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Jockey profile

Josh Doyle

638 rides in the lifetime window · 284 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Nov 2017 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
56–638
Wins / Runs
8.8%
Strike rate
n=638
176 (28%)
Placed
0.82
Fair A/E
n=637 · 0.70 incl. margin
−183.77
£1 level stake
n=638 at SP · −28.8%
£411k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.3%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 110 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 11% (74 rides). Rode mostly for David O'Meara — 63% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 638 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance 18.6% when favourite David O'Meara: 7.9% from 404 LTO winners: 10.8% Rode the favourite in 9% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Beverley (22.7%, n=44), clear of the rider's 8.8% baseline. It is weakest at York (2.6% over 38 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=119, Fair A/E 0.55). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 8.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −78.75 to a £1 stake over 284 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. David O'Meara supplied 63% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.9%, A/E 0.70). The rider also read well at trips under 6f (15%, n=127) and off a 0-7-day break (14.1%, n=71). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 35 rides, 8.8pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Jebediah Shine (GB) — 5 wins from 13 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
8.5%−0.3
n=284 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −78.75
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
10.8%+2.0
n=74 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −31.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
4.2%−4.6
n=72 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −52.50
When favourite
18.6%
n=59 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −18.02
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.8%+0.0
n=588 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −164.77
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.4%−5.4
n=119 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −88.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Beverley 22.7% vs 8.8% · n=44
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 8.8% · n=35
At trips under 6f 15% vs 8.8% · n=127
Off a 0-7-day break 14.1% vs 8.8% · n=71
At York 2.6% vs 8.8% · n=38
In Class 2 2.9% vs 8.8% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 194 15 7.7% −72.25
Good to Firm 150 16 10.7% −20.50
Good 125 7 5.6% −56.00
Good to Soft 82 10 12.2% −25.02
Soft 73 8 11% +4.00
Heavy 14 0 0% −14.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 101 11 10.9% −17.75
Newcastle (AW) 49 2 4.1% −33.50
Beverley 44 10 22.7% +47.50
Redcar 40 3 7.5% −31.02
York 38 1 2.6% −21.00
Ripon 36 3 8.3% −13.50
Catterick 35 5 14.3% +4.50
Doncaster 33 2 6.1% −22.00
Thirsk 29 1 3.4% −24.00
Hamilton 28 4 14.3% −1.75
Pontefract 23 1 4.3% +3.00
Ayr 21 1 4.8% −15.50
Carlisle 17 3 17.6% +6.50
Chelmsford City (AW) 16 1 6.3% −10.00
Haydock 15 2 13.3% −2.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 216 15 6.9% −107.00
Class 6 166 21 12.7% −1.52
Class 4 146 14 9.6% −11.50
Class 3 68 5 7.4% −24.75
Class 2 34 1 2.9% −31.00
Class 7 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 76 15 19.7% 0.80 −15.52
2nd–3rd fav 156 17 10.9% 0.69 −53.75
4th–6th fav 191 17 8.9% 1.04 −38.50
7th+ in betting 215 7 3.3% 0.79 −76.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jacbequick (GB) 25 2 9 14 Oct 17
Shouranour (IRE) 22 4 7 31 Oct 17
Scoreline (GB) 18 3 6 29 Oct 15
Dansili Dutch (IRE) 17 2 7 22 Dec 14
Jebediah Shine (GB) 13 5 8 27 May 16
La Havrese (FR) 11 3 5 7 Jul 17
Innocently (IRE) 11 0 1 12 Nov 16
Berlusca (IRE) 10 0 2 6 Feb 17
Meandmyshadow (GB) 9 1 3 11 Nov 17
Edward Lewis (GB) 9 2 3 14 Oct 17
Maraakib (IRE) 9 1 2 27 Sep 17
Classic Flyer (GB) 9 0 1 29 Aug 16
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 284 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
66197910123691217
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDavid O'Meara
63% of all rides
7.9% SR · A/E 0.70
TrainerRWSR£1
David O'Meara 404 32 7.9% −167.27
Alan Brown 44 6 13.6% +27.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
56
Archived wins
£411k
Prize money
2016
Best season · 25 wins
Coolfitch (IRE) — Yorkshire Equine Practice Handicap York · May 2017 · Class 3
£12,450
Commander Cole (GB) — 32Red.com Nursery Wolverhampton (AW) · Nov 2016 · Class 2
£8,821
Jebediah Shine (GB) — Bet Totetrifecta Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Jan 2016 · Class 4
£8,086
Notable horses
Jebediah Shine (GB) Shouranour (IRE) Scoreline (GB) La Havrese (FR) Jacbequick (GB) Dansili Dutch (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Lawman (FR) 15.2% · 7–46
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,423 runs since 2008 (730 horses).
Kyllachy (GB) 25% · 10–40
Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.
Dutch Art (GB) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 12.1% of 8,108 runs since 2008 (600 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 18.1% from 700. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9% from 365.
Captain Gerrard (IRE) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 8.3% of 3,054 runs since 2008 (175 horses).
Calcutta (GB) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 8.8% of 125 runs since 2008 (7 horses).
Kheleyf (USA) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,546 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 638 · newest first

