What is Gavin Ashton's strike rate?

Gavin Ashton has won 19 of 259 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Gavin Ashton do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 34 rides (5.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Gavin Ashton ride most for?

Lisa Williamson, with 57 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.3%).

What is Gavin Ashton's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 256 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Gavin Ashton

259 rides in the lifetime window · 146 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2022 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

19–259

Wins / Runs

7.3%

Strike rate

n=259

59 (23%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=256 · 0.81 incl. margin

−124.33

£1 level stake

n=259 at SP · −48.0%

£145k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). First rides on a horse are a strength: 9% on the first captured pairing (146 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 259 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Lisa Williamson: 5.3% from 57 First rides: 8.9%

The read

Lisa Williamson supplies 22% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (5.3% vs 7.3%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 31-60-day break (20%, n=35) and on Good going (14.5%, n=55). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 2.7% over 111 rides, 4.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.49 across 117 rides (3.4% strike, −72.67 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.9%+1.6

n=146 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −74.66

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

15.8%+8.5

n=19 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −10.19

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.5%−0.8

n=31 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −20.67

When favourite

23.1%

n=13 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −5.02

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.9%−0.4

n=233 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −115.83

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.6%−1.7

n=36 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −22.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.3

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 31-60-day break 20% vs 7.3% · n=35

On Good going 14.5% vs 7.3% · n=55

Over 6f – 7f 2.7% vs 7.3% · n=111

With C&D winners 12.8% vs 7.3% · n=39

On Standard (AW) going 3.4% vs 7.3% · n=117

At trips under 6f 12.2% vs 7.3% · n=41

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 117 4 3.4% −72.67

Good 55 8 14.5% −7.41

Good to Firm 28 3 10.7% −4.75

Good to Soft 24 3 12.5% −8.00

Soft 22 0 0% −22.00

Heavy 8 1 12.5% −4.50

Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 34 2 5.9% −15.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 20 0 0% −20.00

Kempton (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00

Newcastle (AW) 16 0 0% −16.00

Lingfield (AW) 15 1 6.7% −10.67

Southwell (AW) 13 1 7.7% +8.00

Chepstow 12 0 0% −12.00

Catterick 11 0 0% −11.00

Chester 9 1 11.1% +2.00

Bath 8 0 0% −8.00

Ayr 7 1 14.3% −5.27

Haydock 7 0 0% −7.00

Sandown 6 0 0% −6.00

Windsor 6 0 0% −6.00

Yarmouth 6 2 33.3% +1.08

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 126 9 7.1% −58.11

Class 5 79 6 7.6% −53.42

Class 4 37 3 8.1% −6.80

Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 3 6 1 16.7% +5.00

Class 7 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 16 4 25% 0.82 −3.69

2nd–3rd fav 37 8 21.6% 1.41 +1.36

4th–6th fav 79 6 7.6% 0.97 −12.00

7th+ in betting 127 1 0.8% 0.31 −110.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Isabella Ruby (GB) 12 1 4 27 Mar 21

Canimar (GB) 12 0 3 30 Nov 19

Caledonian Gold (GB) 11 0 0 31 Oct 19

Red Stripes (USA) 9 1 5 24 Sep 21

Rail Dancer (GB) 8 2 2 4 Jan 20

Kinglami (GB) 5 0 0 19 Oct 20

Brandy Station (IRE) 5 1 1 7 Nov 19

Elusif (IRE) 5 0 0 12 Oct 19

Catapult (GB) 5 0 2 3 Aug 19

Batraan (IRE) 4 2 3 26 Jun 21

Embrace The Moment (IRE) 4 0 2 27 Sep 20

Peters Pudding (IRE) 4 0 0 18 Dec 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 146 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

11091113413710307

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardLisa Williamson

22% of all rides
5.3% SR · A/E 1.21

TrainerRWSR£1

Lisa Williamson 57 3 5.3% −40.67

Shaun Keightley 47 3 6.4% −10.67

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

Archived wins

£145k

Prize money

2019

Best season · 8 wins

Always Resolute (GB) — Retraining Of Racehorses (ROR) Handicap Chester · Sep 2020 · Class 3

£7,470

Red Stripes (USA) — Ladbrokes Comitted To Safer Gambling Handicap Goodwood · Aug 2019 · Class 5

£5,434

Super Cub (GB) — British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Ripon · Jul 2021 · Class 4

£5,400

Notable horses

Rail Dancer (GB) Batraan (IRE) Isabella Ruby (GB) Red Stripes (USA) Brandy Station (IRE) Penny Pot Lane (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Havana Gold (IRE) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,064 runs since 2017 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.

