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Trainer profile

Patrick J McKenna

326 runners in the last 5 seasons · 22 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2022
14–326
Wins / Runs
4.3%
Strike rate
n=326
69 (21%)
Placed
0.63
Fair A/E
n=325 · 0.50 incl. margin
−152.25
£1 level stake
n=326 at SP · −46.7%
£252k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.63).

Deterministic profile computed from 326 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 4.5%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −53.00 to a £1 stake over 178 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (7.6%, n=79). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 0% over 31 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 0-7-day break: Fair A/E 0.71 across 59 runners (6.8% strike, −26.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Cuban Grey (GB) — 5 wins from 36 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%+0.0
n=23 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −11.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
5%+0.7
n=20 · A/E 1.54 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.3
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
When favourite
18.2%
n=11 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −4.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.5%+0.2
n=178 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −53.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Rory Mulligan 9.8% vs 4.3% · n=41
With Killian Leonard 0% vs 4.3% · n=36
In Hurdle races 0% vs 4.3% · n=31
At trips under 6f 7.6% vs 4.3% · n=79
With Luke McAteer 7.5% vs 4.3% · n=40
Off a 0-7-day break 6.8% vs 4.3% · n=59
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 289 14 4.8% −115.25
Hurdle 31 0 0% −31.00
Chase 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 173 9 5.2% −28.25
Good 79 3 3.8% −64.50
Soft 49 1 2% −43.50
Good to Soft 15 1 6.7% −6.00
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 160 9 5.6% −15.25
Curragh 21 2 9.5% −7.00
Navan 21 0 0% −21.00
Fairyhouse 17 1 5.9% −10.50
Bellewstown 13 0 0% −13.00
Down Royal 12 0 0% −12.00
Leopardstown 11 1 9.1% −8.00
Naas 10 0 0% −10.00
Sligo 7 0 0% −7.00
Downpatrick 7 0 0% −7.00
Newcastle (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 6 0 0% −6.00
Gowran Park 6 0 0% −6.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00
Laytown (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 6 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 3 18.8% 1.00 −4.25
2nd–3rd fav 50 5 10% 0.73 −15.50
4th–6th fav 79 2 2.5% 0.31 −54.50
7th+ in betting 181 4 2.2% 0.67 −78.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
No Speed Limit (FR)from James McAuley 59 2 13 29 May 25
Wajaaha (IRE)from C Byrnes 38 0 9 19 Sep 25
Cuban Grey (GB)from Mike Murphy & Michael Keady 36 5 17 15 Oct 26
Ampeson (GB)from P J F Murphy · then Gavin Cromwell 26 3 6 17 Aug 23
Hezahunk (IRE)from Adrian McGuinness 16 1 3 30 Jan 26
Tammany Hall (IRE)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien · then Phil McEntee 16 0 4 15 Jul 23
Imperial Fighter (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 15 0 1 26 May 26
Wild Mountain (IRE)from J J Lambe 15 0 2 21 Mar 25
Capla Knight (IRE)from Gay Kelleway · then Muredach Kelly 15 1 2 14 Oct 22
Battle Borne (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 14 1 4 9 Oct 26
Catch The Paddy (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 12 1 3 4 Sep 25
Sovereignty (IRE)from Adrian McGuinness · then J J Lambe 10 0 2 18 Nov 22
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Adrian McGuinness (2) and J J Lambe (2).

8 have since run for another yard; 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
38078012000414
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRory Mulligan
13% of all rides
9.8% SR · A/E 1.27
RiderRWSR£1
Rory Mulligan 41 4 9.8% +2.00
Luke McAteer 40 3 7.5% +3.00
Killian Leonard 36 0 0% −36.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
18
Archived wins
£354k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 5 wins
Cuban Grey (GB) — SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Curragh · Apr 2025
£15,340
Catch The Paddy (IRE) — Dundalk Stadium Gift Vouchers Available Online Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Dec 2024
£12,980
Ampeson (GB) — William Hill Pick Your Places Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Dec 2022
£12,980
Notable horses
Cuban Grey (GB) No Speed Limit (FR) Ampeson (GB) Guiding Star (GB) Capla Knight (IRE) The Perch (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Elusive City (USA) 3.4% · 2–59
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,418 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,121.
New Approach (IRE) 0% · 0–38
Progeny have won 12.6% of 6,791 runs since 2008 (685 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 101.
Havana Grey (GB) 13.9% · 5–36
Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,533 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.3% from 408.
No Nay Never (USA) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,307 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9% from 612. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.
Mayson (GB) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,363 runs since 2008 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 1,726. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.
Fast Company (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,590 runs since 2008 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 557. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 573 · newest first

The latest 50 of 573 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 August 2009 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Cuban Grey (GB)J: Rory Mulligan October Racing With 1xBet.ie Apprentice Handicap5f · Soft · 17 ran 15th 5/1
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Cuban Grey (GB)J: Rory Mulligan Naas Farm Machinery Handicap5f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 9/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Battle Borne (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 33/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Cuban Grey (GB)J: Rory Mulligan Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap5f · Yielding · 20 ran 8th 25/1
18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Battle Borne (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Friday Night Lights Are Back At Dundalk Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 50/1
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Battle Borne (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Navan Handicap (Div I)8f · Good · 16 ran 15th 40/1
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Cuban Grey (GB)J: Luke McAteer Navan Racecourse Handicap5f · Good · 16 ran 14th 17/2
15 Aug 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Cuban Grey (GB)J: Rory Mulligan BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Mourne Handicap6f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 16/1
09 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Cuban Grey (GB)J: Luke McAteer Sheehy Motors Volkswagen Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 3rd 12/1
28 Jun 26 Curragh Cuban Grey (GB)J: Luke McAteer Dubai Duty Free Rockingham Handicap (Premier Handicap)5f · Good · 16 ran 4th 33/1
19 Jun 26 Down Royal Rock Etoile (IRE)J: Sadhbh Tormey Laura Nicholas Memorial Handicap (0-60)7f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 33/1
19 Jun 26 Down Royal Battle Borne (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Proparamedics And Medicall Handicap7f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 14/1
18 Jun 26 Leopardstown Battle Borne (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Bulmers Live Handicap8f · Good · 16 ran 12th 33/1
14 Jun 26 Cork Cuban Grey (GB)J: Rory Mulligan Ryan's Cleaning Handicap5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 13/2
12 Jun 26 Gowran Park Rock Etoile (IRE)J: Sadhbh Tormey Societies Welcome At Gowran Park Golf Club Handicap (0-60)8f · Yielding · 14 ran 11th 16/1
07 Jun 26 Navan Cuban Grey (GB)J: Luke McAteer Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 11/1
01 Jun 26 Gowran Park Rock Etoile (IRE)J: Sadhbh Tormey KCLR 96FM Apprentice Handicap (0-60)8f · Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 9/1
26 May 26 Dundalk (AW) Cuban Grey (GB)J: Luke McAteer Put The Fun In Fundraising At Dundalk Handicap5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 22/1
26 May 26 Dundalk (AW) Imperial Fighter (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Irishinjuredjockeys.com Optional Claiming Race8f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 25/1
26 May 26 Dundalk (AW) Battle Borne (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Optional Claiming Race8f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick J McKenna's strike rate?
Patrick J McKenna has won 14 of 326 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick J McKenna do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 160 runners (5.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Patrick J McKenna in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Patrick J McKenna's Fair A/E?
0.63, from 325 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).