The latest 50 of 638 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 August 2012 to 25 November 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Nov 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Ingleby Angel (IRE)T: David O'Meara Betway Casino HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 9/2
25 Nov 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Michele Strogoff (GB)T: Tony Coyle Betway Claiming StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 6/1
11 Nov 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Meandmyshadow (GB)T: Alan Brown Betway Casino Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 6/1
10 Nov 17 Newcastle (AW) Poppy In The Wind (GB)T: Alan Brown Betway Casino HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 20/1
10 Nov 17 Newcastle (AW) Night Shadow (GB)T: Alan Brown Bet & Watch At sunbets.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 66/1
31 Oct 17 Catterick Shouranour (IRE)T: Alan Brown Dine And View At Catterick Races HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 11/1
28 Oct 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Rapid Ranger (GB)T: David O'Meara Betway Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 9/2
24 Oct 17 Newcastle (AW) Poppy In The Wind (GB)T: Alan Brown Betway Dash Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 20/1
21 Oct 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Coillte Cailin (IRE)T: David O'Meara FCL Global Forwarding Making Logistics Personal HandicapClass 3 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 40/1
20 Oct 17 Newcastle (AW) The Amber Fort (USA)T: David O'Meara Global North East Trick Or Treat HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 7/1
20 Oct 17 Redcar Captain Bond (GB)T: David O'Meara Watch Racing UK Anywhere Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 11/1
20 Oct 17 Redcar Dutch Artist (IRE)T: Alan Brown Racing UK In Glorious HD HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 10th 10/1
14 Oct 17 York Jacbequick (GB)T: David O'Meara Coldstream Guards Association Cup HandicapClass 3 · 10.5f · Good · 18 ran 18th 16/1
14 Oct 17 York Edward Lewis (GB)T: David O'Meara Coral Sprint Trophy HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Good · 20 ran 14th 33/1
13 Oct 17 York Shouranour (IRE)T: Alan Brown Irish Thoroughbred Marketing HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good · 19 ran 11th 33/1
11 Oct 17 Nottingham Unblinking (GB)T: Nigel Twiston-Davies 32Red Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 8th 33/1
09 Oct 17 Pontefract Dandyleekie (IRE)T: David O'Meara Napoleons Casino Bradford HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 16 ran 15th 16/1
07 Oct 17 Wolverhampton (AW) Highland Acclaim (IRE)T: David O'Meara bet365 HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 50/1
30 Sep 17 Ripon Jacbequick (GB)T: David O'Meara Constant Security HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 14/1
30 Sep 17 Ripon Golden Apollo (GB)T: Tim Easterby Ripon Cathedral City Of The Dales HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Josh Doyle's strike rate?
Josh Doyle has won 56 of 638 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Josh Doyle do best at?
Beverley by strike rate: 10 wins from 44 rides (22.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Josh Doyle ride most for?
David O'Meara, with 404 rides since 2008 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (7.9%).
What is Josh Doyle's Fair A/E?
0.82, from 637 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).