Lauren Young
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (57 rides). Rides mostly for Jim Goldie — 91% of rides in the window.
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.1% (n=57, Fair A/E 1.37), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 1.03). Jim Goldie supplies 91% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.7%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Class 3 (17.4%, n=46) and off a 0-7-day break (15.6%, n=77). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 2.1% over 48 rides, 8.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.49 across 59 rides (5.1% strike, −6.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Midnight Lion (GB) — 6 wins from 14 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2024→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 459 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 459 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 June 2024 to 6 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · to 4 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Lauren Young's strike rate?
- Lauren Young has won 49 of 459 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Lauren Young do best at?
- Musselburgh by strike rate: 8 wins from 63 rides (12.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Lauren Young ride most for?
- Jim Goldie, with 418 rides since 2022 — 91% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (11.7%).
- Is Lauren Young in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Lauren Young's Fair A/E?
- 1.01, from 457 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.