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Trainer profile

Miss Denise Marie O'Shea

87 runners in the last 5 seasons · 13 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 36 days ago 99% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–87
Wins / Runs
4.6%
Strike rate
n=87
27 (31%)
Placed
0.58
Fair A/E
n=87 · 0.46 incl. margin
−53.67
£1 level stake
n=87 at SP · −61.7%
£68,055
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5%+0.4
n=20 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −15.67
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
16.7%
n=6 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −1.67
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.8%+0.2
n=21 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −9.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.6% vs 4.6% · n=39
In Hurdle races 5.2% vs 4.6% · n=58 · A/E 0.66
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 58 3 5.2% −36.67
Chase 28 1 3.6% −16.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 29 1 3.4% −17.00
Good 22 2 9.1% −5.00
Heavy 22 1 4.5% −17.67
Good to Soft 13 0 0% −13.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Clonmel 18 2 11.1% −4.67
Wexford 12 0 0% −12.00
Tramore 12 1 8.3% −4.00
Limerick 12 0 0% −12.00
Cork 8 0 0% −8.00
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00
Punchestown 3 1 33.3% +9.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Leopardstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Thurles 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse 2 0 0% −2.00
Galway 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 1 16.7% 0.74 −1.67
2nd–3rd fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00
4th–6th fav 29 2 6.9% 0.81 −12.00
7th+ in betting 40 1 2.5% 0.75 −28.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
90.7% completed · 86 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 28 89.3% 0 0 3 0 0
Hurdle 58 91.4% 2 1 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tingarran Express (IRE)from Philip Fenton 25 3 12 8 Oct 26
Baldur's Gate (IRE) 22 1 8 2 Apr 26
Shamror Lass (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan 6 0 0 20 Jun 23
Let Her Flow (IRE)from Matthew J Smith · then Mark Fahey 6 0 1 29 Sep 22
Good Girl Robin (IRE) 6 0 2 8 Jul 22
Sheriffhill (IRE)from Terence O'Brien 4 0 2 27 Dec 25
Kate Ill Know (IRE)then David Kenneth Budds 4 0 1 11 May 23
Bold Brook (IRE)from Cian Collins 3 0 0 31 May 25
Lovango (IRE) 3 0 0 13 Oct 22
Supreme Vinnie (IRE) 3 0 1 26 Aug 22
Cailin Hill (IRE) 2 0 0 23 Jul 26
Whose A Diva (IRE)then Andrew Slattery 2 0 0 19 Feb 22
All 13 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 13 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00820000900500
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Simon Torrens 19 2 10.5% −2.00
Brian Hayes 15 1 6.7% −10.67
Rachael Blackmore 10 0 0% −10.00
Darragh O'Keeffe 10 0 0% −10.00
Sean Flanagan 8 0 0% −8.00
Carl Millar 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr E T Mellerick 3 0 0% −3.00
Aidan Kelly 3 0 0% −3.00
Mike O'Connor 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr J W Hannon 2 1 50% +10.00
Mr R W Barron 2 0 0% −2.00
Corey McGivern 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
26
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£346k
Prize money
2018
Best season · 6 wins
Supreme Vinnie (IRE) — Kilkenny Racing Festival Handicap Hurdle (Grade C) Gowran Park · Oct 2016 · Grade C
£18,450
Supreme Vinnie (IRE) — Carmel Fay Memorial Handicap Hurdle Kilbeggan · Jun 2016
£18,450
Supreme Vinnie (IRE) — Galway Plate Trial Handicap Chase Limerick · Jul 2018
£15,375
Notable horses
Supreme Vinnie (IRE) Kilganer Queen (IRE) Tingarran Express (IRE) Oisin James (IRE) Zipporah (IRE) Baldur's Gate (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Westerner (GB) 10.3% · 3–29
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,873 runs since 2009 (946 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Stowaway (GB) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Robin Des Champs (FR) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,007 runs since 2008 (425 horses).
Scorpion (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,327 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,900 runs since 2013 (687 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Golan (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 352 · newest first

The latest 50 of 352 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 May 2014 to 8 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Tingarran Express (IRE)J: Carl Millar Ardmore Handicap Hurdle16f · Yielding · 9 ran 5th 6/1
14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Tingarran Express (IRE)J: Carl Millar John Fairbrother Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 6/1
23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Cailin Hill (IRE)J: Carl Millar Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On August 29th Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 11 ran 11th 500/1
10 Jul 26 Kilbeggan Cailin Hill (IRE)J: Carl Millar BETXS Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 10th 100/1
03 Jul 26 Wexford Tingarran Express (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Save The Date 7th August Ladies Day Handicap Chase (0-100)19.5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 11/1
05 Jun 26 Clonmel Tingarran Express (IRE)J: Carl Millar Bulmers Berries Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)16.5f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 9/1
14 May 26 Clonmel Tingarran Express (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Clonmel Racecourse Supporters Club Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 6th 33/1
02 Apr 26 Clonmel Baldur's Gate (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe KEP Italia Handicap Chase23f · Soft · 14 ran 12th 9/1
22 Mar 26 Limerick Baldur's Gate (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Join Racing TV Handicap Chase24.5f · Soft To Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 9/1
17 Mar 26 Wexford Baldur's Gate (IRE)J: Mr E T Mellerick Botanica International Handicap Chase (0-100)19.5f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 20/1
03 Mar 26 Leopardstown Baldur's Gate (IRE)J: Mr E T Mellerick John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Chase21.5f · Yielding · 10 ran 7th 10/1
26 Feb 26 Clonmel Tingarran Express (IRE)J: Simon Torrens William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 16/1
27 Dec 25 Limerick Sheriffhill (IRE)J: Simon Torrens D & J Glazing Novice Handicap Hurdle16f · Heavy · 15 ran 10th 10/1
27 Dec 25 Limerick Baldur's Gate (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Tim & Martin Molony Veterans Handicap Chase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 7th 9/1
02 Dec 25 Clonmel Sheriffhill (IRE)J: Simon Torrens William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)19.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 4th 15/2
06 Nov 25 Clonmel Sheriffhill (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Prior Park Service Station Clonmel Handicap Chase (0-100)17f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 12/1
26 Oct 25 Galway Baldur's Gate (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Brasserie On The Corner Handicap Chase22.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 11th 20/1
23 Oct 25 Clonmel Sheriffhill (IRE)J: Mr E T Mellerick Kilclooney Woods (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 10/1
15 Aug 25 Tramore Tingarran Express (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Assembly Tech Mares Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 7/1
11 Jul 25 Kilbeggan Tingarran Express (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Writech Handicap Hurdle18.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 8 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Miss Denise Marie O'Shea's strike rate?
Miss Denise Marie O'Shea has won 4 of 87 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Miss Denise Marie O'Shea's Fair A/E?
0.58, from 87 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).