No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 10 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.48).
Deterministic profile computed from 112 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceClaiming: 10.9%
The read
The rider also read well on Heavy going (21.6%, n=37). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 5.1% over 39 rides, 5.6pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
8.8%−1.9
n=80 · A/E 1.50 · £1 −26.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
33.3%+22.6
n=6 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −2.33
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10%−0.7
n=30 · A/E 1.93 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
70%
n=10 · A/E 2.13 · £1 +7.17
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10.9%+0.2
n=110 · A/E 1.48 · £1 −36.83
Big fields · 14+ runners
8.6%−2.1
n=81 · A/E 1.47 · £1 −33.25
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On Heavy going21.6% vs 10.7% · n=37
Over 1m5f – 2m5.1% vs 10.7% · n=39
On Soft going5.7% vs 10.7% · n=35
With debutants6.1% vs 10.7% · n=33
In NH Flat races8.6% vs 10.7% · n=58
On first rides for the horse8.8% vs 10.7% · n=80 · A/E 1.50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat5858.6%−33.50
Chase27518.5%+17.67
Hurdle16212.5%−12.00
Flat1100%−11.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Heavy37821.6%+6.50
Soft3525.7%−24.33
Good2328.7%−4.00
Good to Firm1200%−12.00
Good to Soft300%−3.00
Firm200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Cork35411.4%−17.00
Limerick1616.3%−14.00
Tipperary1218.3%−10.33
Clonmel8112.5%+5.00
Punchestown8225%+11.50
Fairyhouse4125%+9.00
Gowran Park400%−4.00
Tramore300%−3.00
Tralee300%−3.00
Galway300%−3.00
Thurles300%−3.00
Downpatrick200%−2.00
Listowel200%−2.00
Roscommon200%−2.00
Killarney100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 511100%+1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite10770%2.13+7.17
2nd–3rd fav14214.3%1.18−1.00
4th–6th fav2428.3%1.51+2.00
7th+ in betting6411.6%0.55−47.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f48612.5%−22.25
1m5f – 2m3925.1%−23.25
2m5f – 3m20315%−5.33
Over 3m4125%+13.00
1m2f – 1m4f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20082314.3%−10.00
20091400%−14.00
20101616.3%+1.00
20118112.5%+5.00
201213215.4%−8.50
201320315%−9.25
20149111.1%+0.00
2015300%−3.00
20166350%−0.08
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps14214.3%+5.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
17+ runners4224.8%−29.00
14-16 runners39512.8%−4.25
11-13 runners16212.5%+3.00
8-10 runners10110%−7.75
5-7 runners5240%−0.83
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 83 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
50142074·1300291411
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Oscar (IRE)20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Saddlers' Hall (IRE)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Blueprint (IRE)50% · 2–4
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,670 runs since 2008 (137 horses).
Dushyantor (USA)25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,917 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.7% from 139.
Humbel (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.1% of 562 runs since 2008 (63 horses). Strongest on Good going: 10.7% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 110. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.8% from 131.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 141 · newest first
The latest 50 of 141 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 July 2006 to 5 July 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mr Ciaran Fennessy's strike rate?
Mr Ciaran Fennessy has won 12 of 112 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr Ciaran Fennessy do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 4 wins from 35 rides (11.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Mr Ciaran Fennessy's Fair A/E?
1.48, from 112 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mr Ciaran Fennessy·SR 10.7%·A/E 1.48
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