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Trainer profile

Mrs Grainne M O'Connor

69 runners in the last 5 seasons · 15 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 73 days ago 99% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2022
5–69
Wins / Runs
7.2%
Strike rate
n=69
15 (22%)
Placed
1.13
Fair A/E
n=69 · 0.90 incl. margin
+20.00
£1 level stake
n=69 at SP · +29.0%
£58,670
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 13.5%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−7.2
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.2
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.2
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
25%+17.8
n=4 · A/E 6.40 · £1 +37.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
20%+12.8
n=5 · A/E 5.00 · £1 +10.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +0.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
13.5%+6.3
n=37 · A/E 2.18 · £1 +52.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.2
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 13.5% vs 7.2% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 41 3 7.3% +27.00
Chase 19 2 10.5% +2.00
NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 28 4 14.3% +20.00
Good 19 0 0% −19.00
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 10 1 10% +31.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 9 2 22.2% +18.00
Punchestown 9 0 0% −9.00
Thurles 8 1 12.5% −2.00
Galway 7 0 0% −7.00
Tipperary 7 1 14.3% +34.00
Ballinrobe 6 0 0% −6.00
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00
Cork 3 1 33.3% +12.00
Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Listowel 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00
Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 1 16.7% 0.79 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
4th–6th fav 15 1 6.7% 1.01 −9.00
7th+ in betting 40 3 7.5% 2.80 +39.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.7% completed · 60 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 19 57.9% 3 2 3 0 0
Hurdle 41 92.7% 0 0 2 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Merry Moves (IRE) 19 1 4 27 Dec 23
Brandy Harbour (GB)from John Neilan 17 3 8 27 Apr 23
Love Bite (IRE)from Nicky Henderson 6 1 1 25 Oct 25
True Light (IRE)from W P Mullins 6 0 0 22 Nov 24
Discrete (IRE) 4 0 0 24 Aug 26
Arctic Saint (IRE)from Kim Bailey · then Deborah Cole 4 0 0 18 Jul 24
Yeahgoonso Honey (IRE) 3 0 0 18 Jul 24
Brave Starlight (IRE)then David Dennis 2 0 1 4 May 23
Fantastic Allen (FR) 2 0 0 13 Mar 22
Orion D'oryvil (FR) 1 0 0 18 Nov 25
Listen Loud (IRE) 1 0 0 13 Nov 25
Jump The Burren (IRE) 1 0 0 9 Jun 24
All 15 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 15 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for David Dennis (2); 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
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A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Diarmuid Moloney 14 3 21.4% +11.00
Denis O'Regan 6 0 0% −6.00
Jordan Gainford 6 0 0% −6.00
Miss C F Macmahon 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr Derek O'Connor 4 0 0% −4.00
Robbie Geoghegan 4 0 0% −4.00
Shane Fitzgerald 4 0 0% −4.00
Aidan Kelly 4 1 25% +37.00
Mr E Mahon 3 0 0% −3.00
Ben Harvey 3 1 33.3% +20.00
Phillip Enright 2 0 0% −2.00
Conor Stone-Walsh 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
10
Archived wins
£117k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 2 wins
Brandy Harbour (GB) — Coolmore N.H. Sires Capri Handicap Chase Cork · Apr 2023
£12,980
Sherika (IRE) — Matty Ryan Memorial Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Thurles · Jan 2014
£10,695
Brandy Harbour (GB) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase Thurles · Dec 2022
£10,030
Notable horses
Brandy Harbour (GB) Sherika (IRE) Merry Moves (IRE) Sliabh Mhuire Lass (IRE) Love Bite (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sholokhov (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,269 runs since 2008 (422 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.
Schiaparelli (GER) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 12% of 1,835 runs since 2015 (203 horses).
Great Pretender (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 13.1% of 3,550 runs since 2010 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
Milan (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,871 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Saint Des Saints (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 15% of 5,359 runs since 2008 (643 horses).
Success Days (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.3% of 58 runs since 2024 (16 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 189 · newest first

The latest 50 of 189 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 December 2009 to 24 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Discrete (IRE)J: Tom Kelly Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Good · 15 ran 10th 150/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Discrete (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Solar Generation Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 125/1
10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Discrete (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Bank Of Ireland Brendan Maloney Memorial Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 7th 200/1
15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Discrete (IRE)J: Mr B Leahy Midlands National On 10th July (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 13th 66/1
18 Nov 25 Limerick Orion D'oryvil (FR)J: Miss C F Macmahon Limerick (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 25/1
13 Nov 25 Punchestown Listen Loud (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Academy Hurdle18.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 18/1
25 Oct 25 Galway Love Bite (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24f · Yielding · 16 ran 6th 9/1
06 Oct 25 Tipperary Love Bite (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Tipperary Races On X Handicap Hurdle (0-100)23.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 1st 40/1
27 Sep 25 Listowel Love Bite (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran PU 25/1
25 Aug 25 Ballinrobe Love Bite (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly On-Course Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)22.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 40/1
11 Aug 25 Ballinrobe Love Bite (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Broderick's Electric Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16.5f · Good · 15 ran 14th 80/1
13 May 25 Sligo Love Bite (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Kevin Egan Cars Peugeot Citreon Handicap Hurdle26f · Good · 12 ran 8th 33/1
22 Nov 24 Tipperary True Light (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford tipperaryraces Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-116)20.5f · Soft · 15 ran SU 50/1
26 Oct 24 Galway True Light (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 8th 33/1
13 Oct 24 Cork True Light (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 33/1
04 Sep 24 Kilbeggan True Light (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford www.kilbegganraces.com Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Yielding · 16 ran 5th 33/1
12 Aug 24 Ballinrobe True Light (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle23f · Yielding To Soft · 6 ran 5th 66/1
18 Jul 24 Killarney Yeahgoonso Honey (IRE)J: Miss C F Macmahon Kate Kearney's (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 12 ran 12th 250/1
18 Jul 24 Killarney Arctic Saint (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Kerry Drain Services Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 14/1
08 Jul 24 Roscommon Yeahgoonso Honey (IRE)J: Miss C F Macmahon Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 14 ran 13th 250/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs Grainne M O'Connor's strike rate?
Mrs Grainne M O'Connor has won 5 of 69 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mrs Grainne M O'Connor's Fair A/E?
1.13, from 69 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).