corinthian Restaurant On Sale Now Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 12 ran 11th 50/1

10 Dec 17 Punchestown Steer Clear (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Corinthian Restaurant On Sale Now Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 40/1

09 Dec 17 Navan Alice Johnston (IRE)J: Jody McGarvey Kells Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 21 ran 21st 50/1

09 Dec 17 Navan She's Made It (IRE)J: L P Dempsey Kells Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 21 ran 19th 50/1

07 Dec 17 Clonmel Demi Plie (IRE)J: Kevin Brouder Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran PU 16/1

07 Dec 17 Clonmel Bay Hill (IRE)J: L P Dempsey Powerstown Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 11th 10/1

07 Dec 17 Clonmel Neddyvaughan (IRE)J: Jody McGarvey Powerstown Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 8/1

02 Dec 17 Fairyhouse Out Of The Loop (GB)J: Mark Walsh Kettles Country House Hotel Supporting Fingal Ravens Gaa Handicap Hurdle (81-130)20f · Soft · 14 ran 1st 5/4F

29 Nov 17 Punchestown Open To The World (IRE)J: Kevin Brouder Sign Up To Betdaq Today Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-109)22f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 7th 14/1

23 Nov 17 Thurles Demi Plie (IRE)J: Jody McGarvey Killinan Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Heavy · 17 ran 11th 20/1

23 Nov 17 Thurles Neddyvaughan (IRE)J: Jody McGarvey www.thurlesraces.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-116)20f · Heavy · 16 ran 5th 20/1

16 Nov 17 Clonmel Waaheb (USA)J: Barry Browne Clonmel Oil Service Station Handicap Hurdle24f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 9th 25/1

16 Nov 17 Clonmel Finding Touch (IRE)J: Chris Meehan Clonmel Oil Race Day Handicap Hurdle (80-109)19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 5/1F

15 Nov 17 Fairyhouse Thecraicisninety (GB)J: L P Dempsey Christmas Parties At Fairyhouse December 16th Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 8th 33/1

09 Nov 17 Thurles Neddyvaughan (IRE)J: B J Foley Two-mile Borris Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Yielding · 18 ran 7th 14/1

09 Nov 17 Thurles Open To The World (IRE)J: B J Foley Ballagh Mares Handicap Hurdle20f · Yielding · 12 ran 9th 6/1

09 Nov 17 Thurles She's Made It (IRE)J: L P Dempsey Templemore Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 15 ran 8th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is C Roche's strike rate?: C Roche has won 133 of 1,468 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does C Roche do best at?: Cork by strike rate: 9 wins from 53 runners (17%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for C Roche?: Alan Crowe, with 698 runners since 2008 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 59 (8.5%).
What is C Roche's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 1,467 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.