What is Freddie Mitchell's strike rate?

Freddie Mitchell has won 54 of 620 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Freddie Mitchell do best at?

Fontwell by strike rate: 9 wins from 80 rides (11.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Freddie Mitchell ride most for?

Gary & Josh Moore, with 153 rides since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (11.8%).

Is Freddie Mitchell in form?

In the last 14 days: 16 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 18.8%. That is above the baseline of 8.7% since 2008.

What is Freddie Mitchell's Fair A/E?

0.80, from 617 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Freddie Mitchell

620 rides in the lifetime window · 383 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 3 winners last 14 days Rides today

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

54–620

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=620

158 (26%)

Placed

0.80

Fair A/E

n=617 · 0.69 incl. margin

−182.21

£1 level stake

n=619 at SP · −29.4%

£718k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.80). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (60 rides). The rider is in form now — 3 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 620 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 33.3% when favourite Gary & Josh Moore: 11.8% from 153 LTO winners: 16.7% Claiming: 9.3% Rides the favourite in 9% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.7% (n=60, Fair A/E 0.88), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=80, Fair A/E 0.68). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.62 and −84.45 to a £1 stake over 128 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is firing: 3 winners from 16 rides in the last 14 days (18.8%, 10.1pts above the 8.7% baseline). Gary & Josh Moore supplies 25% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.8% vs 8.7%, A/E 0.80). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 1.5% over 68 rides, 7.2pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7%−1.7

n=383 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −198.12

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.7%+8.0

n=60 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −17.99

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.7%−4.0

n=128 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −84.45

When favourite

33.3%

n=54 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −6.50

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.3%+0.6

n=496 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −104.08

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.8%−4.9

n=80 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −43.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.7

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 16.9% vs 8.7% · n=65

On last-time-out winners 16.7% vs 8.7% · n=60

Off a 61-180-day break 1.5% vs 8.7% · n=68

With new recruits 14.6% vs 8.7% · n=48

With Nicky Henderson 14% vs 8.7% · n=43

With Daniel Steele 13.9% vs 8.7% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 316 21 6.6% −135.58

Chase 167 20 12% −27.74

Flat 85 7 8.2% −10.75

NH Flat 52 6 11.5% −8.14

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 263 24 9.1% −50.13

Good to Soft 142 13 9.2% −66.21

Soft 116 9 7.8% −40.50

Heavy 36 2 5.6% −23.62

Standard (AW) 36 2 5.6% −27.75

Good to Firm 26 3 11.5% +6.00

Firm 1 1 100% +20.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 80 9 11.3% −40.47

Plumpton 66 7 10.6% −6.00

Newbury 28 4 14.3% +2.75

Cheltenham 25 0 0% −25.00

Sandown 25 1 4% −14.00

Worcester 21 4 19% +16.32

Lingfield 21 1 4.8% −12.50

Huntingdon 20 0 0% −20.00

Kempton 19 2 10.5% +64.75

Stratford 19 0 0% −19.00

Uttoxeter 17 3 17.6% −8.17

Wolverhampton (AW) 16 0 0% −16.00

Chepstow 15 3 20% −7.72

Ascot 15 0 0% −15.00

Market Rasen 14 2 14.3% −7.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 225 25 11.1% −65.01

Class 4 177 18 10.2% +7.67

Class 3 75 4 5.3% −53.25

Class 6 67 3 4.5% −35.45

Class 2 34 4 11.8% +4.83

Class 1 26 0 0% −26.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 61 19 31.1% 0.96 −9.00

2nd–3rd fav 136 13 9.6% 0.55 −75.21

4th–6th fav 215 15 7% 0.88 −77.00

7th+ in betting 207 7 3.4% 1.01 −21.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 203 21 10.3% −85.57

1m5f – 2m 171 16 9.4% −80.27

2m5f – 3m 118 6 5.1% −12.37

Over 3m 58 5 8.6% −4.50

1m2f – 1m4f 42 4 9.5% −8.50

6f – 7f 15 1 6.7% +0.00

1m – 1m1f 10 1 10% +12.00

Under 6f 3 0 0% −3.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2010 1 1 100% +2.75

2011 20 1 5% −5.00

2012 26 3 11.5% +12.00

2013 44 1 2.3% −39.50

2014 41 3 7.3% −17.00

2015 87 7 8% −55.07

2016 44 4 9.1% −9.60

2017 4 0 0% −4.00

2018 3 0 0% −3.00

2019 1 0 0% −1.00

2021 11 0 0% −11.00

2022 16 1 6.3% −13.38

2023 3 1 33.3% +1.00

2024 43 4 9.3% −6.75

2025 170 19 11.2% +7.29

2026 106 9 8.5% −39.95

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 466 42 9% −86.24

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 211 13 6.2% −51.38

5-7 runners 177 23 13% −47.75

11-13 runners 125 12 9.6% −34.20

14-16 runners 50 1 2% −45.00

17+ runners 30 2 6.7% +2.00

2-4 runners 27 3 11.1% −5.88

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

75.6% completed · 483 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 167 73.7% 6 4 34 0 0

