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Trainer profile

Peter Salmon

276 runners in the lifetime window · 34 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2013
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
15–276
Wins / Runs
5.4%
Strike rate
n=276
48 (17%)
Placed
0.97
Fair A/E
n=273 · 0.82 incl. margin
−77.50
£1 level stake
n=276 at SP · −28.1%
£79,270
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 60 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). With a claiming rider up the record reads 9% (88 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 276 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Jul Fresh horses: 5.6% Claiming riders: 9.1%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 9.1% (n=88, Fair A/E 1.65). The yard also read well off a 8-14-day break (10.1%, n=69) and over 6f – 7f (9.6%, n=73). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 41 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fired Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.6%+0.2
n=54 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −14.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
3.4%−2.0
n=29 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −24.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.4
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
9.1%
n=11 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −8.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.1%+3.7
n=88 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +36.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 5.4% · n=41
Off a 8-14-day break 10.1% vs 5.4% · n=69
In Chase races 0% vs 5.4% · n=30
Over 6f – 7f 9.6% vs 5.4% · n=73
With claiming riders up 9.1% vs 5.4% · n=88
In Class 6 9.5% vs 5.4% · n=42
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 217 15 6.9% −18.50
Chase 30 0 0% −30.00
Hurdle 24 0 0% −24.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm 68 2 2.9% −42.50
Good 60 2 3.3% −34.00
Standard (AW) 54 4 7.4% −28.50
Soft 49 3 6.1% +29.00
Good to Soft 35 2 5.7% −20.50
Heavy 7 2 28.6% +22.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 29 1 3.4% −20.00
Catterick 22 0 0% −22.00
Southwell (AW) 21 3 14.3% −4.50
Doncaster 19 0 0% −19.00
Haydock 17 2 11.8% +39.00
Beverley 16 0 0% −16.00
Pontefract 14 0 0% −14.00
Thirsk 14 1 7.1% +9.00
Newcastle 13 1 7.7% −9.00
Wetherby 13 0 0% −13.00
York 12 0 0% −12.00
Redcar 11 2 18.2% +18.00
Nottingham 9 1 11.1% −1.00
Carlisle 8 1 12.5% +11.00
Leicester 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 125 8 6.4% −30.00
Class 4 78 3 3.8% −15.50
Class 6 42 4 9.5% −1.00
Class 3 28 0 0% −28.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 3 21.4% 1.03 +1.75
2nd–3rd fav 20 4 20% 1.49 +2.25
4th–6th fav 70 3 4.3% 0.67 −44.50
7th+ in betting 172 5 2.9% 0.93 −37.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Hydrant (GB)from Peter Chapple-Hyam · then Richard Guest 32 2 10 19 Dec 12
Border Owl (IRE)from Nick Gifford 24 3 5 10 May 11
Wyatt Earp (IRE)from Richard Fahey · then Richard Guest 21 2 5 20 Nov 10
Boy Blue (GB)from D W Barker 16 0 3 21 Jun 11
Half A Crown (IRE)from Noel Quinlan · then Nick Kent 15 3 5 10 Dec 12
Why So Serious (GB)from Donald Whillans 15 0 0 1 Nov 11
Border Fox (GB)from L Lungo 12 0 0 15 Aug 10
El Mcglynn (IRE)from John O'Shea · then William Kinsey 11 3 5 31 Oct 12
Calypso Cay (GB)from Mark Johnston 10 0 2 2 Jan 13
So Cheeky (GB)from Richard Hannon Snr · then Richard Guest 10 0 1 2 Nov 12
Adare Prince (IRE)from Philip Hobbs 10 0 0 12 Oct 11
Daltaban (FR)from Emma Lavelle 10 0 0 4 Jun 10
All 34 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 34 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Quinn (2) and Noel Quinlan (2); 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Ollie Pears (4) and Richard Guest (4); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01266677110340
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGreg Fairley
14% of all rides
2.6% SR · A/E 0.50
RiderRWSR£1
Greg Fairley 38 1 2.6% −34.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
15
Archived wins
£79,270
Prize money
2012
Best season · 7 wins
El Mcglynn (IRE) — TuffX Glass Handicap (Betfair Sprint Flat Series Qualifier) Haydock · Jul 2012 · Class 4
£5,175
El Mcglynn (IRE) — At The Races Sky 415 Handicap Ripon · Aug 2012 · Class 4
£4,528
Chiswick Bey (IRE) — Professional Footballers' Association Supports TRC Handicap (Div 1) Haydock · Aug 2012 · Class 4
£4,205

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Haafhd (GB) 6.3% · 2–32
Progeny have won 11% of 4,748 runs since 2008 (305 horses).
Selkirk (USA) 12% · 3–25
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,371 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 228. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.7% from 143.
Piccolo (GB) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.
Observatory (USA) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 8.4% of 2,276 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.5% from 330.
Compton Place (GB) 20% · 3–15
Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.
Falbrav (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10.2% of 636 runs since 2008 (48 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 13.9% from 165.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 276 · newest first

The latest 50 of 276 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 April 2009 to 17 January 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Dec 12 Lingfield (AW) Hydrant (GB)J: Adam Beschizza 32Red Casino HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 7/1
31 Oct 12 Nottingham El Mcglynn (IRE)J: Hannah Nunn Trojan Horse HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 16 ran 15th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Peter Salmon's strike rate?
Peter Salmon has won 15 of 276 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Peter Salmon's Fair A/E?
0.97, from 273 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).