Skip to content
Trainer profile

Tony Coyle

211 runners in the last 5 seasons · 23 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2024 98% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
19–211
Wins / Runs
9%
Strike rate
n=211
54 (26%)
Placed
0.91
Fair A/E
n=209 · 0.76 incl. margin
−56.00
£1 level stake
n=211 at SP · −26.5%
£189k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.91). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 13% off breaks of two months or more (32 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 211 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 12.5% Tom Eaves: 5.1% from 59 Claiming riders: 11.1%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 12.5% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.73). Tom Eaves rides 28% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (5.1% vs 9%, A/E 0.59). The yard also reads well on Soft going (17.6%, n=34) and over 6f – 7f (12%, n=100). The market has also underrated the yard in Class 6: Fair A/E 1.26 across 83 runners (12% strike, +7.25 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 4.7% over 43 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Friarstown Stud Sapphire Stakes at Curragh (Jul 2017, £70,800). The stable star of the record: Thatcherite (IRE) — 9 wins from 66 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
12.5%+3.5
n=32 · A/E 1.73 · £1 +28.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
16.7%+7.7
n=6 · A/E 3.48 · £1 +9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
6.7%−2.3
n=15 · A/E 0.83 · £1 +19.00
When favourite
25%
n=24 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −6.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.1%+2.1
n=45 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +12.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 17.6% vs 9% · n=34
On Good to Soft going 4.7% vs 9% · n=43
With Tom Eaves 5.1% vs 9% · n=59
Over 6f – 7f 12% vs 9% · n=100
In Class 6 12% vs 9% · n=83
On Good going 5.6% vs 9% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 207 19 9.2% −52.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 48 3 6.3% −20.50
Good to Soft 43 2 4.7% −22.50
Good 36 2 5.6% −15.50
Soft 34 6 17.6% −1.25
Good to Firm 32 4 12.5% +14.25
Heavy 18 2 11.1% −10.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 27 2 7.4% −11.50
Ripon 19 1 5.3% −16.75
Southwell (AW) 17 1 5.9% −5.00
York 17 1 5.9% −12.50
Thirsk 17 2 11.8% +2.50
Beverley 17 0 0% −17.00
Doncaster 15 3 20% +2.50
Catterick 12 1 8.3% +22.00
Redcar 12 1 8.3% −8.50
Wetherby 9 1 11.1% −4.00
Chester 8 0 0% −8.00
Leicester 6 3 50% +6.25
Pontefract 6 0 0% −6.00
Ayr 5 1 20% +10.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 83 10 12% +7.25
Class 5 48 5 10.4% −1.25
Class 4 46 4 8.7% −28.00
Class 3 20 0 0% −20.00
Class 2 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 29 8 27.6% 1.08 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 37 3 8.1% 0.54 −20.00
4th–6th fav 66 6 9.1% 1.07 −3.00
7th+ in betting 79 2 2.5% 0.83 −30.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Wots The Wifi Code (GB) 8 1 3 21 Oct 22
Selby's Joy (GB)then Brian Rothwell 7 0 0 7 Nov 23
Teatime Tipple (GB) 7 0 1 28 Sep 22
Newgate Angel (GB) 7 1 1 28 Aug 22
All 23 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 23 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood (11); 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
01720716691641000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderTom Eaves
28% of all rides
5.1% SR · A/E 0.59
RiderRWSR£1
Tom Eaves 59 3 5.1% −36.50
Kieran Schofield 32 3 9.4% +11.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
170
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.42m
Prize money
2015
Best season · 27 wins
Caspian Prince (IRE) — Friarstown Stud Sapphire Stakes (group 2) Curragh · Jul 2017 · Group 2
£70,800
Caspian Prince (IRE) — Investec Corporate Banking 'Dash' Handicap Epsom Downs · Jun 2017 · Class 2
£61,590
Caspian Prince (IRE) — Betway Conditions Stakes (Qualifier) Newcastle (AW) · Jan 2018 · Class 2
£18,903

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 10.9% · 7–64
Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,215 runs since 2008 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.
Galileo Gold (GB) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 10.8% of 2,005 runs since 2008 (172 horses).
Equiano (FR) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,537 runs since 2008 (549 horses).
Lethal Force (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,261 runs since 2008 (268 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.2% from 356.
Dandy Man (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,899 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Fast Company (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,588 runs since 2008 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 557. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,061 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,061 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 July 2011 to 2 February 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tony Coyle's strike rate?
Tony Coyle has won 19 of 211 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Tony Coyle?
Tom Eaves, with 59 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.1%).
What is Tony Coyle's Fair A/E?
0.91, from 209 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).