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Jockey profile

Mitchell Bastyan

222 rides in the last 5 seasons · 104 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride May 2023 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2022
27–222
Wins / Runs
12.2%
Strike rate
n=222
74 (33%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=222 · 0.74 incl. margin
−97.19
£1 level stake
n=222 at SP · −43.8%
£308k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.8%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85). Rides mostly for Milton Harris — 70% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 222 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 13.6% 36.4% when favourite Milton Harris: 15.4% from 156 Rides the favourite in 15% of races
The read

Milton Harris supplies 70% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.4% vs 12.2%, A/E 0.88). The rider also reads well on Good to Soft going (19.7%, n=61) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (17.5%, n=80). The record reads poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 0% over 32 rides, 12.2pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Rugby Betting At 188bet Handicap Chase at Aintree (Nov 2017, £46,425).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10.5%−1.7
n=76 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −37.88
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
24.1%+11.9
n=29 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +3.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
13.6%+1.4
n=44 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −20.27
When favourite
36.4%
n=33 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −3.52
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
20%+7.8
n=20 · A/E 1.61 · £1 −0.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
8%−4.2
n=25 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −14.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
11.1%−1.1
n=9 · A/E 0.94 · £1 +0.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m5f – 3m 0% vs 12.2% · n=32
On Soft going 2.6% vs 12.2% · n=39
On Good to Soft going 19.7% vs 12.2% · n=61
In Chase races 5% vs 12.2% · n=40
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 17.5% vs 12.2% · n=80
With horses switching code 7.5% vs 12.2% · n=40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 160 19 11.9% −78.19
Chase 40 2 5% −32.00
NH Flat 22 6 27.3% +13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 111 13 11.7% −51.02
Good to Soft 61 12 19.7% −7.05
Soft 39 1 2.6% −30.50
Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Firm 3 1 33.3% −0.62
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wincanton 18 3 16.7% −3.25
Stratford 17 4 23.5% +5.13
Fontwell 15 1 6.7% −11.00
Newton Abbot 13 3 23.1% +0.63
Plumpton 13 2 15.4% −7.75
Taunton 10 1 10% −7.38
Uttoxeter 10 0 0% −10.00
Bangor-on-Dee 9 1 11.1% −2.50
Exeter 9 1 11.1% −0.50
Chepstow 8 0 0% −8.00
Ludlow 7 2 28.6% +5.25
Huntingdon 7 0 0% −7.00
Hereford 7 1 14.3% −4.75
Cheltenham 6 1 16.7% +3.00
Kempton 6 1 16.7% +0.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 106 16 15.1% −35.39
Class 5 67 7 10.4% −31.25
Class 3 27 3 11.1% −17.55
Class 2 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 1 10 1 10% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 35 12 34.3% 0.91 −5.52
2nd–3rd fav 56 8 14.3% 0.78 −17.17
4th–6th fav 83 7 8.4% 0.99 −26.50
7th+ in betting 48 0 0% 0.00 −48.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
89.5% completed · 200 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 40 80% 1 4 3 0 0
Hurdle 160 91.9% 1 0 12 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Wetanwindy (GB) 11 1 7 1 Oct 22
Appreciate (IRE) 8 4 5 8 Oct 22
Pyramid Place (IRE) 7 1 3 31 Mar 23
Mullenbeg (IRE) 7 3 4 15 Nov 22
Mordred (IRE) 6 2 3 6 Mar 23
Feel The Pinch (GB) 4 1 2 9 May 23
Polyphonic (IRE) 4 1 1 4 Mar 23
Mullinaree (IRE) 4 0 2 2 Mar 23
Royal Sam (GB) 4 0 2 14 Feb 23
Ilanz (FR) 4 1 2 1 Jan 23
Mr Yeats (IRE) 4 0 2 13 Jul 22
Tarseem (IRE) 4 0 2 13 Jul 22
The 60 most-raced of 104 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1214810629180408617
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardMilton Harris
70% of all rides
15.4% SR · A/E 0.88
TrainerRWSR£1
Milton Harris 156 24 15.4% −52.69
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
99
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£1.03m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 27 wins
On Tour (IRE) — Rugby Betting At 188bet Handicap Chase Aintree · Nov 2017 · Class 2
£46,425
Court Minstrel (IRE) — totepool Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Chepstow · Oct 2017 · Grade 3
£28,475
Still Believing (IRE) — George Smith Horseboxes Mares' Handicap Chase (Series Final) Hereford · Dec 2018 · Class 2
£21,679
Notable horses
Appreciate (IRE) Still Believing (IRE) Aliomaana (GB) Sergeant (FR) Mullenbeg (IRE) Sutter's Mill (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Australia (GB) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,618 runs since 2008 (563 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.7% from 105.
Watar (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 7.9% of 555 runs since 2008 (59 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.2% from 178. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.8% from 167.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 30% · 3–10
Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,915 runs since 2008 (685 horses).
Authorized (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,019 runs since 2008 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,043. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Pride Of Dubai (AUS) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 13% of 1,161 runs since 2008 (92 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 17.7% from 385. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 191. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 17% from 200.
Camelot (GB) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,655 runs since 2008 (750 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 920 · newest first

