What is M P Butler's strike rate?

M P Butler has won 62 of 1,062 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does M P Butler do best at?

Downpatrick by strike rate: 9 wins from 52 rides (17.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does M P Butler ride most for?

Eoin Doyle, with 469 rides since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (8.5%).

What is M P Butler's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 1,062 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

M P Butler

1,062 rides in the lifetime window · 399 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Mar 2016 98% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

62–1,062

Wins / Runs

5.8%

Strike rate

n=1,062

218 (21%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=1,062 · 0.75 incl. margin

−525.76

£1 level stake

n=1,062 at SP · −49.5%

£669k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 120 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (65 rides). Rode mostly for Eoin Doyle — 44% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,062 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired May–Aug 35% when favourite Eoin Doyle: 8.5% from 469 LTO winners: 13.8% Claiming: 6% Rode the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Downpatrick (17.3%, n=52), Kilbeggan (13%, n=46) and Sligo (11.9%, n=42) — all clear of the rider's 5.8% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.8% (n=65, Fair A/E 1.25). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −138.25 to a £1 stake over 217 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Eoin Doyle supplied 44% of the rides and edges the rider's average (8.5% vs 5.8%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly on Soft going — 1.8% over 382 rides, 4pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ladbrokes.com Handicap Hurdle at Killarney (May 2012, £32,500). The standout partner of the record was Lookoutnow (IRE) — 6 wins from 20 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired May–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.1%−2.7

n=384 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −278.55

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.8%+8.0

n=65 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −14.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.2%−2.6

n=217 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −138.25

When favourite

35%

n=40 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −1.76

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6%+0.2

n=849 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −424.01

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.7%−1.1

n=699 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −352.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3%−2.8

n=33 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −24.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Downpatrick 17.3% vs 5.8% · n=52

With C&D winners 15.4% vs 5.8% · n=65

On last-time-out winners 13.8% vs 5.8% · n=65

At Kilbeggan 13% vs 5.8% · n=46

On Soft going 1.8% vs 5.8% · n=382

At Sligo 11.9% vs 5.8% · n=42

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 798 45 5.6% −380.88

Chase 214 17 7.9% −94.88

Flat 25 0 0% −25.00

NH Flat 25 0 0% −25.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 382 7 1.8% −338.00

Heavy 249 22 8.8% −54.46

Good 235 19 8.1% −58.25

Good to Firm 101 8 7.9% −35.25

Good to Soft 69 6 8.7% −13.80

Firm 17 0 0% −17.00

Standard (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Tramore 97 10 10.3% −29.83

Clonmel 94 5 5.3% −47.25

Gowran Park 72 5 6.9% −37.00

Cork 66 4 6.1% −14.00

Limerick 60 3 5% −38.00

Thurles 58 1 1.7% −53.50

Wexford 55 1 1.8% −48.00

Downpatrick 52 9 17.3% +39.37

Fairyhouse 51 1 2% −43.50

Punchestown 48 1 2.1% −35.00

Navan 48 1 2.1% −31.00

Kilbeggan 46 6 13% −1.75

Sligo 42 5 11.9% −7.75

Killarney 36 3 8.3% −1.50

Roscommon 30 0 0% −30.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 33 1 3% −24.00

Class 5 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 4 2 1 50% +0.20

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 48 16 33.3% 1.37 −0.01

2nd–3rd fav 121 20 16.5% 1.35 +5.25

4th–6th fav 243 16 6.6% 0.96 −58.00

7th+ in betting 650 10 1.5% 0.49 −473.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87.1% completed · 1,012 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 214 78.5% 9 4 29 2 2

Hurdle 798 89.3% 16 7 56 2 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lookoutnow (IRE) 20 6 10 8 Mar 14

Preswell Lad (IRE) 19 4 9 30 Jul 15

Florimund (GB) 16 3 10 22 May 13

Leavethelighton (IRE) 15 1 8 21 Jan 16

Akinspirit (IRE) 15 1 6 8 Oct 15

Beliar (GER) 15 1 4 2 Jun 12

Chebona Bula (GB) 14 0 4 18 Aug 13

Shaiyzar (IRE) 13 1 1 12 Jul 15

Roman Numeral (IRE) 13 3 3 29 May 15

Come To The Party (IRE) 13 4 5 15 Dec 13

Without The Bop (IRE) 13 0 3 5 Oct 12

Man Of Principles (IRE) 13 0 3 24 Feb 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 399 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

