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Trainer profile

Stephen Hanlon

105 runners in the last 5 seasons · 29 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2022
11–105
Wins / Runs
10.5%
Strike rate
n=105
30 (29%)
Placed
1.02
Fair A/E
n=105 · 0.86 incl. margin
−21.50
£1 level stake
n=105 at SP · −20.5%
£104k
Prize money (window)
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02).

Deterministic profile computed from 105 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 7.3% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.69). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 0% over 42 runners, 10.5pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−10.5
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.7%−2.8
n=26 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −13.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.5
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−10.5
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−10.5
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
10%
n=10 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −6.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.3%−3.2
n=55 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −31.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 0% vs 10.5% · n=42
With claiming riders up 7.3% vs 10.5% · n=55
In Class 6 13.1% vs 10.5% · n=61
With Conor Whiteley 12.8% vs 10.5% · n=39
Off a 15-30-day break 8.3% vs 10.5% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 66 7 10.6% −30.00
Good 22 2 9.1% −9.50
Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 6 1 16.7% +20.00
Soft 2 1 50% +7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 46 5 10.9% −17.50
Southwell (AW) 16 1 6.3% −11.50
Redcar 7 1 14.3% +0.50
Musselburgh 6 0 0% −6.00
York 5 0 0% −5.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 4 1 25% −1.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Ayr 3 0 0% −3.00
Thirsk 3 0 0% −3.00
Catterick 3 0 0% −3.00
Hamilton 2 1 50% +7.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Wetherby 1 0 0% −1.00
Carlisle 1 0 0% −1.00
Beverley 1 1 100% +25.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 61 8 13.1% −17.50
Class 4 22 1 4.5% +4.00
Class 5 19 2 10.5% −5.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 1 9.1% 0.38 −7.00
2nd–3rd fav 28 6 21.4% 1.40 −0.50
4th–6th fav 33 3 9.1% 1.04 −7.00
7th+ in betting 33 1 3% 1.06 −7.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rubellite (IRE)from Fionn McSharry 9 3 5 8 Oct 26
Harry The Rogue (IRE)from Andrew Slattery 8 0 1 13 Oct 26
Fortunate Star (IRE)from Declan Carroll 8 2 5 22 Apr 26
Bridgefoot Rambler (GB)from Ann Duffield 7 0 1 15 Oct 26
Esque Elegance (IRE)from Ann Duffield 7 1 4 29 Apr 26
Evening Blues (IRE)from G M Lyons 6 0 1 13 Sep 26
Front Gunner (IRE)from Ann Duffield · then Ivan Furtado 6 0 1 2 May 26
Velvet Skies (IRE)from Michael Mulvany · then W H Harrison 5 0 0 15 May 26
Runninman (IRE)from Ann Duffield · then Donald Whillans 5 0 0 19 Mar 26
Azucena (IRE)from Ann Duffield 5 1 3 11 Mar 26
Lindoro (GB)from Ann Duffield 4 0 0 22 Aug 26
Hi Lord (GB)from W H Harrison 3 1 1 8 Oct 26
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ann Duffield (11) and W H Harrison (2); 3 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Noel Wilson (3) and Ivan Furtado (2); 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
2 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
119652211001520··
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderConor Whiteley
37% of all rides
12.8% SR · A/E 1.10
RiderRWSR£1
Conor Whiteley 39 5 12.8% −12.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
17
Archived wins
£141k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 11 wins
Brandenburg (GB) — EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Beverley · May 2026 · Class 4
£5,927
Diggin Deep (IRE) — Watch Racing TV Now Handicap Hurdle Ayr · May 2019 · Class 4
£5,003
Esque Elegance (IRE) — Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Apr 2026 · Class 6
£4,711
Notable horses
Rubellite (IRE) Diggin Deep (IRE) Fortunate Star (IRE) Esque Elegance (IRE) Our Manekineko (GB) Azucena (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Iffraaj (GB) 33.3% · 3–9
Progeny have won 10.6% of 13,951 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 489.
The Gurkha (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,022 runs since 2008 (127 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 183. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.9% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 111.
Unfortunately (IRE) 25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 9.4% of 660 runs since 2008 (46 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 13.6% from 236.
Far Above (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 8.6% of 638 runs since 2008 (71 horses).
Portamento (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.2% of 65 runs since 2008 (10 horses).
Blue Point (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 14% of 3,386 runs since 2008 (412 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 17% from 335. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.7% from 206.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 170 · newest first

The latest 50 of 170 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 July 2018 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Hey Havana (IRE)J: Jack Callan Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 5/1
16 Oct 26 Redcar Cavan Lady (GB)J: Cieren Fallon Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 13/2
16 Oct 26 Redcar Pushing The Limits (GB)J: David Probert Join Racing TV Now British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 5th 3/1
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Nefyn Queen (GB)J: Ethan Tindall Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 125/1
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Bridgefoot Rambler (GB)J: Jack Nicholls Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 50/1
13 Oct 26 Leicester Harry The Rogue (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse Book Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 28/1
08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rubellite (IRE)J: Donagh Murphy Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 12/1
08 Oct 26 Bath Hi Lord (GB)J: Ray Dawson Mda Consulting Ltd Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 14 ran 1st 4/1
03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Hi Lord (GB)J: Billy Garritty Bettingsites.co.uk Find Your Bookmaker Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 7/2F
01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) If I Could Dream (GB)J: Conor Whiteley Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 28/1
28 Sep 26 Hamilton Great Profit (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Phoenix Drilling Ground Investigation Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 8/1
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Pushing The Limits (GB)J: Conor Whiteley United Infrastructure Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 11/2
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Sutton Hoo (IRE)J: Ethan Tindall Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 22/1
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Rubellite (IRE)J: Conor Whiteley Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 100/30F
17 Sep 26 Ayr Great Profit (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Brandinghub For Signs & Graphics Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 12th 15/2
17 Sep 26 Ayr Hi Lord (GB)J: Tom Eaves Brandinghub For Signs & Graphics Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 11th 10/1
13 Sep 26 Doncaster Evening Blues (IRE)J: Ethan Tindall Duncan Pearce Memorial Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 13th 25/1
09 Sep 26 Redcar Sutton Hoo (IRE)J: Conor Whiteley Constant Security Services Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 9th 33/1
05 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Rubellite (IRE)J: Conor Whiteley Quinnbet.com Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12.5f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 4/1
02 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Harry The Rogue (IRE)J: Conor Whiteley Follow @attheraces On X Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stephen Hanlon's strike rate?
Stephen Hanlon has won 11 of 105 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stephen Hanlon do best at?
Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 46 runners (10.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Stephen Hanlon in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Stephen Hanlon's Fair A/E?
1.02, from 105 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).