What is Celine Launay's strike rate?

Celine Launay has won 10 of 126 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Celine Launay do best at?

Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 31 rides (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Celine Launay's Fair A/E?

1.11, from 98 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Celine Launay

126 rides in the lifetime window · 103 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Dec 2013 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

10–126

Wins / Runs

7.9%

Strike rate

n=126

30 (24%)

Placed

1.11

Fair A/E

n=98 · 0.82 incl. margin

−19.50

£1 level stake

n=101 at SP · −19.3%

£216k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them. When claiming the record reads 14% (52 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 126 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 11.1% Claiming: 13.5%

The read

The record is strongest at Deauville (FR) (16.1%, n=31), clear of the rider's 7.9% baseline. Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 13.5% (n=52, Fair A/E 1.83), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.2% (n=48, Fair A/E 1.33). The rider also read well on Standard (AW) going (13.9%, n=36) and over 1m – 1m1f (12.8%, n=39).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.8%−0.1

n=102 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −3.60

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.3%+6.4

n=7 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +0.10

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11.1%+3.2

n=45 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −1.00

When favourite

25%

n=4 · A/E 2.04 · £1 −0.90

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

13.5%+5.6

n=52 · A/E 1.83 · £1 −0.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.2%−3.7

n=48 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −10.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.9

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Deauville (FR) 16.1% vs 7.9% · n=31

When claiming 13.5% vs 7.9% · n=52

On Standard (AW) going 13.9% vs 7.9% · n=36

Over 1m – 1m1f 12.8% vs 7.9% · n=39

At Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 5.3% vs 7.9% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 41 3 7.3% −17.50

Standard (AW) 36 5 13.9% +20.00

Soft 27 0 0% −24.00

Heavy 12 1 8.3% −7.00

Good to Soft 10 1 10% +9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 38 2 5.3% −15.50

Deauville (FR) 31 5 16.1% +25.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 30 2 6.7% −8.00

Longchamp (FR) 13 1 7.7% −9.00

Chantilly (FR) 10 0 0% −9.00

Wissembourg 1 0 0% —

Le Croise-Laroche 1 0 0% −1.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Compiegne (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 5 1 20% 1.36 −1.90

2nd–3rd fav 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00

4th–6th fav 23 2 8.7% 1.03 +3.40

7th+ in betting 66 3 4.5% 1.77 −14.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Milhaarth (GB) 6 0 2 28 Oct 10

Short Stack (IRE) 3 2 2 28 May 10

Marchand Dolois (FR) 3 1 1 15 Oct 08

Russian Dream (FR) 2 0 0 31 May 13

Nina Senora (FR) 2 0 0 14 Aug 11

Go For Gold Mine (FR) 2 0 0 27 May 11

West Wing (FR) 2 0 0 10 May 11

Barlovento (FR) 2 1 2 5 May 11

Rendelsham (FR) 2 1 1 21 Mar 11

Star Vata (FR) 2 0 1 24 Sep 10

Silk Trail (GB) 2 0 1 10 Jul 10

Suricat Girl (IRE) 2 0 1 26 May 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 103 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

··1877882200013

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

J-P Gallorini 10 3 30% +20.50

A De Royer-Dupre 10 1 10% +5.00

A Bonin 9 1 11.1% —

P Monfort 6 1 16.7% +12.00

A Spanu 6 0 0% −4.00

T Castanheira 6 0 0% −6.00

P Rago 4 0 0% −4.00

F-X Belvisi 3 0 0% −3.00

Mme M-C Naim 3 0 0% −3.00

J-L Gay 3 0 0% −2.00

H-A Pantall 3 0 0% −3.00

Mme C Barande-Barbe 3 0 0% −3.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

£284k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 4 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Satwa Pearl (GB) — Prix D'Hudimesnil (Conditions) (4yo+) (Lady Riders) (Fibresand) Deauville (FR) · Mar 2011

£9,483

Zauberstar (GER) — Prix de l'Odeon (Female Professionals) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2009

£8,738

Photophore (IRE) — Prix de Coupesarte (Women Professionals) (Fillies) (All-Weather) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2008

£8,456

Notable horses

Marchand Dolois (FR) Short Stack (IRE) Alpe Doloise (FR) Barlovento (FR) Rendelsham (FR) Yaven (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Alhaarth (IRE) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).

Hawk Wing (USA) 40% · 2–5

Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,330 runs since 2008 (330 horses).

Marchand De Sable (USA) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,093 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.2% from 167. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 148.

Take Risks (FR) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 9.8% of 935 runs since 2008 (91 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 110. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.2% from 115. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.5% from 174. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.6% from 152.

