John Quinn
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). With a claiming rider up the record reads 19% (62 runs).
It is weakest at Redcar (0% over 32 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 19.4% (n=62, Fair A/E 1.38), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 8.1% (n=99, Fair A/E 0.76). Jason Hart rides 59% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.6%, A/E 0.90). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (19%, n=137). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 3.9% over 103 runners, 8.2pts below the baseline. 43 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coolmore Wootton Bassett Nunthorpe Stakes at York (Aug 2022, £302,690). The stable star of the record: Mr Wagyu (IRE) — 15 wins from 83 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 7,910 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 7,910 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 25 January 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is John Quinn's strike rate?
- John Quinn has won 90 of 744 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does John Quinn do best at?
- Ayr by strike rate: 6 wins from 32 runners (18.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for John Quinn?
- Jason Hart, with 440 runners since 2022 — 59% of the total. That pairing has won 51 (11.6%).
- What is John Quinn's Fair A/E?
- 0.96, from 737 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.