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Jockey profile

Frank Hayes

297 rides in the lifetime window · 151 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Nov 2021
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
7–297
Wins / Runs
2.4%
Strike rate
n=297
26 (9%)
Placed
0.60
n=296 · 0.49 incl. margin
−208.41
£1 level stake
n=297 at SP · −70.2%
£82,212
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, winning on 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.60).

Deterministic profile computed from 297 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance John J Walsh: 3.7% from 54 First rides: 3.3% Claiming: 2.5%
The read

The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 1.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.43 and −159.50 to a £1 stake over 179 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. John J Walsh supplied 18% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (3.7%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Flat races (6.1%, n=33). The market has consistently overbet the rider on Heavy going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 81 rides (0% strike, −81.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.3%+0.9
n=151 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −80.63
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
20%+17.6
n=10 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −4.88
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
1.5%−0.9
n=66 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −62.75
When favourite
100%
n=3 · A/E 2.12 · £1 +3.34
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.5%+0.1
n=276 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −187.41
Big fields · 14+ runners
1.1%−1.3
n=179 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −159.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With David Pipe 8.1% vs 2.4% · n=37
In Flat races 6.1% vs 2.4% · n=33
On Heavy going 0% vs 2.4% · n=81
Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 2.4% · n=61
With horses switching code 0% vs 2.4% · n=48
Over 2m5f – 3m 0% vs 2.4% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 250 5 2% −215.03
Flat 33 2 6.1% +20.62
Chase 9 0 0% −9.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 81 0 0% −81.00
Soft 79 1 1.3% −76.50
Good 72 2 2.8% −51.75
Good to Soft 26 1 3.8% −15.00
Good to Firm 23 1 4.3% −20.38
Standard (AW) 14 1 7.1% +37.00
Firm 2 1 50% −0.78

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 31 1 3.2% −14.00
Limerick 28 0 0% −28.00
Clonmel 25 1 4% −21.75
Thurles 18 0 0% −18.00
Gowran Park 13 0 0% −13.00
Tramore 12 0 0% −12.00
Taunton 11 2 18.2% +1.22
Ballinrobe 10 0 0% −10.00
Newton Abbot 8 0 0% −8.00
Tipperary 8 0 0% −8.00
Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00
Down Royal 7 0 0% −7.00
Killarney 7 0 0% −7.00
Wexford 7 0 0% −7.00
Dundalk (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 27 0 0% −27.00
Class 4 20 2 10% −16.28
Class 6 8 2 25% +45.62
Class 3 6 1 16.7% +5.00
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 4 100% 2.37 +5.59
2nd–3rd fav 16 0 0% 0.00 −16.00
4th–6th fav 39 1 2.6% 0.37 −28.00
7th+ in betting 238 2 0.8% 0.40 −170.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.4% completed · 259 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 9 66.7% 3 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 250 84% 8 9 21 1 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Shadows Return (IRE) 14 1 2 19 Jan 21
Hunters Of Acres (IRE) 8 0 0 3 Nov 16
Scaramucci (IRE) 6 0 0 12 Apr 19
War Room (IRE) 6 0 0 23 Jun 18
Fly Round The Bend (IRE) 6 0 1 8 Feb 18
Bach Along (IRE) 6 0 0 2 Feb 17
Emerald Honours (IRE) 6 0 0 17 Jul 16
Keep Standing (FR) 5 0 0 31 Mar 19
Coral Pearl (IRE) 5 0 0 20 Aug 17
Arab League (IRE) 5 2 3 12 May 12
Tigger (GB) 5 0 3 21 Nov 11
Nananinety (IRE) 4 0 0 25 Nov 21
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 151 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
503006545002
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJohn J Walsh
18% of all rides
3.7% SR · A/E 1.18
TrainerRWSR£1
John J Walsh 54 2 3.7% −33.75
David Pipe 37 3 8.1% −22.28
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
7
Archived wins
£82,212
Prize money
2010
Best season · 2 wins
Shadows Return (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Cork · Aug 2018
£9,240
High In The Clouds (IRE) — New Inn Opportunity Maiden Hurdle Clonmel · Sep 2015
£6,900
Arab League (IRE) — totepool Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Taunton · Dec 2011 · Class 3
£6,498

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Scorpion (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,324 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.
Bach (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,289 runs since 2008 (240 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.7% from 244.
Touch Of Land (FR) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 7.5% of 681 runs since 2012 (44 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.9% from 178. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.3% from 188.
Milan (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,876 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Millenary (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,413 runs since 2011 (120 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 233.
Multiplex (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,181 runs since 2011 (291 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 297 · newest first

The latest 50 of 297 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 September 2008 to 25 November 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Frank Hayes's strike rate?
Frank Hayes has won 7 of 297 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Frank Hayes do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 1 wins from 31 rides (3.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Frank Hayes ride most for?
John J Walsh, with 54 rides since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.7%).
What is Frank Hayes's Fair A/E?
0.60, from 296 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).