6466810792227

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardEoin Doyle

44% of all rides
8.5% SR · A/E 1.15

TrainerRWSR£1

Eoin Doyle 469 40 8.5% −149.51

Michael Butler 134 11 8.2% −31.25

Mark Michael McNiff 36 2 5.6% −19.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£739k

Prize money

2012

Best season · 14 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Satu (IRE) — Ladbrokes.com Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Killarney · May 2012 · Grade B

£32,500

Lookoutnow (IRE) — Kclr 96fm Heart Of Carlow Kilkenny Carey's Cottage Cup Handicap Chase (0-123) Gowran Park · Jan 2013

£10,350

Gudnis Gracious Me (IRE) — Fay Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle Kilbeggan · Jun 2013

£10,350

Notable horses

Lookoutnow (IRE) Preswell Lad (IRE) Come To The Party (IRE) Florimund (GB) Roman Numeral (IRE) Mazuri Cowboy (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 14.9% · 7–47

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 2.7% · 1–37

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Presenting (GB) 12.9% · 4–31

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

King's Theatre (IRE) 14.3% · 3–21

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,863 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Sadler's Wells (USA) 17.6% · 3–17

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,305 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,305 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 5 March 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Mar 16 Gowran Park Dr Waluigi (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Gowran Park Golf Club Captains 2016 Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 3/1J

25 Feb 16 Thurles For Gortnatona (IRE)T: Michael Winters Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Beginners Chase18f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 50/1

21 Feb 16 Naas Atlantic Breaker (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Paddy Power Acca Insurance Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran RO 100/1

20 Feb 16 Fairyhouse What A Jewel (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Ratcliffe Group Supporting St. Margaret's Gaa Mares Handicap Hurdle20f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 25/1

30 Jan 16 Fairyhouse Dr Waluigi (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Next Racing At Fairyhouse February 20th Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Heavy · 16 ran 4th 9/1

30 Jan 16 Fairyhouse Atlantic Breaker (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Promote Your Business At Fairyhouse In 2016 Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 22 ran 12th 66/1

27 Jan 16 Thurles Treasure Palm (IRE)T: William Hayes Killinan Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Heavy · 15 ran 12th 40/1

21 Jan 16 Gowran Park Leavethelighton (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Goffs Thyestes Handicap Chase (grade A)25f · Heavy · 18 ran 8th 16/1

03 Jan 16 Naas What A Jewel (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Beginners Chase16f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 50/1

27 Dec 15 Limerick Leavethelighton (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Tim Duggan Memorial Handicap Chase (0-145) (Grade B)19.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 16/1

26 Dec 15 Down Royal The Way It Works (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Dark Horse Wine Bar Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 20 ran 15th 22/1

26 Dec 15 Down Royal Keep Your Heron (IRE)T: J G Cosgrave I.N.H. Stallion Owners European Breeders Fund Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 50/1

13 Dec 15 Navan Leavethelighton (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Foxrock Handicap Chase (Grade C)20f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 16/1

10 Dec 15 Punchestown The Way It Works (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Follow Us On Facebook And Twitter Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 22 ran 14th 16/1

10 Dec 15 Punchestown Dr Waluigi (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Festival Hospitality On Sale Maiden Hurdle18f · Soft · 21 ran 8th 50/1

21 Nov 15 Gowran Park The Way It Works (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Race That Stops A County Thyestes Jan 21st 2016 Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 20 ran 7th 25/1

19 Nov 15 Thurles For Sinead (IRE)T: Michael Winters Thurles Mares Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 66/1

12 Nov 15 Clonmel Dr Waluigi (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle I.n.h. Stallion Owners E.B.F. Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 13 ran 6th 33/1

29 Oct 15 Clonmel Native Lass (IRE)T: Michael Winters Cahir Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 4th 22/1

26 Oct 15 Galway Little Haarth (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh John Mulholland Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle21.5f · Yielding · 17 ran 9th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M P Butler's strike rate?: M P Butler has won 62 of 1,062 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M P Butler do best at?: Downpatrick by strike rate: 9 wins from 52 rides (17.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does M P Butler ride most for?: Eoin Doyle, with 469 rides since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (8.5%).
What is M P Butler's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 1,062 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.