Tony Coyle
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.91). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 13% off breaks of two months or more (32 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 12.5% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.73). Tom Eaves rides 28% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (5.1% vs 9%, A/E 0.59). The yard also reads well on Soft going (17.6%, n=34) and over 6f – 7f (12%, n=100). The market has also underrated the yard in Class 6: Fair A/E 1.26 across 83 runners (12% strike, +7.25 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 4.7% over 43 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Friarstown Stud Sapphire Stakes at Curragh (Jul 2017, £70,800). The stable star of the record: Thatcherite (IRE) — 9 wins from 66 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,061 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,061 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 July 2011 to 2 February 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Tony Coyle's strike rate?
- Tony Coyle has won 19 of 211 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Who rides most for Tony Coyle?
- Tom Eaves, with 59 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.1%).
- What is Tony Coyle's Fair A/E?
- 0.91, from 209 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.