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Jockey profile

Aodhagan Conlon

446 rides in the lifetime window · 235 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Dec 2014 97% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
39–446
Wins / Runs
8.7%
Strike rate
n=446
101 (23%)
Placed
1.00
Fair A/E
n=445 · 0.86 incl. margin
−163.83
£1 level stake
n=446 at SP · −36.7%
£221k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00).

Deterministic profile computed from 446 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr Rebecca Curtis: 13.7% from 102 Claiming: 8.8%
The read

The record is strongest at Bangor-on-Dee (18.2%, n=33), clear of the rider's 8.7% baseline. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1% (n=99, Fair A/E 0.23). Rebecca Curtis supplied 23% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13.7% vs 8.7%, A/E 1.22) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Good to Firm going (15%, n=60) and in Chase races (14%, n=107). The record read poorly in NH Flat races — 3.8% over 79 rides, 4.9pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
8.1%−0.6
n=235 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −95.96
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
8.8%+0.1
n=34 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −26.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8.6%−0.1
n=105 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −33.75
When favourite
36%
n=25 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −0.21
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.8%+0.1
n=400 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −148.33
Big fields · 14+ runners
1%−7.7
n=99 · A/E 0.23 · £1 −84.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.7
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Bangor-on-Dee 18.2% vs 8.7% · n=33
With first-time headgear 0% vs 8.7% · n=34
On Good to Firm going 15% vs 8.7% · n=60
In Chase races 14% vs 8.7% · n=107
With Rebecca Curtis 13.7% vs 8.7% · n=102
In NH Flat races 3.8% vs 8.7% · n=79
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 247 19 7.7% −126.04
Chase 107 15 14% −20.79
NH Flat 79 3 3.8% −25.00
Flat 13 2 15.4% +8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 146 13 8.9% −58.29
Soft 96 6 6.3% −56.87
Good to Soft 88 7 8% −47.38
Good to Firm 60 9 15% +15.50
Heavy 49 4 8.2% −9.79
Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ffos Las 72 9 12.5% −8.04
Bangor-on-Dee 33 6 18.2% −7.97
Hereford 28 4 14.3% −8.25
Worcester 26 0 0% −26.00
Chepstow 25 3 12% −10.75
Stratford 25 1 4% −16.00
Taunton 20 1 5% +6.00
Newton Abbot 18 1 5.6% −8.00
Uttoxeter 16 2 12.5% −10.12
Ludlow 14 1 7.1% −7.50
Wincanton 13 2 15.4% +0.00
Punchestown 13 0 0% −13.00
Southwell 9 1 11.1% −7.20
Cork 8 0 0% −8.00
Cheltenham 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 151 16 10.6% −39.46
Class 5 124 13 10.5% −51.24
Class 3 54 4 7.4% −37.63
Class 6 28 2 7.1% +0.00
Class 2 18 1 5.6% −11.50
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 33 11 33.3% 1.17 −1.46
2nd–3rd fav 86 11 12.8% 0.82 −37.37
4th–6th fav 133 13 9.8% 1.20 −10.00
7th+ in betting 194 4 2.1% 0.73 −115.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.9% completed · 354 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 107 73.8% 9 10 9 0 0
Hurdle 247 91.1% 5 4 12 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Michigan Assassin (IRE) 21 4 8 24 Oct 13
The Jigsaw Man (IRE) 11 0 4 18 May 12
Naughtyatiz (IRE) 8 1 1 1 Jun 12
Moonlight Maggie (GB) 7 0 1 24 Feb 14
Lucky Prince (GB) 6 0 1 1 Nov 12
Timeforagin (GB) 6 0 0 29 Oct 12
Brilliant (GER) 6 2 2 29 Aug 12
Black Jack Blues (IRE) 6 2 3 25 Aug 11
Overnight Fame (IRE) 5 1 4 20 Mar 14
Pennant Dancer (GB) 5 0 1 30 Dec 13
Arguidos (IRE) 5 0 0 6 Dec 13
Adams Island (IRE) 5 2 3 15 Mar 11
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 235 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
512171121301561053
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardRebecca Curtis
23% of all rides
13.7% SR · A/E 1.22
TrainerRWSR£1
Rebecca Curtis 102 14 13.7% −36.75
Debra Hamer 85 9 10.6% +3.08
Tom George 43 3 7% −20.70
Evan Williams 34 4 11.8% −13.09
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
39
Archived wins
£226k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 13 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
P'tit Fute (FR) — Denny Havasnack (QR) Race Tralee · Oct 2008
£13,020
Black Jack Blues (IRE) — Saxton Drilling Handicap Hurdle Ffos Las · Oct 2010 · Class 2
£7,604
Drive Time (USA) — Sandyford (q.r.) Maiden Leopardstown · Jun 2009
£7,256
Notable horses
Michigan Assassin (IRE) Brilliant (GER) Black Jack Blues (IRE) Adams Island (IRE) Marodima (FR) Fealing Real (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Beneficial (GB) 16% · 4–25
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
King's Theatre (IRE) 19% · 4–21
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Old Vic (GB) 21.4% · 3–14
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Bob Back (USA) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).
Pasternak (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8.5% of 895 runs since 2008 (74 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 510 · newest first

