Maxime Guyon
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 760 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 15% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (1,917 rides). The rider is in form now — 11 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.
The record is strongest at Vichy (22.2%, n=180), clear of the rider's 15.4% baseline. It is weakest at La Teste De Buch (6.8% over 44 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.8% (n=1,917, Fair A/E 1.07), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 10.6% (n=5,289, Fair A/E 1.00). Right now the rider is firing: 11 winners from 52 rides in the last 14 days (21.2%, 5.8pts above the 15.4% baseline). A Fabre supplies 14% of the rides and beats the rider's average (25.4% vs 15.4%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 419 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Du Jockey Club at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2010, £758,496). The standout partner of the record: Alignement (GB) — 7 wins from 16 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 15.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 14,598 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 14,598 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 August 2005 to 11 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Maxime Guyon's strike rate?
- Maxime Guyon has won 2,229 of 14,462 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 15.4% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Maxime Guyon do best at?
- Vichy by strike rate: 40 wins from 180 rides (22.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Maxime Guyon ride most for?
- A Fabre, with 2,063 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 523 (25.4%).
- Is Maxime Guyon in form?
- In the last 14 days: 52 rides, 11 winners, a strike rate of 21.2%. That is above the baseline of 15.4% since 2008.
- What is Maxime Guyon's Fair A/E?
- 1.02, from 13,861 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.