What is Jonathan Geake's strike rate?

Jonathan Geake has won 40 of 669 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jonathan Geake do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 13 wins from 61 runners (21.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jonathan Geake?

Mark Grant, with 88 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (3.4%).

What is Jonathan Geake's Fair A/E?

0.87, from 668 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jonathan Geake

669 runners in the lifetime window · 80 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2017

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

40–669

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=669

135 (20%)

Placed

0.87

Fair A/E

n=668 · 0.74 incl. margin

−311.42

£1 level stake

n=669 at SP · −46.6%

£201k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

2.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87). With a claiming rider up the record reads 11% (211 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 669 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Aug Mark Grant: 3.4% from 88 Claiming riders: 10.9%

The read

The record is strongest at Bath (21.3%, n=61), clear of the yard's 6% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 10.9% (n=211, Fair A/E 1.45). Mark Grant rode 13% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (3.4% vs 6%, A/E 0.53). The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (17.1%, n=35) and beyond 3m (13.2%, n=38). The record read poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 0% over 79 runners, 6pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Mares' NH Novices' Hcp Hurdle at Newbury (Apr 2005, £29,000). The stable star of the record was Glens Wobbly (GB) — 7 wins from 62 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.4%−1.6

n=183 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −87.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.5%+3.5

n=21 · A/E 1.81 · £1 −11.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.0

n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.3%−1.7

n=23 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −21.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.5%−1.5

n=22 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −12.00

When favourite

18.5%

n=27 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −8.25

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.9%+4.9

n=211 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −14.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.0

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Bath 21.3% vs 6% · n=61

Off a 0-7-day break 17.1% vs 6% · n=35

With claiming riders up 10.9% vs 6% · n=211

Over 2m5f – 3m 0% vs 6% · n=79

Beyond 3m 13.2% vs 6% · n=38

With C&D winners 11.8% vs 6% · n=85

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 357 27 7.6% −127.75

Hurdle 158 3 1.9% −131.50

Chase 111 7 6.3% −74.17

NH Flat 43 3 7% +22.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 163 6 3.7% −111.75

Soft 123 7 5.7% −69.67

Standard (AW) 122 5 4.1% −81.00

Good to Soft 105 3 2.9% −56.75

Good to Firm 99 10 10.1% −10.00

Heavy 32 4 12.5% +5.00

Firm 25 5 20% +12.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Bath 61 13 21.3% +22.25

Plumpton 51 6 11.8% −12.17

Lingfield (AW) 50 2 4% −38.50

Kempton (AW) 43 2 4.7% −16.00

Chepstow 39 4 10.3% +13.00

Newbury 35 0 0% −35.00

Fontwell 31 0 0% −31.00

Lingfield 27 2 7.4% −13.00

Wincanton 27 0 0% −27.00

Salisbury 24 0 0% −24.00

Taunton 24 1 4.2% −14.00

Windsor 21 1 4.8% −4.00

Kempton 19 0 0% −19.00

Warwick 17 2 11.8% −7.50

Exeter 16 0 0% −16.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 261 19 7.3% −109.92

Class 4 191 4 2.1% −121.00

Class 6 166 17 10.2% −29.50

Class 3 28 0 0% −28.00

Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 34 7 20.6% 0.78 −10.00

2nd–3rd fav 87 13 14.9% 1.07 −23.42

4th–6th fav 187 14 7.5% 0.97 −43.00

7th+ in betting 361 6 1.7% 0.56 −235.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Glens Wobbly (GB)then Dominic Ffrench Davis 62 7 20 16 Nov 17

Shot In The Dark (IRE)from Andrew Balding 31 2 5 23 Aug 17

Bondi Mist (IRE)from Jonathan Portman 28 1 2 6 Dec 16

Ballyman (IRE) 24 2 13 11 Apr 14

Oriental Girl (GB) 24 2 7 16 Oct 11

Beware Chalk Pit (IRE) 21 2 5 12 Jan 15

April Fool (GB)then Ronald Harris 19 4 9 9 Sep 09

Heezararity (GB)from David Evans · then David Weston 18 3 5 19 Aug 17

Prince Of Cardamom (IRE)from Andrew Balding 17 2 2 7 Aug 17

Absolut Power (GER)from Charles Egerton 17 0 5 13 Nov 09

Fidelity (GB) 16 0 5 30 Nov 17

Fire King (GB)then Jim Boyle 15 1 2 29 Nov 09

The 60 most-raced of 80 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Balding (4) and W J Burke (2); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for David Weston (2) and Jimmy Fox (2); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