The latest 50 of 920 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 April 2015 to 31 May 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 May 23 Warwick Stepney Causeway (GB)T: Milton Harris Fisher German Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 11/4
28 May 23 Uttoxeter Getalady (IRE)T: Stella Barclay holdcroft.com Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 6th 200/1
10 May 23 Fontwell Lanspark (IRE)T: Robbie Llewellyn Vickers.Bet Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26f · Good · 6 ran 4th 4/1
09 May 23 Ffos Las Feel The Pinch (GB)T: Robbie Llewellyn DragonBet Backing Welsh Sport Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 4/1F
06 May 23 Uttoxeter Jumbo Veste Verte (FR)T: Tom Gretton Marston's Brewery 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 250/1
25 Apr 23 Ffos Las Getbazoutofhere (GB)T: Tom Gretton Oil 4 Wales Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 10/1
22 Apr 23 Bangor-on-Dee Twasn't The Plan (IRE)T: Robbie Llewellyn Alfa Aggregate Products Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 4th 16/1
22 Apr 23 Bangor-on-Dee Feel The Pinch (GB)T: Robbie Llewellyn Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran UR 9/2
21 Apr 23 Fontwell Ikarak (FR)T: Milton Harris Klafs UK Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Good · 2 ran 2nd 7/4
20 Apr 23 Cheltenham Komedy Kicks (IRE)T: Milton Harris Safran Landing Systems Fillies' Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 9th 22/1
19 Apr 23 Cheltenham Loup De Maulde (FR)T: Robbie Llewellyn Kingston Stud Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20.5f · Good · 13 ran 7th 22/1
16 Apr 23 Huntingdon Lanspark (IRE)T: Robbie Llewellyn Skomal Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 11/1
15 Apr 23 Chepstow He's My Shadow (IRE)T: Robbie Llewellyn DragonBet Proud To Be Welsh Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 6/1
10 Apr 23 Fakenham Star For A Day (IRE)T: Simon Hodgson Racing TV Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 22/1
10 Apr 23 Fakenham Havaila (IRE)T: Milton Harris Fisher Electrical Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 2 ran 1st 1/8F
08 Apr 23 Newton Abbot Knowwhentoholdem (IRE)T: Milton Harris Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 8/1
01 Apr 23 Stratford Titan Discovery (GB)T: Robbie Llewellyn Hilda Peak Happy Birthday 9th April Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 9/1
01 Apr 23 Stratford Getbazoutofhere (GB)T: Tom Gretton Crown Workforce Management Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 16/1
01 Apr 23 Stratford Feel The Pinch (GB)T: Robbie Llewellyn Laurie Cole Big Birthday Celebration Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 3rd 5/2
31 Mar 23 Wetherby Pyramid Place (IRE)T: Milton Harris Join Racing TV Now Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mitchell Bastyan's strike rate?
Mitchell Bastyan has won 27 of 222 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Mitchell Bastyan ride most for?
Milton Harris, with 156 rides since 2022 — 70% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (15.4%).
What is Mitchell Bastyan's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 222 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).