The latest 50 of 510 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 February 2005 to 26 December 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Dec 14 Wincanton Auckland De Re (FR)T: Neil Mulholland Good Luck Guy Henderson Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 15.5f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 14/1
27 Nov 14 Taunton Sirrah Star (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Independent Racecourses Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 9/1
05 Nov 14 Chepstow Earls Fort (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Romilly Financial 'national Hunt' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 100/1
09 Sep 14 Worcester Sirrah Star (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Big Macmillan Coffee Morning Raceday 26th September Mares' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 20/1
01 May 14 Ffos Las Church Hall (IRE)T: Emma-Jane Bishop Walters Uk Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 33/1
01 May 14 Ffos Las Back By Midnight (GB)T: Emma-Jane Bishop Stradey Park Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 16/1
23 Apr 14 Southwell Sir Valentino (FR)T: Tom George Best Odds Guaranteed At Totepool.com Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 4/5F
19 Apr 14 Newton Abbot Ring Bo Ree (IRE)T: Tom George newtonabbotracing.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 5th 5/1
19 Apr 14 Newton Abbot Rainbow Beauty (GB)T: Tom George Happy 60th Birthday Geoff Lang Mares' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good · 14 ran 4th 5/1
19 Apr 14 Newton Abbot Rody (FR)T: Tom George At The Races Virgin 534 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Good · 8 ran F 7/2
10 Apr 14 Taunton Egypt Mill Spirit (IRE)T: Tom George Follow totepool On Facebook And Twitter Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 15/2
03 Apr 14 Taunton To The Sky (IRE)T: John O'Shea Taunton Jaguar All New F-type Coupe Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 13/2
01 Apr 14 Newton Abbot Rody (FR)T: Tom George Sis Live 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 8/1
29 Mar 14 Stratford Forgotten Gold (IRE)T: Tom George Great Value Wines From Bordeaux Undiscovered Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 11/2
22 Mar 14 Bangor-on-Dee Red Skipper (IRE)T: John O'Shea Anno 1366 Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 12/1
22 Mar 14 Bangor-on-Dee River Clare (IRE)T: John O'Shea Stella Artois 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 50/1
20 Mar 14 Chepstow Overnight Fame (IRE)T: Tom George 32red.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 3 ran 1st 5/2
24 Feb 14 Musselburgh Moonlight Maggie (GB)T: Tom George Henry Reilly Memorial Handicap Chase (Betfair Scottish Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Soft · 5 ran 5th 11/4
22 Feb 14 Chepstow Rody (FR)T: Tom George Rifles Handicap Chase Supporting Care For Casualties (For The Bombay Hunt Cup)Class 2 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 22/1
24 Jan 14 Huntingdon Moonlight Maggie (GB)T: Tom George 32red Casino Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Heavy · 7 ran F 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Aodhagan Conlon's strike rate?
Aodhagan Conlon has won 39 of 446 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Aodhagan Conlon do best at?
Bangor-on-Dee by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 rides (18.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Aodhagan Conlon ride most for?
Rebecca Curtis, with 102 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (13.7%).
What is Aodhagan Conlon's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 445 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).