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Trainer profile

Mrs Lorna Fowler

223 runners in the last 5 seasons · 42 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 10 days ago 93% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2022
18–223
Wins / Runs
8.1%
Strike rate
n=223
60 (27%)
Placed
0.97
Fair A/E
n=223 · 0.79 incl. margin
−109.23
£1 level stake
n=223 at SP · −49.0%
£424k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97).

Deterministic profile computed from 223 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 4 Nov 2026
The read

The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (14%, n=57). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 3.8% over 79 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Railway Bar Lismullen Hurdle at Navan (Nov 2025, £29,500). The stable star of the record: Politesse (IRE) — 5 wins from 15 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.9%−2.2
n=68 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −40.67
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
3.4%−4.7
n=29 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −20.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.1
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.1
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
25%
n=12 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −5.31
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.1%+0.0
n=111 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −45.72
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
4%−4.1
n=25 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Kieren Buckley 18.8% vs 8.1% · n=32
Off a 15-30-day break 14% vs 8.1% · n=57
With horses switching code 2.3% vs 8.1% · n=43
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 3.8% vs 8.1% · n=79
Off a 61-180-day break 4.5% vs 8.1% · n=44
Over 1m5f – 2m 10.3% vs 8.1% · n=107
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 152 12 7.9% −78.31
Chase 29 3 10.3% −14.25
NH Flat 27 2 7.4% −13.67
Flat 15 1 6.7% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 84 6 7.1% −55.51
Good to Soft 61 5 8.2% −30.97
Good 48 5 10.4% −12.75
Heavy 26 2 7.7% −6.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 26 2 7.7% −18.42
Punchestown 22 0 0% −22.00
Kilbeggan 15 1 6.7% −6.00
Navan 14 3 21.4% +15.50
Tipperary 13 1 7.7% −9.50
Sligo 11 1 9.1% −7.00
Ballinrobe 11 0 0% −11.00
Naas 11 0 0% −11.00
Down Royal 10 0 0% −10.00
Leopardstown 10 1 10% +2.00
Tramore 9 2 22.2% −0.09
Cork 7 1 14.3% −2.00
Thurles 7 1 14.3% −3.00
Roscommon 7 1 14.3% −0.50
Gowran Park 6 1 16.7% +1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 27 1 3.7% −14.00
Class 4 3 1 33.3% −1.47
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 4 30.8% 1.06 +0.19
2nd–3rd fav 52 9 17.3% 1.18 −7.42
4th–6th fav 76 5 6.6% 1.00 −20.00
7th+ in betting 82 0 0% 0.00 −82.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.3% completed · 181 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 29 93.1% 1 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 152 86.2% 2 4 14 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Colonel Mustard (FR) 24 2 10 11 Mar 26
Banjaxed (GB) 22 2 6 22 Oct 26
Fairyland Opera (IRE) 13 1 5 10 May 26
Doyenna (IRE) 13 2 4 21 Apr 24
Skip Mahler (IRE)then Mark Walford 11 0 4 19 Oct 23
Tophill Low (IRE) 10 1 2 23 Aug 24
Perzzini (IRE)from Patrick Eugene Turley 8 1 1 2 Dec 25
Haughty (GB)from Alan King · then V C Ward 8 0 0 29 Oct 25
Y Fyn Duw A Fydd (GB)from Alan King 8 1 2 17 Sep 22
Il Pirata (IRE) 6 0 0 6 Aug 26
Leylani (IRE) 6 0 0 26 Dec 23
Call Her Now (IRE) 6 1 3 2 Nov 23
All 42 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 42 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan King (2); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard; 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
801377236520847
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderKieren Buckley
14% of all rides
18.8% SR · A/E 1.59
RiderRWSR£1
Kieren Buckley 32 6 18.8% +2.28
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
29
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£592k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 7 wins
Colonel Mustard (FR) — Railway Bar Lismullen Hurdle (Grade 2) Navan · Nov 2025 · Grade 2
£29,500
Politesse (IRE) — Eileen Kelly Memorial Chase Galway · Jul 2022
£14,750
Politesse (IRE) — Tote Connacht National Handicap Chase Roscommon · Jun 2022
£14,160
Notable horses
Politesse (IRE) Colonel Mustard (FR) Banjaxed (GB) Doyenna (IRE) Naughtinesse (IRE) Beneficial Society (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Makfi (GB) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,828 runs since 2014 (358 horses).
Blue Bresil (FR) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 12.2% of 3,529 runs since 2013 (461 horses).
Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 7.7% of 3,143 runs since 2015 (317 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.7% from 382.
Doyen (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,374 runs since 2009 (605 horses).
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,871 runs since 2014 (786 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 13.3% of 7,024 runs since 2011 (703 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 388 · newest first

The latest 50 of 388 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 March 2013 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Holly's Thunder (IRE)J: John Shinnick COLM QUINN BMW Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 13/2
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Banjaxed (GB)J: John Shinnick William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 10 ran PU 16/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Ballito Beauty (IRE)J: John Shinnick Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 8th 66/1
03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Banjaxed (GB)J: John Shinnick Sign up to – GavinLynchRacing.com Handicap Steeplechase20f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 4th 14/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Ballito Beauty (IRE)J: J J Slevin Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 7th 33/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Lengaruka (FR)J: John Shinnick Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran 5th 16/1
03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Ballito Beauty (IRE)J: Mr M J Love Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race19f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 4th 13/2
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Lengaruka (FR)J: John Shinnick Solar Generation Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 14/1
06 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Ballito Beauty (IRE)J: Mr M J Love Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 25/1
06 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Il Pirata (IRE)J: Mr M J Love SIS Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 16 ran 13th 66/1
24 Jul 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Lengaruka (FR)J: John Shinnick Tom McCormack Memorial Cup Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran 5th 33/1
06 Jul 26 Roscommon Il Pirata (IRE)J: Mr M J Love Shanagher Hearing Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16f · Good · 14 ran 8th 40/1
06 Jul 26 Roscommon Lengaruka (FR)J: John Shinnick Shanagher Hearing Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Good · 15 ran 10th 40/1
10 May 26 Cork Fairyland Opera (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Farm And Industrial Spares Mallow Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)19f · Good · 15 ran PU 12/1
01 May 26 Punchestown Holly's Thunder (IRE)J: Mr M J Love Stables Restaurant Naas Flat Race19f · Yielding · 21 ran 3rd 40/1
29 Apr 26 Punchestown Le Grand Peinture (IRE)J: Jack G Gilligan Louis Fitzgerald Hotel Hurdle19.5f · Yielding · 10 ran PU 80/1
06 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Queen Alice (GB)J: Anna McGuinness Leinster Reinforcements & Brazil Piling (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 20/1
05 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Il Pirata (IRE)J: Mr M J Love Ryan's Cleaning Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran BD 100/1
11 Mar 26 Cheltenham Colonel Mustard (FR)J: John Shinnick BetMGM Cup Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 21f · Good To Soft · 24 ran 13th 50/1
22 Feb 26 Naas Le Grand Peinture (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 22 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 22 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Mrs Lorna Fowler's strike rate?
Mrs Lorna Fowler has won 18 of 223 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Mrs Lorna Fowler in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mrs Lorna Fowler's Fair A/E?
0.97, from 223 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).