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Trainer profile

Sir Mark Todd

152 runners in the last 5 seasons · 19 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2025 97% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
20–152
Wins / Runs
13.2%
Strike rate
n=152
49 (32%)
Placed
1.24
Fair A/E
n=151 · 1.07 incl. margin
−15.32
£1 level stake
n=152 at SP · −10.1%
£185k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.24).

Deterministic profile computed from 152 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (20%, n=55) and on Good to Firm going (17.6%, n=34). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 10% over 40 runners, 3.2pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.1%−4.1
n=22 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −8.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
50%+36.8
n=2 · A/E 6.26 · £1 +7.50
Debutants · first career start
16.7%+3.5
n=12 · A/E 2.68 · £1 +4.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
28.6%+15.4
n=7 · A/E 2.63 · £1 +0.72
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−13.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
38.9%
n=18 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +2.72
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
20%+6.8
n=20 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −4.93
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−13.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 20% vs 13.2% · n=55
On Good to Firm going 17.6% vs 13.2% · n=34
Off a 15-30-day break 16.7% vs 13.2% · n=78
Over 1m – 1m1f 10% vs 13.2% · n=40
Over 6f – 7f 10.2% vs 13.2% · n=49
With George Rooke 15.6% vs 13.2% · n=45
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 147 20 13.6% −10.32
Hurdle 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 65 8 12.3% +4.01
Good to Firm 34 6 17.6% +6.80
Soft 21 2 9.5% −16.75
Good 18 1 5.6% −14.88
Good to Soft 7 2 28.6% +3.00
Heavy 4 1 25% +5.50
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 23 3 13% −4.75
Wolverhampton (AW) 15 2 13.3% −6.07
Lingfield (AW) 13 2 15.4% +24.50
Chelmsford City (AW) 13 1 7.7% −8.67
Brighton 12 1 8.3% −9.75
Windsor 12 1 8.3% −10.00
Goodwood 7 1 14.3% −1.50
Bath 6 2 33.3% +8.00
Leicester 6 2 33.3% +0.60
Salisbury 5 1 20% −2.00
Newbury 5 0 0% −5.00
Ffos Las 5 1 20% +3.00
Newmarket 4 1 25% +15.00
Sandown 3 0 0% −3.00
Ascot 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 68 10 14.7% +19.53
Class 4 47 6 12.8% −18.43
Class 6 28 2 7.1% −21.25
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 3 3 2 66.7% +10.83
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 18 7 38.9% 1.38 +2.72
2nd–3rd fav 30 8 26.7% 1.59 +9.96
4th–6th fav 57 3 5.3% 0.68 −29.00
7th+ in betting 47 2 4.3% 1.25 +1.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Double Time (GB)then Tim Vaughan 26 4 10 30 Oct 24
Expert Witness (GB)then Patrick Chamings 20 3 9 25 Oct 24
Cape Cornwall Rose (IRE) 16 0 2 21 Aug 23
Rockit Tommy (GB)then Patrick Chamings 10 4 6 30 Oct 24
Native Beach (IRE) 10 1 3 11 Sep 23
St Just In Time (GB)then Harry Derham 9 0 2 30 May 24
Film Star (GB) 9 2 4 20 Sep 23
Uno Grande (GB) 7 0 0 18 Sep 23
Mercian Hymn (GB) 7 0 2 23 Sep 22
Me Next (GB)from Eve Johnson Houghton 6 0 0 21 Sep 22
Tasman Bay (FR) 5 1 1 26 Apr 24
All 19 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 19 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Patrick Chamings (3); 9 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0013171420711112500
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGeorge Rooke
30% of all rides
15.6% SR · A/E 1.64
RiderRWSR£1
George Rooke 45 7 15.6% +11.16
David Probert 36 4 11.1% −5.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
34
Archived wins
£353k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 13 wins
Tasman Bay (FR) — Best Cleaning Group Handicap Bath · Apr 2024 · Class 3
£14,394
Native Beach (IRE) — Spreadex Sports Live UK Racing Streaming Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Wolverhampton (AW) · Apr 2023 · Class 3
£7,830
Double Time (GB) — Spreadex Sports 300 Spread Betting Cashback Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Mar 2023 · Class 4
£7,642

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bated Breath (GB) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,112 runs since 2008 (669 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 841.
Expert Eye (GB) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 10% of 2,181 runs since 2008 (196 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13% from 400.
Awtaad (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 11.6% of 2,852 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.8% from 102. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.7% from 600. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 112.
Time Test (GB) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 10.8% of 3,086 runs since 2008 (336 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6% from 317. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.8% from 311.
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,765 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Tamayuz (GB) 40% · 4–10
Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,176 runs since 2008 (401 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 284 · newest first

The latest 50 of 284 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 August 2019 to 3 January 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Oct 24 Kempton (AW) Rockit Tommy (GB)J: David Probert Unibet Support Safe Gambling HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 1st 9/4F
02 Oct 24 Kempton (AW) Double Time (GB)J: David Probert North Farm Stud Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 6th 50/1
02 Oct 24 Kempton (AW) Rockit Tommy (GB)J: David Probert Highclere Castle Feeds HandicapClass 4 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 1st 9/1
14 Aug 24 Kempton (AW) Double Time (GB)J: George Rooke Unibet Support Safer Gambling HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 8th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sir Mark Todd's strike rate?
Sir Mark Todd has won 20 of 152 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Sir Mark Todd's Fair A/E?
1.24, from 151 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).