What is Luke Scott's strike rate?

Luke Scott has won 68 of 551 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Luke Scott do best at?

Uttoxeter by strike rate: 7 wins from 39 rides (17.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Luke Scott ride most for?

Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole, with 181 rides since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (12.2%).

Is Luke Scott in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Luke Scott's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 550 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Luke Scott

551 rides in the lifetime window · 245 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Rides today 97% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

68–551

Wins / Runs

12.3%

Strike rate

n=551

167 (30%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=550 · 0.85 incl. margin

−147.01

£1 level stake

n=551 at SP · −26.7%

£651k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 24% (74 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 551 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Jun 36.2% when favourite Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole: 12.2% from 181 LTO winners: 24.3% Rides the favourite in 11% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 24.3% (n=74, Fair A/E 1.14), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.5% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.85). Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole supplies 33% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12.2%, A/E 0.84). The rider also reads well on Heavy going (25.7%, n=35). The record reads poorly beyond 3m — 2.1% over 47 rides, 10.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.55 across 103 rides (5.8% strike, −64.84 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Classic Maestro (IRE) — 5 wins from 13 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.6%−1.7

n=245 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −60.42

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

24.3%+12.0

n=74 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +6.40

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.3%−4.0

n=121 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −62.79

When favourite

36.2%

n=58 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +1.70

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.9%−0.4

n=506 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −173.95

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.5%−6.8

n=55 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −37.87

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−12.3

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Jennie Candlish 28.6% vs 12.3% · n=70

With C&D winners 28.6% vs 12.3% · n=42

On last-time-out winners 24.3% vs 12.3% · n=74

On Heavy going 25.7% vs 12.3% · n=35

Beyond 3m 2.1% vs 12.3% · n=47

On Soft going 5.8% vs 12.3% · n=103

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 350 47 13.4% −76.35

Chase 141 13 9.2% −68.59

NH Flat 43 6 14% −8.40

Flat 17 2 11.8% +6.33

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 249 39 15.7% −16.31

Good to Soft 142 12 8.5% −58.20

Soft 103 6 5.8% −64.84

Heavy 35 9 25.7% +5.51

Good to Firm 14 1 7.1% −9.50

Standard (AW) 8 1 12.5% −3.67

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 39 7 17.9% +22.38

Huntingdon 29 2 6.9% −22.50

Worcester 27 3 11.1% −5.75

Fontwell 25 4 16% +4.33

Southwell 25 2 8% −15.50

Plumpton 23 2 8.7% −12.25

Hereford 22 4 18.2% −11.90

Sedgefield 21 3 14.3% −11.56

Warwick 19 2 10.5% −3.50

Stratford 18 4 22.2% +6.83

Newton Abbot 17 2 11.8% −11.62

Exeter 17 3 17.6% −4.05

Market Rasen 17 3 17.6% +1.33

Bangor-on-Dee 17 1 5.9% −9.00

Wincanton 14 0 0% −14.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 258 34 13.2% −89.61

Class 5 207 24 11.6% −40.31

Class 3 45 7 15.6% −10.42

Class 2 23 1 4.3% −12.00

Class 6 12 2 16.7% +11.33

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 67 23 34.3% 1.03 −1.42

2nd–3rd fav 146 23 15.8% 0.89 −33.59

4th–6th fav 185 18 9.7% 1.12 −19.00

7th+ in betting 153 4 2.6% 0.85 −93.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

75.6% completed · 491 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 141 61% 4 9 41 1 0

Hurdle 350 81.4% 2 6 57 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lady Kara (GB) 13 1 6 1 Nov 26

Classic Maestro (IRE) 13 5 7 23 Apr 26

The Late Legend (GB) 13 2 5 26 Feb 23

Whizz Kid (GER) 11 2 3 25 Aug 25

Rewired (GB) 11 4 6 22 Sep 24

Dickens (IRE) 10 5 7 27 May 26

Easy To Follow (IRE) 10 2 4 22 Jan 26

Rostello (FR) 9 1 2 28 Dec 25

Hill Station (FR) 8 1 6 1 Dec 25

Shengai Enki (FR) 7 1 3 25 Apr 25

Dynamite Kentucky (FR) 7 1 3 24 Sep 24

Captain Cool (IRE) 6 2 4 19 Jul 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 245 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 6

Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

416141516194191571013

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole

33% of all rides
12.2% SR · A/E 0.84

TrainerRWSR£1

Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 181 22 12.2% −68.14

Dr Richard Newland 98 14 14.3% −32.50

Jennie Candlish 70 20 28.6% +46.47

Tom Weston 38 2 5.3% −25.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

£644k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 22 wins

Shetland Bus (GER) — Paddy Power Handicap Chase Fakenham · Oct 2022 · Class 3

£15,576

Classic Maestro (IRE) — River Tay Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Perth · Apr 2026 · Class 2

£13,962

Mirabad (FR) — Catesby Estates Handicap Hurdle Cheltenham · Dec 2024 · Class 3

£11,882

Notable horses

Classic Maestro (IRE) Dickens (IRE) Rewired (GB) Celestron Star (GB) Misty Mani (GB) The Late Legend (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–22

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,040 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Jet Away (GB) 31.8% · 7–22

Progeny have won 11.3% of 2,567 runs since 2018 (277 horses).

Kapgarde (FR) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 12.4% of 6,646 runs since 2008 (727 horses).

Midnight Legend (GB) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Sageburg (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 10% of 3,491 runs since 2012 (416 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 295. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 356.

Mount Nelson (GB) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 10% of 6,290 runs since 2012 (538 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 549 · newest first

The latest 50 of 549 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 October 2018 to 14 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Rose Warrior (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Somersby Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 1st 18/1

14 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Spartan Times (GB)T: Jennie Candlish QuinnBet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 100/30

13 Nov 26 Sedgefield Last Man D'arcy (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Sedgefield Christmas Jumper Raceday 22nd December Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 27f · Good · 5 ran 4th 12/1

11 Nov 26 Ayr Vienna Blue (IRE)T: Daniel Bourne "Join Coral-Racing-Club For Free" National Hunt Flat Race (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys' Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 25/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Upton's Mighty Oak (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland Copybet Bog Now For Racing Tomorrow Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 2/1F

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Lady Kara (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Macer Gifford Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 9/2

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Expert Analysis (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Back British Farming Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 100/30

13 Oct 26 Southwell Dusky Spyglass (GB)T: Mike Murphy Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 150/1

08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Upton's Mighty Oak (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland Book Boxing Day At The Races Today! Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 3/1

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Lady Kara (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland Jodie Standings Point-To-Point Recruits Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 11/8F

05 Oct 26 Stratford Expert Analysis (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Racing TV Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 13/8F

04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Arcon (GER)T: Jennie Candlish F Ball Yellow Bucket Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 6th 18/1

29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Lady Kara (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland Premier Road Markings Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 7/1

29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Spartan Times (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Happy 96th Birthday John Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 5th 13/8F

28 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Saint Polo (FR)T: Jennie Candlish Final Furlong Before "i Do" Selling Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 11/8F

15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Lady Kara (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland QuinnBet Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 4th 10/1

07 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Saint Polo (FR)T: Jennie Candlish St. Austell Brewery Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 7/4F

07 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Crackalackin (IRE)T: Dr Richard Newland Race Against Waste Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran UR 4/1

28 Aug 26 Sedgefield Saint Polo (FR)T: Jennie Candlish Warm-Flo Hot To Trot Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran 1st 3/1

25 Aug 26 Stratford Dreaming Of The Dr (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland Celebrate National Racehorse Week 2026 Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Luke Scott's strike rate?: Luke Scott has won 68 of 551 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Luke Scott do best at?: Uttoxeter by strike rate: 7 wins from 39 rides (17.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Luke Scott ride most for?: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole, with 181 rides since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (12.2%).
Is Luke Scott in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Luke Scott's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 550 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.