Skip to content
Jockey profile

Mr M J Lynch

82 rides in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride May 2017
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–82
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=82
9 (11%)
Placed
1.35
Fair A/E
n=82 · 1.05 incl. margin
+59.00
£1 level stake
n=82 at SP · +72.0%
£90,517
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.7%−1.4
n=43 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +49.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−6.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
4.3%−1.8
n=23 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −15.50
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.1%+0.0
n=82 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +59.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.4%−3.7
n=42 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With M M Lynch 10% vs 6.1% · n=30
Over 1m5f – 2m 8.3% vs 6.1% · n=48
When claiming 6.1% vs 6.1% · n=82 · A/E 1.35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 43 3 7% +56.50
Chase 19 1 5.3% +15.00
Hurdle 11 1 9.1% −3.50
Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 28 3 10.7% +54.50
Heavy 25 1 4% −17.50
Good 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Soft 8 1 12.5% +43.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 12 2 16.7% +73.00
Down Royal 11 0 0% −11.00
Punchestown 10 0 0% −10.00
Navan 6 2 33.3% +9.00
Cork 5 1 20% +36.00
Downpatrick 5 0 0% −5.00
Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00
Thurles 3 0 0% −3.00
Roscommon 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 2 28.6% 1.76 +8.00
4th–6th fav 16 0 0% 0.00 −16.00
7th+ in betting 58 3 5.2% 2.20 +68.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
73.3% completed · 30 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 19 68.4% 1 1 4 0 0
Hurdle 11 81.8% 0 0 1 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Beyond The Obvious (IRE) 9 2 3 13 Mar 16
Inside Shadow (IRE) 5 0 1 26 Dec 11
Book Of Love (IRE) 4 0 0 6 Aug 16
Urban Dusk (IRE) 4 0 0 18 Feb 15
Adatara (IRE) 4 0 0 21 Jun 12
Hix Fix (IRE) 3 1 1 2 May 14
Bang On Time (IRE) 3 0 0 21 Apr 14
Nicole'sway (IRE) 3 0 0 10 Sep 13
Taghnabrick (IRE) 3 0 0 16 Mar 13
Psychedelic Rock (GB) 2 0 0 17 May 17
Rossanwee (IRE) 2 0 0 14 Jan 16
Charlie Mon (IRE) 2 0 0 10 Jan 16
All 43 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
001718000000250
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardM M Lynch
37% of all rides
10% SR · A/E 1.58
TrainerRWSR£1
M M Lynch 30 3 10% +26.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
5
Archived wins
£90,517
Prize money
2014
Best season · 2 wins
Moon Racer (IRE) — Tattersalls Ireland George Mernagh Memorial Sales Bumper Fairyhouse · Apr 2014
£59,000
Beyond The Obvious (IRE) — Bective Restaurant Maiden Hurdle Navan · Mar 2016
£7,688
Beyond The Obvious (IRE) — Racing Again Troytown Day 22nd November (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race Navan (IRE) · Nov 2015
£6,210
Notable horses
Beyond The Obvious (IRE) Hix Fix (IRE) Maple Lady (IRE) Moon Racer (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Oscar (IRE) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Witness Box (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,675 runs since 2008 (194 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 173.
King's Theatre (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Kutub (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,003 runs since 2008 (86 horses).
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Celtic Swing (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,248 runs since 2008 (160 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 82 · newest first

The latest 50 of 82 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 January 2009 to 17 May 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 May 17 Punchestown Psychedelic Rock (GB)T: M M Lynch Punchestown Event Centre Flat Race16.5f · Good · 16 ran 10th 50/1
15 Jan 17 Fairyhouse Psychedelic Rock (GB)T: M M Lynch Next Racing At Fairyhouse January 25th (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 16/1
06 Aug 16 Kilbeggan (IRE) Book Of Love (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Tom Birmingham Menswear INH Flat Race16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 20/1
05 Jul 16 Roscommon Book Of Love (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Roscommonracecourse.ie Flat Race20.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 10th 25/1
01 Jun 16 Punchestown Book Of Love (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Bet In-shop & Check On The Go With The Ladbrokes Grid App Flat Race16f · Good · 13 ran 13th 28/1
17 Mar 16 Down Royal Howwouldsheno (IRE)T: George Stewart Weatherbys Ireland GSB Mares Flat Race16f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 12/1
13 Mar 16 Navan Beyond The Obvious (IRE)T: M M Lynch Bective Restaurant Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 1st 13/2
14 Jan 16 Thurles Rossanwee (IRE)T: George Stewart Arctic Tack Stud Hunters Chase24.5f · Soft · 13 ran UR 40/1
10 Jan 16 Fairyhouse Charlie Mon (IRE)T: George Stewart Next Racing At Fairyhouse January 20th (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 50/1
29 Dec 15 Leopardstown Beyond The Obvious (IRE)T: M M Lynch Ryanair Flat Race16f · Heavy · 5 ran 4th 22/1
26 Dec 15 Down Royal Charlie Mon (IRE)T: George Stewart Bet With The Tote (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 16 ran 7th 33/1
26 Dec 15 Down Royal Rossanwee (IRE)T: George Stewart Silks At downroyal Hunters Chase22f · Heavy · 14 ran 4th 66/1
15 Nov 15 Cork Beyond The Obvious (IRE)T: M M Lynch Follow Us On Twitter (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 13 ran 10th 5/1
08 Nov 15 Navan (IRE) Beyond The Obvious (IRE)T: M M Lynch Racing Again Troytown Day 22nd November (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 1st 13/2
27 Oct 15 Punchestown Book Of Love (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Cash Out With Betdaq Flat Race16f · Yielding · 8 ran 5th 25/1
10 Oct 15 Fairyhouse Beyond The Obvious (IRE)T: M M Lynch Thanks To Our 10,000 Plus Followers On fairyhouse Twitter Flat Race16f · Good · 11 ran 7th 9/4F
20 Jun 15 Gowran Park General Santos (IRE)T: John Neilan Joe Bollard Memorial Flat Race20f · Good · 13 ran 7th 33/1
09 Jun 15 Roscommon Kutitout (GB)T: Mrs Lorna Fowler Ladies Day At Roscommon On July 6th Flat Race16f · Good · 18 ran 11th 66/1
10 Apr 15 Wexford Zagress (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 16 ran SU 33/1
05 Apr 15 Fairyhouse Knuckle Duster (IRE)T: Michael Ronayne Tattersalls Ireland George Mernagh Memorial Sales Bumper16f · Soft · 20 ran 15th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr M J Lynch's strike rate?
Mr M J Lynch has won 5 of 82 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr M J Lynch's Fair A/E?
1.35, from 82 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).