Pierre Menard
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.83).
The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (11.4%, n=44). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 2.6% over 38 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2023→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 112 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 112 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 June 2023 to 5 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Pierre Menard's strike rate?
- Pierre Menard has won 7 of 112 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Pierre Menard do best at?
- Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 4 wins from 58 runners (6.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Pierre Menard's Fair A/E?
- 0.83, from 112 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.