Mr O Greenall
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 70 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.22). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 24% (87 rides).
It is weakest at Catterick (6.5% over 31 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 24.1% (n=87, Fair A/E 1.29), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 9.8% (n=184, Fair A/E 1.26). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 15.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.34 and +16.36 to a £1 stake over 128 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Michael Easterby supplied 38% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (9.3% vs 14.6%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Class 6 (22.7%, n=88) and over 2m5f – 3m (19.8%, n=116). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 7.8% over 116 rides, 6.8pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Lightening Rod (GB) — 5 wins from 12 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 577 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 577 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 March 2005 to 27 May 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mr O Greenall's strike rate?
- Mr O Greenall has won 78 of 534 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 14.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mr O Greenall do best at?
- Bangor-on-Dee by strike rate: 3 wins from 32 rides (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Mr O Greenall ride most for?
- Michael Easterby, with 204 rides since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (9.3%).
- What is Mr O Greenall's Fair A/E?
- 1.22, from 534 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.