What is Grant Tuer's strike rate?

Grant Tuer has won 180 of 1,636 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Grant Tuer do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 19 wins from 92 runners (20.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Grant Tuer?

Oliver Stammers, with 581 runners since 2022 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 67 (11.5%).

Is Grant Tuer in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Grant Tuer's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 1,631 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Grant Tuer

1,636 runners in the last 5 seasons · 141 individual horses

As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 8.4% of 273 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 24 Oct 2026.

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

180–1,636

Wins / Runs

11%

Strike rate

n=1,636

504 (31%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=1,631 · 0.88 incl. margin

−338.09

£1 level stake

n=1,636 at SP · −20.7%

£2.33m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 330 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04). With a claiming rider up the record reads 14% (252 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,636 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Oct 28.1% when favourite Oliver Stammers: 11.5% from 581 Claiming riders: 14.3% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Musselburgh (20.7%, n=92), clear of the yard's 11% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 14.3% (n=252, Fair A/E 1.18), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.7% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.45). Oliver Stammers rides 36% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.5%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (23.1%, n=156). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 2.7% over 37 runners, 8.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the William Hill Great St Wilfrid Handicap at Ripon (Aug 2023, £51,540). The stable star of the record: Bellarchi (IRE) — 13 wins from 51 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.6%−1.4

n=229 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +39.24

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.1%−1.9

n=33 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −9.00

Debutants · first career start

3.9%−7.1

n=77 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −49.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.6%−5.4

n=18 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −10.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.5%+1.5

n=32 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +18.20

When favourite

28.1%

n=146 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −31.49

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.3%+3.3

n=252 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −29.32

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.7%−8.3

n=37 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −30.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 23.1% vs 11% · n=156

At Musselburgh 20.7% vs 11% · n=92

With C&D winners 17.8% vs 11% · n=225

With debutants 3.9% vs 11% · n=77

In Class 1 2.7% vs 11% · n=37

In Group / Graded races 2.7% vs 11% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 624 73 11.7% −92.79

Good 403 47 11.7% −78.55

Good to Firm 267 27 10.1% −62.67

Soft 155 13 8.4% −73.40

Good to Soft 150 16 10.7% −23.18

Heavy 37 4 10.8% −7.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 371 40 10.8% −73.61

Southwell (AW) 143 24 16.8% +38.79

Ripon 106 14 13.2% −12.37

Catterick 98 9 9.2% −8.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 94 7 7.4% −58.47

York 93 6 6.5% +5.50

Musselburgh 92 19 20.7% +10.19

Redcar 91 9 9.9% −36.24

Doncaster 76 4 5.3% −57.80

Carlisle 69 10 14.5% −16.55

Thirsk 62 4 6.5% −32.50

Ayr 47 3 6.4% −19.00

Haydock 45 5 11.1% +14.25

Hamilton 45 3 6.7% −32.50

Beverley 42 4 9.5% −11.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 552 65 11.8% −48.64

Class 6 423 45 10.6% −146.03

Class 4 374 44 11.8% −71.85

Class 3 131 12 9.2% −28.67

Class 2 118 13 11% −11.40

Class 1 37 1 2.7% −30.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 174 49 28.2% 1.00 −28.49

2nd–3rd fav 381 70 18.4% 1.15 −12.10

4th–6th fav 551 44 8% 0.97 −92.00

7th+ in betting 530 17 3.2% 0.90 −205.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Showtime Mahomes (GB) 58 7 18 16 Oct 26

Bellarchi (IRE) 51 13 22 13 Sep 26

Mersea (FR) 42 6 12 14 Feb 26

Jesmond Dawn (IRE) 41 4 15 20 Oct 26

Glorious Angel (IRE)from Hugo Palmer 40 4 12 3 Nov 25

Gunnerside (IRE) 39 3 12 10 Jan 25

Highland Olly (GB) 35 6 12 21 Sep 26

Bicep (IRE)from Archie Watson 35 4 11 17 Oct 24

Al Hussar (GB) 34 5 14 16 Oct 26

Westmorian (GB) 34 6 13 15 Aug 26

Lezardrieux (GB) 33 3 6 27 Feb 25

Sophia's Starlight (FR) 32 8 15 8 Nov 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 141 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Archie Watson (2); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Ivan Furtado (2) and Patrick Chamings (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

4 from 13

Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1610810111311111212410

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderOliver Stammers

36% of all rides
11.5% SR · A/E 1.04

RiderRWSR£1

Oliver Stammers 581 67 11.5% −107.83

Sam James 498 55 11% −78.61

Harrison Shaw 142 12 8.5% −33.80

P J McDonald 33 3 9.1% −15.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

287

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.02m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 49 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Sophia's Starlight (FR) — William Hill Great St Wilfrid Handicap Ripon · Aug 2023 · Class 2

£51,540

Love Talk (IRE) — British Ebf 100,000 2yo Fillies' Series Final (Ebf Restricted Race Series) (GBB Race) Goodwood · Sep 2024 · Class 2

£50,960

Bellarchi (IRE) — Queen Charlotte Fillies' Stakes (Listed) Chester · Jun 2026 · Listed

£34,488

Notable horses

Bellarchi (IRE) Lezardrieux (GB) Gunnerside (IRE) Showtime Mahomes (GB) Sophia's Starlight (FR) Swinging Eddie (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mehmas (IRE) 19.8% · 17–86

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,132 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Gutaifan (IRE) 8.5% · 7–82

Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,755 runs since 2008 (301 horses).

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 10% · 7–70

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,867 runs since 2008 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Bated Breath (GB) 14.1% · 9–64

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,139 runs since 2008 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 847.

Dabirsim (FR) 12.1% · 7–58

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,141 runs since 2008 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 254. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 144.

Kodiac (GB) 12.5% · 7–56

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,548 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,454 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,454 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 April 2005 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Advertised (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 7/2F

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Farandaway (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 13/2

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sycamore Gap (GB)J: Oliver Stammers Midnite: Built For 2027 Not 2007 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 14/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Staniel Cay (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 12/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Poppeye (GB)J: Oliver Stammers Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 5/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Titainium (GB)J: Oliver Stammers AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 7/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Jesmond Dawn (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers All-Weather Championships Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Schrodinger's Cat (GB)J: Lauren Young William Hill Catterick Dash Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 14/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Al Hussar (GB)J: Rowan Scott Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 22/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Showtime Mahomes (GB)J: Kevin Stott Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 7/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Empire Of Light (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 14/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Veloxian (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 250/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Medran (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 250/1

10 Oct 26 York Empire Of Light (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers Sky Bet Price Boosts Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 9th 25/1

10 Oct 26 York Advertised (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Sky Bet Sprint Trophy Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 21 ran 2nd 28/1

09 Oct 26 York Schrodinger's Cat (GB)J: Oliver Stammers Copper Knight Winning-most Horse Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 18/1

05 Oct 26 Pontefract Showtime Mahomes (GB)J: Oliver Stammers Constant Security Services Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 12/1

03 Oct 26 Redcar Al Hussar (GB)J: Oliver Stammers Watch Race Replays On Racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good · 13 ran 7th 16/1

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Spruce (GB)J: Oliver Stammers Insulation Contractors Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 80/1

01 Oct 26 Nottingham Empire Of Light (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers £9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Grant Tuer's strike rate?: Grant Tuer has won 180 of 1,636 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Grant Tuer do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 19 wins from 92 runners (20.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Grant Tuer?: Oliver Stammers, with 581 runners since 2022 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 67 (11.5%).
Is Grant Tuer in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Grant Tuer's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 1,631 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.