Hurdle 316 76.6% 7 4 62 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sanitiser (GB) 9 2 3 5 Apr 26

Bear's Affair (IRE) 9 1 3 13 Apr 16

Land Girl's Luck (IRE) 8 1 4 6 May 26

Taita Hills (IRE) 8 1 2 28 Mar 26

Knockanore (IRE) 8 1 1 18 Mar 26

Butlergrove King (IRE) 8 2 5 12 Jul 16

Le Galli Bier (FR) 7 0 3 23 Feb 26

Only For Love (GB) 7 3 7 11 Aug 16

Hold The Bucks (USA) 7 3 3 21 Dec 15

Ishusharella (GB) 7 0 2 12 May 15

According To Them (IRE) 7 2 2 24 Mar 15

The Bellhop (IRE) 6 1 1 6 Nov 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 383 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

3 from 16 18.8% · +10.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days18.8%

Lifetime base8.7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

111185814136109126

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardGary & Josh Moore

25% of all rides
11.8% SR · A/E 0.80

TrainerRWSR£1

Gary & Josh Moore 153 18 11.8% −40.11

Nicky Henderson 43 6 14% −26.30

Daniel Steele 36 5 13.9% +5.00

Max Comley 36 3 8.3% −17.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

Archived wins

£718k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 19 wins

Knockanore (IRE) — Virgin Bet Eider Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Newcastle · Feb 2025 · Class 2

£41,624

Le Patron (FR) — Coral 'Daily Rewards Shaker' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Newbury · Nov 2024 · Class 2

£28,617

Hermino Aa (FR) — Coral 'Pipped-At-The-Post' And Win Handicap Hurdle Newbury · Nov 2024 · Class 3

£20,812

Notable horses

Only For Love (GB) Hold The Bucks (USA) Sanitiser (GB) Butlergrove King (IRE) According To Them (IRE) A Little Bit Dusty (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Workforce (GB) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 9.1% of 760 runs since 2021 (102 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,390 runs since 2009 (606 horses).

Shantou (USA) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,845 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

The Gurkha (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,032 runs since 2020 (127 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 183. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.9% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 112.

Kalanisi (IRE) 41.7% · 5–12

Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,753 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.

Sinndar (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,410 runs since 2008 (394 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 256. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.3% from 132.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 620 · newest first

The latest 50 of 620 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 November 2010 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Nov 26 Market Rasen This Sway (GB)T: Max Comley NFU Mutual Agriculture Raceday Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran F 11/4

11 Nov 26 Warwick Mariole (FR)T: Nicky Henderson Dudley Peverill Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19f · Good · 5 ran PU 9/2

10 Nov 26 Huntingdon Bread And Butter (IRE)T: Cynthia Woods PricedUp Bet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 7/1

08 Nov 26 Sandown Cluain Chormaic (IRE)T: Karen Jewell Oddschecker Bet Builder Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 11/1

08 Nov 26 Sandown St Pancras (GB)T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore Oddschecker Free Bets Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 11/1

06 Nov 26 Fontwell Mystical Mabel (IRE)T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore Weddings At Fontwell Park Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 20/1

06 Nov 26 Fontwell The Bellhop (IRE)T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore Gary Wrights Big 40th Birthday Celebration Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 19f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/2

05 Nov 26 Newbury Zarakerjack (FR)T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore OLBG Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 1st 4/1

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Onewayortother (FR)T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 1st 15/2

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Suzy Wood (GB)T: Andy Irvine Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 40/1

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Alfred Spero (GB)T: Cynthia Woods John Marshall 80th Birthday Celebration Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 7th 150/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Cayman Dancer (GB)T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore Southern Access Platforms Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 7/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester I Love You Sivola (FR)T: Max Comley Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 4/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester Just Her Type (IRE)T: Max Comley Copybet Pay First Past The Post Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 25/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester Clodders Dream (GB)T: Max Comley Copybet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 125/1

30 Oct 26 Wetherby Timely Salute (GB)T: Max Comley Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Wensleydale Juvenile Hurdle Race (Listed Race) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 7th 12/1

21 Oct 26 Fontwell I Love You Sivola (FR)T: Max Comley tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 7 ran 8th 13/8F

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Hardy Buck (IRE)T: Max Comley tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 14/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Poncho (FR)T: Gary & Josh Moore Alderbrook Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 25/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Only One Blue (IRE)T: Max Comley McCarthy Construction Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · to 8 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Freddie Mitchell's strike rate?: Freddie Mitchell has won 54 of 620 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Freddie Mitchell do best at?: Fontwell by strike rate: 9 wins from 80 rides (11.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Freddie Mitchell ride most for?: Gary & Josh Moore, with 153 rides since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (11.8%).
Is Freddie Mitchell in form?: In the last 14 days: 16 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 18.8%. That is above the baseline of 8.7% since 2008.
What is Freddie Mitchell's Fair A/E?: 0.80, from 617 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.