Acclamation (GB) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Fast Company (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,604 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.7% from 110.

Power (GB) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,727 runs since 2016 (195 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.3% from 353. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.2% from 161.

Leroidesanimaux (BRZ) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 9.2% of 920 runs since 2009 (60 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.2% from 151.

Rail Link (GB) 25% · 2–8

Progeny have won 10.5% of 2,924 runs since 2011 (285 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.5% from 341. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.1% from 239. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.7% from 228.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 259 · newest first

The latest 50 of 259 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 December 2017 to 23 September 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Sep 22 Saint-Cloud (FR) La Estrellita (IRE)T: M Figge Prix Coronation () (3yo Fillies) (Turf)8f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 25/1

26 Oct 21 Newcastle (AW) Yasmin From York (GB)T: Simon Whitaker Betway Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 66/1

25 Oct 21 Redcar Mansfield (GB)T: Stella Barclay Watch Race Replays At racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 14/1

08 Oct 21 Newcastle (AW) Country Charm (GB)T: Simon Whitaker Read Kevin Blake On attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 5/1

08 Oct 21 Newcastle (AW) Liberty Breeze (GB)T: Simon Whitaker Read Kevin Blake On attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 20/1

24 Sep 21 Newcastle (AW) Red Stripes (USA)T: Lisa Williamson Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 6th 50/1

21 Sep 21 Newcastle (AW) Calculus (IRE)T: Sara Ender Cazoo Search Drive Smile Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 11th 12/1

28 Aug 21 Redcar Gorgeous Gobolina (GB)T: Susan Corbett Every Race Live On Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 13th 66/1

28 Aug 21 Redcar Athollblair Boy (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Market Cross Jewellers HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 6th 13/2

24 Aug 21 Yarmouth Niamh And Oonagh (IRE)T: Denis Quinn British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Str)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 8 ran 7th 300/1

13 Aug 21 Newbury Super Cub (GB)T: Roger Varian Bet 10 Get 40 For New Customers NurseryClass 4 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 6/1

09 Aug 21 Ripon Redesdale Rebel (GB)T: Susan Corbett Visit Ripon-races.co.uk Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 10/1

06 Aug 21 Newmarket Niamh And Oonagh (IRE)T: Denis Quinn Rich Club With Rich Energy British EBF 'Newcomers' Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 9th 200/1

04 Aug 21 Yarmouth Cheshire Plain (FR)T: Roger Varian Ibuleve Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 4th 9/4J

03 Aug 21 Catterick Gorgeous Gobolina (GB)T: Susan Corbett racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 13 ran 8th 20/1

02 Aug 21 Newcastle (AW) Jupiter Road (GB)T: Nigel Tinkler MansionBet Bet 10 Get 20 Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 11th 15/2

31 Jul 21 Newmarket Baby Bay (GB)T: Jonathan Portman European Bloodstock News British EBF Fillies' NurseryClass 2 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 9th 9/1

26 Jul 21 Lingfield Cheshire Plain (FR)T: Roger Varian Ian Baker 'Thrifty At 50' Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 5/1

23 Jul 21 York Athollblair Boy (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Ire Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 4th 10/1

17 Jul 21 Ripon Super Cub (GB)T: Roger Varian British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 16/5

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gavin Ashton's strike rate?: Gavin Ashton has won 19 of 259 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gavin Ashton do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 34 rides (5.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Gavin Ashton ride most for?: Lisa Williamson, with 57 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.3%).
What is Gavin Ashton's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 256 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.