Anabaa Blue (GB) 33.3% · 1–3

Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,937 runs since 2008 (227 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.6% from 278. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6% from 417.

Gold Away (IRE) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,477 runs since 2008 (206 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.6% from 328. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 177.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 149 · newest first

The latest 50 of 149 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 June 2006 to 29 December 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Dec 13 Deauville (FR) Khefyn (IRE)T: J Reynier Prix de Moricand (Claimer) (3yo) (Lady Riders) (Fibresand)7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 8th 102/10

04 Dec 13 Deauville (FR) Gentlehood (FR)T: T Castanheira Prix De Brehal (Claimer) (3yo) (Jockeys & Young Jockeys without 15 winners in 2013) (Fibresand)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 15th 82/1

30 Oct 13 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Lingala (FR)T: F Cheyer Prix De Thoiry (Claimer) (4yo+) (Lady Riders) (Turf)10f · Soft · 15 ran 14th 65/1

29 Oct 13 Saint-Cloud (FR) Gut Instinct (FR)T: Mme R-W Allen Prix Fairy Legend (Maiden) (3yo) (Jockeys & Young Jockeys without 12 winners in 2013) (Turf)8f · Very Soft · 11 ran 11th 68/1

24 Oct 13 Deauville (FR) King's Risk (FR)T: T Castanheira Prix du Bessin (Conditions) (3yo) (Lady Riders) (Fibresand)7.5f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 30/1

11 Oct 13 Chantilly (FR) Rosaspera (IRE)T: A De Royer-Dupre Prix De La Motte Louvet (Maiden) (3yo) (Lady Riders) (Polytrack)9f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 14/1

10 Oct 13 Saint-Cloud (FR) Lavilla (FR)T: D Allard Prix De Chevreuse (Claimer) (3yo) (Lady Riders) (Turf)12f · Very Soft · 11 ran 4th 20/1

23 Sep 13 Chantilly (FR) Slice Of Life (FR)T: Mme M Bollack-Badel Prix De Baillon (Claimer) (3yo) (Lady Riders) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 15 ran 14th 19/1

23 Sep 13 Chantilly (FR) Shakko (FR)T: Mme L Poulain de la Fontaine Prix De La Troublerie (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf)15f · Soft · 18 ran 4th 35/1

04 Aug 13 Deauville (FR) Kadison (GER)T: H Blume Prix de l'Hippodrome de San Isidro (Claimer) (4yo+) (Lady Riders) (Fibresand)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 11th 55/1

03 Jul 13 Deauville (FR) Miss Post Office (FR)T: F Rohaut Prix De L'Iton (Claimer) (4yo+) (Lady Riders) (Fibresand)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 3rd 26/1

11 Jun 13 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Mamzelle Together (FR)T: M Boutin Prix De Clairefontaine En Yvelines (Claimer) (3yo) (Lady Riders) (Turf)12f · Good · 12 ran 10th 23/1

08 Jun 13 Chantilly (FR) Sham Shine (FR)T: T Castanheira Prix des Dauphines (Conditions) (4yo+) (Lady Riders) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 17 ran 4th 45/1

31 May 13 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Russian Dream (FR)T: T Castanheira Prix du Mesnil-Villement (Claimer) (5yo+) (Lady Riders) (Turf)8f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 13/1

13 May 13 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Early Run Run (FR)T: Matthieu Palussiere Prix de la Clementerie (Claimer) (3yo) (Lady Riders) (Turf)12f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 42/1

03 Apr 13 Saint-Cloud (FR) Magneli (FR)T: J-P Gallorini Prix Girl Friend (Conditions) (4yo+) (Lady Riders) (Turf)10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 26/1

15 Mar 13 Chantilly (FR) Abielo (GER)T: F-X De Chevigny Prix De Saint-Julien Le Faucon (Claimer) (5yo+) (Lady Riders) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran — 41/1

20 Dec 12 Deauville (FR) Magic Opera (FR)T: Y-M Porzier Prix du Mont Lion (Conditions) (4yo+) (Lady Riders) (Fibresand)12f · Standard · 15 ran — 79/1

15 Dec 12 Deauville (FR) Dancing Dynamite (GER)T: S Cerulis Prix de la Bourdonniere (Claimer) (4yo+) (Lady Riders) (Fibresand)7.5f · Standard · 12 ran — 17/2

21 Nov 12 Le Croise-Laroche Caterina De Medici (FR)T: A De Royer-Dupre Prix Dalakhani (Lady Riders)12.5f · Heavy · 3 ran 3rd 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Celine Launay's strike rate?: Celine Launay has won 10 of 126 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Celine Launay do best at?: Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 31 rides (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Celine Launay's Fair A/E?: 1.11, from 98 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.