Gemma Tutty
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 200 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99).
It is weakest at Thirsk (4.2% over 48 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.5% (n=110, Fair A/E 0.64). Connor Beasley rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.5%, A/E 0.80). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (21.8%, n=87). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.9% over 34 runners, 7.2pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Enola Grey (IRE) — 6 wins from 51 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 980 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 980 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 April 2022 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Gemma Tutty's strike rate?
- Gemma Tutty has won 99 of 981 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Gemma Tutty do best at?
- Ripon by strike rate: 6 wins from 43 runners (14%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Gemma Tutty?
- Connor Beasley, with 177 runners since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (8.5%).
- Is Gemma Tutty in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Gemma Tutty's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 973 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.