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Trainer profile

Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood

399 runners in the last 5 seasons · 44 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2022
33–399
Wins / Runs
8.3%
Strike rate
n=399
110 (28%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=396 · 0.79 incl. margin
−114.39
£1 level stake
n=399 at SP · −28.7%
£495k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.92).

Deterministic profile computed from 399 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug David Nolan: 11.6% from 164
The read

The record is strongest at Ripon (17.5%, n=40) and Redcar (15.2%, n=33) — all clear of the yard's 8.3% baseline. It is weakest at Beverley (0% over 33 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2% (n=50, Fair A/E 0.32). David Nolan rides 41% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.6% vs 8.3%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.7% over 37 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard at trips under 6f: Fair A/E 0.40 across 59 runners (3.4% strike, −40.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Havana Prince (GB) — 6 wins from 28 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2%−6.3
n=50 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −46.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.3
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
Debutants · first career start
4.3%−4.0
n=23 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −16.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
14.3%+6.0
n=14 · A/E 2.88 · £1 +44.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8.7%+0.4
n=23 · A/E 1.58 · £1 +11.00
When favourite
25%
n=24 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −0.77
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5%−3.3
n=40 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −20.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Ripon 17.5% vs 8.3% · n=40
At Beverley 0% vs 8.3% · n=33
With C&D winners 15.2% vs 8.3% · n=66
At Redcar 15.2% vs 8.3% · n=33
Off a 61-180-day break 2.7% vs 8.3% · n=37
At trips under 6f 3.4% vs 8.3% · n=59
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 398 33 8.3% −113.39
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 120 7 5.8% −64.71
Good 106 13 12.3% −9.50
Soft 59 6 10.2% +4.32
Good to Firm 58 2 3.4% −40.50
Good to Soft 39 4 10.3% +3.50
Heavy 17 1 5.9% −7.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 72 5 6.9% −24.59
Southwell (AW) 45 2 4.4% −37.12
Ripon 40 7 17.5% +59.00
Redcar 33 5 15.2% +3.32
Beverley 33 0 0% −33.00
Catterick 29 2 6.9% −10.50
Doncaster 24 1 4.2% −19.50
Thirsk 22 2 9.1% −9.50
York 21 0 0% −21.00
Ayr 14 5 35.7% +16.00
Carlisle 12 0 0% −12.00
Pontefract 10 1 10% −3.50
Leicester 7 0 0% −7.00
Nottingham 6 2 33.3% +11.50
Musselburgh 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 183 14 7.7% −75.59
Class 5 93 9 9.7% −11.87
Class 4 68 6 8.8% −15.00
Class 2 31 2 6.5% −18.50
Class 3 19 2 10.5% +11.57
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 37 10 27% 1.17 +4.48
2nd–3rd fav 72 11 15.3% 0.91 −13.87
4th–6th fav 133 8 6% 0.77 −56.00
7th+ in betting 157 4 2.5% 0.79 −49.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Golden Prosperity (IRE)from Tony Coyle 40 4 11 7 Oct 26
Thunder Roar (GB)from Tony Coyle 30 3 12 7 Nov 26
Havana Prince (GB)from Tony Coyle 28 6 11 17 Oct 26
Urban Dandy (IRE)from Tony Coyle 28 1 12 1 Dec 25
Ey Up Its The Boss (GB)from Tony Coyle 24 5 11 11 Oct 25
Ey Up Its Jazz (GB)from Tony Coyle 21 4 11 8 Oct 26
Broken Spear (GB)from Tony Coyle 20 1 4 9 Oct 25
Ey Up He's A Star (GB) 19 2 8 5 Nov 26
Jack Rabbit Slims (GB) 14 0 3 18 Jul 26
Singarda (GB) 12 0 0 8 Sep 26
Belling The Cat (GB) 11 0 1 8 Sep 26
Fickle Mcselfish (GB) 10 1 3 14 Oct 26
All 44 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 44 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tony Coyle (11) and Seb Spencer (2); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Barry Brennan (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0010597131194170
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDavid Nolan
41% of all rides
11.6% SR · A/E 1.13
RiderRWSR£1
David Nolan 164 19 11.6% −8.09
Tom Eaves 60 4 6.7% −33.62
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
33
Archived wins
£495k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 12 wins
Thunder Roar (GB) — Ladbrokes 'Free Bet At Ayr' Handicap Ayr · Sep 2025 · Class 2
£23,193
Havana Prince (GB) — SBK: Dont Settle For Less Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Mar 2026 · Class 4
£18,319
Regal Gem (GB) — British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Pontefract · May 2024 · Class 2
£16,200
Notable horses
Havana Prince (GB) Ey Up Its The Boss (GB) Golden Prosperity (IRE) Ey Up Its Jazz (GB) Thunder Roar (GB) Ey Up He's A Star (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 15.4% · 10–65
Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,220 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.
Galileo Gold (GB) 10% · 4–40
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,049 runs since 2021 (176 horses).
Zoustar (AUS) 6.3% · 2–32
Progeny have won 10.8% of 2,772 runs since 2022 (316 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 331. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.6% from 194.
Night Of Thunder (IRE) 10% · 3–30
Progeny have won 16.4% of 5,123 runs since 2019 (564 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 161.
Dandy Man (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.
Havana Grey (GB) 21.4% · 6–28
Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,614 runs since 2022 (420 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 426.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 399 · newest first

The latest 50 of 399 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 February 2024 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Nov 26 Doncaster Thunder Roar (GB)J: Shay Farmer Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 7/2
05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Ey Up He's A Star (GB)J: David Nolan AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 8/1
04 Nov 26 Nottingham Thunder Roar (GB)J: David Nolan Watch Racing TV Now Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 9/2
30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Ey Up He's A Star (GB)J: Kevin Stott AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 100/30
30 Oct 26 Newmarket Zermatt Star (IRE)J: David Nolan Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-preis Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 11th 12/1
29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Regalian (GB)J: David Nolan Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 9/1
29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Jenni (IRE)J: David Nolan AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 28/1
27 Oct 26 Catterick Suzette (GB)J: Andrew Mullen Celebrating Helen Mackinnon's LX Years Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 7/1
26 Oct 26 Redcar Thunder Roar (GB)J: David Nolan Jumps Looks Better On Racing Tv Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 4/1
17 Oct 26 Catterick Havana Prince (GB)J: David Nolan William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 9th 28/1
16 Oct 26 Haydock Thunder Roar (GB)J: Tom Eaves M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 18/1
14 Oct 26 Nottingham Fickle Mcselfish (GB)J: Tom Marquand Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 20/1
12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Regalian (GB)J: David Nolan Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 9/1
12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Ey Up He's A Star (GB)J: David Nolan Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 7/1
08 Oct 26 Ayr Ey Up Its Jazz (GB)J: David Nolan Outcider Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Heavy · 13 ran 1st 17/2
08 Oct 26 Ayr Thunder Rush (GB)J: Tom Eaves Heverlee Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 14/1
07 Oct 26 Nottingham Golden Prosperity (IRE)J: William Pyle Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 7th 11/2
03 Oct 26 Redcar Rlasthope (GB)J: Tom Eaves William Hill Two Year Old Trophy (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 13 ran 8th 80/1
03 Oct 26 Redcar Too Many Spirits (GB)J: Cam Hardie William Hill Two Year Old Trophy (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 13 ran 7th 200/1
01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Fickle Mcselfish (GB)J: David Nolan Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood's strike rate?
Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood has won 33 of 399 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood do best at?
Ripon by strike rate: 7 wins from 40 runners (17.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood?
David Nolan, with 164 runners since 2022 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (11.6%).
Is Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 396 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).