Mr Josh Halley
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.58). Rode mostly for J Halley — 83% of rides in the window.
First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 0% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.49 and −79.67 to a £1 stake over 105 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. J Halley supplied 83% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (3.2%, A/E 0.48). The rider also read well in Chase races (8.1%, n=37). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Dec 2012, £21,896).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 114 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 114 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 February 2009 to 4 January 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mr Josh Halley's strike rate?
- Mr Josh Halley has won 5 of 114 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Mr Josh Halley ride most for?
- J Halley, with 95 rides since 2008 — 83% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (3.2%).
- What is Mr Josh Halley's Fair A/E?
- 0.58, from 114 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.