Rebecca Curtis
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94). With a claiming rider up the record reads 18% (84 runs).
Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 17.9% (n=84, Fair A/E 1.18), but debutants struggle at 2.9% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.24). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 9% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −71.63 to a £1 stake over 122 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ben Jones rides 29% of the entries and edges the yard's average (15.4% vs 12.8%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (17.4%, n=219). 17 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the BoyleSports Irish Grand National Chase at Fairyhouse (Apr 2025, £270,000). The stable star of the record: Geordie Des Champs (IRE) — 10 wins from 33 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2008→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,585 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,585 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 March 2008 to 29 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 14 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 28 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Rebecca Curtis's strike rate?
- Rebecca Curtis has won 64 of 501 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.8% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Rebecca Curtis do best at?
- Chepstow by strike rate: 17 wins from 101 runners (16.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Rebecca Curtis?
- Ben Jones, with 143 runners since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (15.4%).
- Is Rebecca Curtis in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Rebecca Curtis's Fair A/E?
- 0.94, from 501 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.