No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (107 rides).
Deterministic profile computed from 1,461 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance24.4% when favouriteJo Hughes: 10.5% from 152LTO winners: 15.9%Rode the favourite in 3% of races
The read
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.9% (n=107, Fair A/E 1.05), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=415, Fair A/E 0.57). Jo Hughes supplied 10% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.5% vs 6.2%, A/E 1.27) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Chase races (11%, n=491). The record read poorly in NH Flat races — 1.2% over 161 rides, 5pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Emerald Rose (GB) — 5 wins from 27 rides together.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2.4%−3.8
n=415 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −340.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
15.9%+9.7
n=107 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −19.13
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.8%−0.4
n=398 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −208.05
When favourite
24.4%
n=45 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −11.14
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.6%−2.6
n=279 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −111.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.2
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With Andy Turnell17.5% vs 6.2% · n=103
On last-time-out winners15.9% vs 6.2% · n=107
With C&D winners15.2% vs 6.2% · n=99
In Chase races11% vs 6.2% · n=491
With new recruits0% vs 6.2% · n=95
In NH Flat races1.2% vs 6.2% · n=161
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle804354.4%−262.80
Chase4915411%−25.10
NH Flat16121.2%−150.00
Flat500%−5.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good514336.4%−182.34
Soft335206%−194.80
Good to Soft326164.9%−30.88
Heavy143128.4%−44.88
Good to Firm130107.7%+23.00
Standard (AW)1100%−11.00
Firm200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Fontwell10598.6%+16.70
Plumpton9688.3%−28.17
Towcester9688.3%−48.38
Uttoxeter7479.5%−24.50
Wincanton6968.7%−7.25
Worcester6711.5%−63.50
Chepstow6711.5%−33.00
Taunton6046.7%+161.50
Warwick6000%−60.00
Huntingdon5411.9%−28.00
Ludlow5159.8%+17.00
Southwell4812.1%−41.00
Newton Abbot4836.3%−32.50
Newbury4500%−45.00
Stratford4337%−16.50
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 4689446.4%−52.93
Class 5426276.3%−189.55
Class 3183168.7%−57.92
Class 69522.1%−84.00
Class 13700%−37.00
Class 23026.7%−20.50
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite561323.2%0.86−14.64
2nd–3rd fav1923819.8%1.25+13.74
4th–6th fav469255.3%0.77−237.00
7th+ in betting744152%0.78−205.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f493326.5%+0.36
1m5f – 2m441153.4%−335.50
2m5f – 3m414327.7%−101.59
Over 3m1061211.3%+0.83
1m2f – 1m4f600%−6.00
1m – 1m1f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20081431711.9%−49.88
200911975.9%−11.50
201010033%−81.25
201110265.9%−50.50
20121331511.3%+166.08
201319684.1%−127.88
201415042.7%−111.50
201514785.4%−87.92
20167933.8%−32.00
201774810.8%−20.13
20188367.2%+10.33
20196746%+9.00
20204712.1%−44.75
20212114.8%−11.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps784739.3%−165.10
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners444306.8%−128.55
11-13 runners414184.3%−75.25
5-7 runners278269.4%−125.68
14-16 runners19484.1%−76.50
17+ runners8522.4%−35.00
2-4 runners46715.2%−1.92
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 429 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
947556794876
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Emerald Rose (GB) — Snellings Norfolk National Handicap Chase Fakenham · May 2018 · Class 3
£19,754
Count Meribel (GB) — Steel Plate And Sections Novices' Chase Cheltenham · Nov 2018 · Class 2
£15,562
Count Meribel (GB) — Mitie Events & Leisure Novices' Hurdle Ascot · Nov 2017 · Class 2
Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,425 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 306.
Karinga Bay (GB)10.5% · 4–38
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Beat All (USA)12.1% · 4–33
Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.
Oscar (IRE)10% · 3–30
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Alflora (IRE)10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).
Mister Lord (USA)21.4% · 6–28
Progeny have won 8% of 565 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.9% from 108. Weakest on Soft going: 4% from 151. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 149. Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 4.5% from 111.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 1,818 · newest first
The latest 50 of 1,818 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 8 September 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mark Grant's strike rate?
Mark Grant has won 91 of 1,461 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mark Grant do best at?
Ludlow by strike rate: 5 wins from 51 rides (9.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mark Grant ride most for?
Jo Hughes, with 152 rides since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (10.5%).
What is Mark Grant's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 1,460 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mark Grant·SR 6.2%·A/E 0.94
KTB
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