What is Mr C Abernethy's strike rate?

Mr C Abernethy has won 2 of 58 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.4% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

What is Mr C Abernethy's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 58 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mr C Abernethy

58 rides in the lifetime window · 32 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jan 2024 90% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

2–58

Wins / Runs

3.4%

Strike rate

n=58

5 (9%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=58 · 0.82 incl. margin

−44.50

£1 level stake

n=58 at SP · −76.7%

£24,008

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

0%−3.4

n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −32.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−3.4

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

3.4%+0.0

n=58 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −44.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.3%+0.9

n=23 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −17.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On first rides for the horse 0% vs 3.4% · n=32

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 3.4% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 30 1 3.3% −24.50

NH Flat 14 0 0% −14.00

Chase 8 1 12.5% +0.00

Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 21 0 0% −21.00

Good 18 1 5.6% −12.50

Heavy 14 1 7.1% −6.00

Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Down Royal 16 1 6.3% −8.00

Downpatrick 9 0 0% −9.00

Navan 6 1 16.7% −0.50

Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00

Clonmel 3 0 0% −3.00

Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00

Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00

Leopardstown 2 0 0% −2.00

Naas 2 0 0% −2.00

Punchestown 2 0 0% −2.00

Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00

Limerick 1 0 0% −1.00

Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00

Tipperary 1 0 0% −1.00

Cork 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

2nd–3rd fav 5 1 20% 1.22 +0.50

4th–6th fav 5 1 20% 3.65 +3.00

7th+ in betting 48 0 0% 0.00 −48.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

92.1% completed · 38 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 8 87.5% 1 0 0 0 0

Hurdle 30 93.3% 0 0 2 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Drumconnor Girl (IRE) 10 0 1 12 Jun 21

Ruhm Und Ehre (IRE) 6 0 0 18 Sep 21

Stansfield (IRE) 5 1 2 6 Jul 21

Lusis Naturea (GB) 3 1 1 27 Aug 21

Ringhill Lady (IRE) 3 0 0 26 Dec 19

Walking In Memphis (IRE) 2 0 0 7 May 21

Miss Aimee (IRE) 2 0 0 17 Mar 21

Prefad (GB) 2 0 0 19 Jan 21

Henry Africa (IRE) 2 0 0 5 Dec 20

Custers Mistake (IRE) 1 0 0 1 Jan 24

Flashthelights (IRE) 1 0 0 20 Dec 22

Mrss Bates (IRE) 1 0 0 7 Aug 22

All 32 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

03300033000000

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

J J Lambe 18 0 0% −18.00

Paul Traynor 18 2 11.1% −4.50

Mrs Caroline McCaldin 5 0 0% −5.00

Colin S McKeever 3 0 0% −3.00

Patrick Eugene Turley 2 0 0% −2.00

H Smyth 2 0 0% −2.00

Stephen McConville 1 0 0% −1.00

S McParlan 1 0 0% −1.00

John C McConnell 1 0 0% −1.00

R K Watson 1 0 0% −1.00

Neill McCluskey 1 0 0% −1.00

Sarah Dawson 1 0 0% −1.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

£24,008

Prize money

2021

Best season · 2 wins

Stansfield (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Rated Novice Chase Down Royal · Feb 2021

£10,915

Lusis Naturea (GB) — Stackallan Handicap Hurdle (80-102) Navan · Jun 2021

£5,900

Notable horses

Stansfield (IRE) Lusis Naturea (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Generous (IRE) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,332 runs since 2008 (251 horses).

Fame And Glory (GB) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,217 runs since 2016 (503 horses).

Thousand Words (GB) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 6.7% of 932 runs since 2012 (68 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.2% from 226. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 133.

Mountain High (IRE) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,246 runs since 2011 (184 horses).

Multiplex (GB) 33.3% · 1–3

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,181 runs since 2011 (291 horses).

Stowaway (GB) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 58 · newest first

The latest 50 of 58 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 August 2018 to 1 January 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Jan 24 Fairyhouse Custers Mistake (IRE)T: R J Tumilty Tote+ Pays You More At Tote.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20.5f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 33/1

20 Dec 22 Naas Flashthelights (IRE)T: Stephen McConville John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Soft · 25 ran 21st 14/1

07 Aug 22 Downpatrick Mrss Bates (IRE)T: John C McConnell Downpatrick Racecourse Hat & Accessories Style Award Flat Race19f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 11th 22/1

08 Jul 22 Kilbeggan Hedgecutter (IRE)T: Sean Byrne Follow Kilbeggan On Facebook Flat Race19f · Good · 15 ran 12th 80/1

12 May 22 Clonmel Saddle Up Sally (IRE)T: Mrs Caroline McCaldin Next Race Meeting Friday June 10th Mares Flat Race16.5f · Good · 16 ran 16th 125/1

26 Dec 21 Down Royal Jinxs Link (IRE)T: M M Rice Metcollect Oil Recycling (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Soft · 14 ran 8th 80/1

16 Dec 21 Naas Walkers Point (IRE)T: S McParlan John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Yielding · 24 ran 22nd 50/1

18 Sep 21 Navan Ruhm Und Ehre (IRE)T: Paul Traynor Bar One Racing 30 New Account Offer Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 2)22f · Good · 18 ran 14th 40/1

27 Aug 21 Down Royal Ruhm Und Ehre (IRE)T: Paul Traynor Pat O'Hare Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle (80-102)24f · Good · 16 ran 14th 40/1

27 Aug 21 Down Royal Intersky Sunset (IRE)T: Paul Traynor Pinnacle Sports Bookmakers Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 11 ran 7th 33/1

27 Aug 21 Down Royal Lusis Naturea (GB)T: Paul Traynor Danny Boy Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle (80-109)17f · Good · 13 ran 13th 12/1

05 Aug 21 Sligo Belle Na Bann (IRE)T: Paul Traynor Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18f · Yielding · 9 ran 3rd 50/1

05 Aug 21 Sligo Ruhm Und Ehre (IRE)T: Paul Traynor Lough Arrow Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 9 ran 7th 100/1

06 Jul 21 Roscommon Stansfield (IRE)T: Paul Traynor Boyle Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 8/1

06 Jul 21 Roscommon Ruhm Und Ehre (IRE)T: Paul Traynor Ballyleague Rated Novice Hurdle21f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 500/1

16 Jun 21 Navan Jaunty Velocity (GB)T: Patrick Eugene Turley Gormanlough Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)22f · Good · 18 ran 13th 33/1

16 Jun 21 Navan Lusis Naturea (GB)T: Paul Traynor Stackallan Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Good · 18 ran 1st 9/2

12 Jun 21 Downpatrick Drumconnor Girl (IRE)T: Patrick J McKenna Toals Bookmakers (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)21.5f · Good · 14 ran 8th 14/1

07 May 21 Downpatrick Keep On Running (IRE)T: Neill McCluskey Molson Coors Flat Race17.5f · Good · 12 ran 11th 40/1

07 May 21 Downpatrick Walking In Memphis (IRE)T: Paul Traynor Cosy Roof Handicap Hurdle (80-102)22f · Good · 13 ran 11th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr C Abernethy's strike rate?: Mr C Abernethy has won 2 of 58 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.4% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr C Abernethy's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 58 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.