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Trainer profile

John Neilan

94 runners in the last 5 seasons · 16 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 23 days ago 99% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
0–94
Wins / Runs
0%
Strike rate
n=94
6 (6%)
Placed
0.00
n=94 · 0.00 incl. margin
−94.00
£1 level stake
n=94 at SP · −100.0%
£9,150
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%+0.0
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Debutants · first career start
0%+0.0
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%+0.0
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%+0.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%+0.0
n=67 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −67.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 0% vs 0% · n=63 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 63 0 0% −63.00
NH Flat 23 0 0% −23.00
Chase 7 0 0% −7.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 31 0 0% −31.00
Soft 27 0 0% −27.00
Good to Soft 18 0 0% −18.00
Heavy 18 0 0% −18.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 25 0 0% −25.00
Galway 13 0 0% −13.00
Sligo 12 0 0% −12.00
Ballinrobe 9 0 0% −9.00
Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 5 0 0% −5.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00
Thurles 4 0 0% −4.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00
Clonmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00
Down Royal 1 0 0% −1.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
4th–6th fav 14 0 0% 0.00 −14.00
7th+ in betting 80 0 0% 0.00 −80.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.3% completed · 70 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 7 71.4% 0 1 1 0 0
Hurdle 63 85.7% 1 3 5 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Winter Carnival (IRE) 23 0 3 28 May 26
Road To The Weir (IRE) 16 0 1 6 Jul 26
Hunters Song (IRE)then Gary Brown 9 0 1 27 Dec 22
Glenabbey (IRE) 7 0 0 2 Jun 24
Bugscuffle (IRE)then Andrew McNamara 7 0 1 29 Dec 22
Long Story (IRE) 5 0 0 28 Sep 26
Champagne Melanie (IRE) 5 0 0 30 Jul 25
Wild Eagle (IRE) 4 0 0 12 Jul 26
Winter Orchid (IRE) 4 0 0 30 Jul 25
Kilroe Champ (IRE) 3 0 0 23 Jul 24
Making My Way Back (IRE) 3 0 0 20 Sep 23
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 16 had their first archived run here.

3 have since run for another yard; 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000000000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Alan King 27 0 0% −27.00
Conor McNamara 10 0 0% −10.00
Diarmuid Moloney 9 0 0% −9.00
Mr T A Halford 8 0 0% −8.00
Keith Donoghue 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr M J Kenneally 3 0 0% −3.00
Shane Fitzgerald 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr Finian Maguire 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr E Mahon 3 0 0% −3.00
Hugh Morgan 3 0 0% −3.00
L P Dempsey 3 0 0% −3.00
Michael O'Sullivan 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
4
Archived wins
£88,602
Prize money
2016
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Poormans Hill (IRE) — Guinness West Indies Porter Flat Race Galway · Jul 2016
£9,225
Hunters Call (IRE) — Welcome To Toomevara GAA Race Day Maiden Hurdle Naas (IRE) · Nov 2015
£8,280
Hunters Call (IRE) — Joe Bollard Memorial Flat Race Gowran Park · Jun 2015
£6,210

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Arctic Cosmos (USA) 0% · 0–31
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,300 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.3% from 194.
Salutino (GER) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 9.1% of 341 runs since 2008 (29 horses).
Milan (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,844 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Westerner (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,823 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
September Storm (GER) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,131 runs since 2008 (103 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 148. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.9% from 101.
Hillstar (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.5% of 738 runs since 2008 (88 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 337 · newest first

The latest 50 of 337 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 February 2005 to 28 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Long Story (IRE)J: Mr E Mahon GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 15th 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Neilan's strike rate?
John Neilan has won 0 of 94 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 0% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is John Neilan's Fair A/E?
0.00, from 94 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).