03353148766811

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMark Grant

13% of all rides
3.4% SR · A/E 0.53

RiderRWSR£1

Mark Grant 88 3 3.4% −74.67

Richard Thomas 51 1 2% −42.50

Simon Elliott 45 3 6.7% +16.00

Robert Havlin 44 3 6.8% −12.00

Jimmy McCarthy 42 1 2.4% −33.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£702k

Prize money

2006

Best season · 20 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Penneyrose Bay (GB) — Mares' NH Novices' Hcp Hurdle (Listed) Newbury · Apr 2005 · Listed

£29,000

Ripples Maid (GB) — E.B.F. Slatch Farm Stud Flying Fillies' Stakes (Listed) Pontefract · Aug 2007 · Listed

£25,551

Ripples Maid (GB) — Betdaq Henry Gee Fillies' Stakes (Listed) Chester · Sep 2006 · Listed

£15,898

Notable horses

Glens Wobbly (GB) Ripples Maid (GB) King's Caprice (GB) Black Hills (GB) April Fool (GB) Starlight Gazer (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kier Park (IRE) 11.3% · 7–62

Progeny have won 11.1% of 287 runs since 2008 (20 horses).

Dr Fong (USA) 7% · 4–57

Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,593 runs since 2008 (350 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 158.

Dansili (GB) 0% · 0–43

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,841 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Aussie Rules (USA) 3.6% · 1–28

Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,515 runs since 2008 (297 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 177.

Accordion (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24

Progeny have won 10.8% of 3,309 runs since 2008 (327 horses).

Compton Place (GB) 4.5% · 1–22

Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,439 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,439 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 30 November 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Nov 17 Taunton Fidelity (GB)J: Conor Shoemark Collect totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 16 ran 14th 20/1

16 Nov 17 Taunton Glens Wobbly (GB)J: Mark Grant Reliable British Scaffolding Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 12 ran 11th 100/1

08 Nov 17 Chepstow Glens Wobbly (GB)J: Mark Grant Longcroft Building Services Ltd Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 16 ran 14th 125/1

28 Oct 17 Newbury Glens Wobbly (GB)J: Lilly Pinchin Worthington's 'Victoria Club' Lady Jockeys' Handicap (Amateurs)Class 5 · 12f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 40/1

23 Aug 17 Bath Shot In The Dark (IRE)J: Noel Garbutt Ey And Guests Handicap (Qualifier)Class 6 · 13f · Good · 13 ran 12th 50/1

19 Aug 17 Bath Heezararity (GB)J: Hector Crouch Omega Resource Group Veterans' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 16/1

18 Aug 17 Newbury Glens Wobbly (GB)J: William Cox Mobile Pimm's Bars Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 9f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 20/1

07 Aug 17 Windsor Cornelius (FR)J: Ryan Tate Sportnation UK's Newest Bookmaker HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 50/1

07 Aug 17 Salisbury Prince Of Cardamom (IRE)J: Jordan Uys Dartmouth General Contractors Ltd Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 8th 10/1

31 Jul 17 Windsor Heezararity (GB)J: Liam Keniry Royal Oak Paley Street HandicapClass 5 · 11.5f · Good · 10 ran 10th 33/1

26 Jul 17 Bath Shot In The Dark (IRE)J: Noel Garbutt Rainbow Casino Aberdeen HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good · 7 ran 6th 33/1

22 Jul 17 Lingfield Prince Of Cardamom (IRE)J: Paddy Pilley 188Bet HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 11/1

22 Jul 17 Lingfield Glens Wobbly (GB)J: Paddy Pilley Read Silvestre De Sousa At 188Bet HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 7/1

20 Jul 17 Chepstow Prince Of Cardamom (IRE)J: Jordan Uys 188bet.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 15 ran 5th 12/1

25 Jun 17 Worcester Fidelity (GB)J: Ian Popham totepool Racecourse Debit Card Betting Available Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 9/2

23 Jun 17 Bath Glens Wobbly (GB)J: Jordan Uys Andersons Waste Management HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Firm · 6 ran 1st 6/1

10 Jun 17 Chepstow Glens Wobbly (GB)J: Jordan Uys GSM Automotive Brecon Q1 Award HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 9/2

29 May 17 Huntingdon Sacramento King (IRE)J: Mark Grant Follow Us On Twitter At 188bet Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 6/1

29 May 17 Huntingdon Fidelity (GB)J: Ian Popham Live Casino At 188bet Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 4/1

16 May 17 Warwick Fidelity (GB)J: Ian Popham 188 First Goals Wins At 188bet Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jonathan Geake's strike rate?: Jonathan Geake has won 40 of 669 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jonathan Geake do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 13 wins from 61 runners (21.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jonathan Geake?: Mark Grant, with 88 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (3.4%).
What is Jonathan Geake's Fair A/E?: 0.87, from 668 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.