Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceFirst rides: 6.5%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.5%+0.8
n=31 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −22.09
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
33.3%+27.6
n=3 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −1.09
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10%+4.3
n=10 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −1.09
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.7%+0.0
n=53 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −31.09
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−5.7
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
When claiming5.7% vs 5.7% · n=53 · A/E 0.57
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle4536.7%−23.09
Chase300%−3.00
Flat300%−3.00
NH Flat200%−2.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft1715.9%−4.00
Good1500%−15.00
Soft10220%−1.09
Good to Firm500%−5.00
Heavy400%−4.00
Standard (AW)200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Taunton800%−8.00
Newton Abbot600%−6.00
Musselburgh400%−4.00
Market Rasen4125%+9.00
Fontwell300%−3.00
Southwell200%−2.00
Stratford200%−2.00
Ludlow200%−2.00
Catterick2150%−0.09
Ayr2150%+5.00
Doncaster200%−2.00
Huntingdon200%−2.00
Kilbeggan200%−2.00
Southwell (AW)100%−1.00
Leicester100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 42114.8%−8.00
Class 520210%−11.09
Class 6300%−3.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Class 3100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite5120%0.62−3.09
2nd–3rd fav1516.7%0.42−8.00
4th–6th fav1317.7%1.30+0.00
7th+ in betting2000%0.00−20.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f2214.5%−15.00
1m5f – 2m1715.9%−15.09
2m5f – 3m7114.3%+6.00
Over 3m400%−4.00
1m2f – 1m4f200%−2.00
6f – 7f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2022900%−9.00
2023700%−7.00
2024500%−5.00
202514321.4%+7.91
20261800%−18.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4037.5%−18.09
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners19210.5%+1.00
5-7 runners1616.3%−14.09
11-13 runners1100%−11.00
14-16 runners500%−5.00
17+ runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 32 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
By month
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
2990000000000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Progeny have won 12.3% of 1,673 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good going: 16.6% from 392. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 278.
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,103 runs since 2008 (282 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.2% from 154. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.7% from 149. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.9% from 302.
Lord Of England (GER)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.4% of 1,096 runs since 2008 (151 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.3% from 284. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7% from 142.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 71 · newest first
The latest 50 of 71 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2020 to 30 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is James Robottom's strike rate?
James Robottom has won 3 of 53 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is James Robottom in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is James Robottom's Fair A/E?
0.57, from 53 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
James Robottom·SR 5.7%·A/E 0.57
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