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Jockey profile

Mr P N O'Brien

76 rides in the lifetime window · 46 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jul 2015 97% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
3–76
Wins / Runs
3.9%
Strike rate
n=76
12 (16%)
Placed
0.86
Fair A/E
n=76 · 0.63 incl. margin
−39.50
£1 level stake
n=76 at SP · −52.0%
£28,583
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 4.1%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−3.9
n=44 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −44.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−3.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−3.9
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 2.60 · £1 +1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
4.1%+0.2
n=74 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −37.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.2%+0.3
n=48 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −14.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse 0% vs 3.9% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 38 2 5.3% −27.50
NH Flat 22 0 0% −22.00
Hurdle 14 1 7.1% +12.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 25 3 12% +11.50
Soft 16 0 0% −16.00
Heavy 15 0 0% −15.00
Good to Firm 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 14 1 7.1% +12.00
Punchestown 14 0 0% −14.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Sligo 6 0 0% −6.00
Tramore 4 1 25% +3.50
Limerick 4 1 25% −1.00
Cork 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00
Down Royal 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Thurles 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Listowel 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 2.60 +1.00
2nd–3rd fav 6 1 16.7% 1.31 +1.50
4th–6th fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00
7th+ in betting 56 1 1.8% 0.64 −30.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
63.5% completed · 52 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 38 57.9% 2 1 13 0 0
Hurdle 14 78.6% 1 0 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ashfield Present (IRE) 15 1 3 3 Jun 11
Hu Ha Jo (IRE) 4 1 1 25 Jun 12
Royal Blood (IRE) 4 1 3 26 Dec 08
Schumpters Lad (IRE) 2 0 1 27 Aug 12
Uponthe Hoof (IRE) 2 0 0 8 Oct 11
Rematch (IRE) 2 0 1 23 May 11
Boston Memory (IRE) 2 0 0 15 May 11
Last Will Be First (IRE) 2 0 0 17 Apr 10
Burnt Oil Babe (IRE) 2 0 0 5 Apr 10
Nun Better (IRE) 2 0 0 14 Oct 09
Alocin (IRE) 2 0 0 19 Mar 09
Sarluk (IRE) 2 0 0 14 Jul 08
All 46 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0009614000000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
J P Dempsey 16 2 12.5% −5.50
Shane Joseph Kelly 13 0 0% −13.00
D J Barry 12 1 8.3% +14.00
William P Murphy 10 0 0% −10.00
T J Taaffe 7 0 0% −7.00
Lady Jane Gillespie 2 0 0% −2.00
Patrick O Brady 2 0 0% −2.00
Norman Cassidy 2 0 0% −2.00
Charlie Mann 2 0 0% −2.00
K Donohue 1 0 0% −1.00
P Meany 1 0 0% −1.00
Denis W Cullen 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
3
Archived wins
£28,583
Prize money
2008
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Royal Blood (IRE) — Irish Open at Adare Manor Hunters Chase Limerick · May 2008
£7,601
Ashfield Present (IRE) — Saltan Properties Hunters Chase Tramore · Apr 2008
£6,219
Hu Ha Jo (IRE) — Plenty To Do Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Downpatrick · Jun 2012
£4,830
Notable horses
Ashfield Present (IRE) Hu Ha Jo (IRE) Royal Blood (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Presenting (GB) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Gulland (GB) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 5.8% of 226 runs since 2008 (15 horses).
Orpen (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9% of 4,038 runs since 2008 (381 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 113.
Tiraaz (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 17.3% of 300 runs since 2008 (27 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 90 · newest first

The latest 50 of 90 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 February 2006 to 4 July 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Jul 15 Bellewstown Bach On Track (IRE)T: Patrick Downey Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 14th 20/1
27 Aug 12 Huntingdon Schumpters Lad (IRE)T: Charlie Mann Blue Square Bet Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 2nd 14/1
16 Aug 12 Fontwell Schumpters Lad (IRE)T: Charlie Mann Courtesan Boutique, Worthing, West Sussex Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17.5f · Good · 16 ran 5th 28/1
25 Jun 12 Kilbeggan Hu Ha Jo (IRE)T: D J Barry Hurley Family Handicap Hurdle (80-95)24f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran PU 9/1
05 Jun 12 Downpatrick Hu Ha Jo (IRE)T: D J Barry Plenty To Do Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22f · Good · 14 ran 1st 25/1
03 Jun 12 Kilbeggan Tyrones Quest (IRE)T: Patrick J McKenna www.kilbegganraces.com Flat Race16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 33/1
23 May 12 Sligo Kaietoneer (IRE)T: David Martin Kelly Cleveragh Flat Race18f · Good · 6 ran PU 50/1
11 May 12 Downpatrick Breaking Bits (IRE)T: T J Taaffe Down District Council Flat Race18f · Good · 13 ran SU 10/1
11 May 12 Downpatrick Hu Ha Jo (IRE)T: D J Barry Castlewellan Handicap Hurdle (80-95)18f · Good · 11 ran 8th 16/1
09 May 12 Punchestown Fancy City (IRE)T: Colm A Cronin KFM Hunters Chase For The Bishopscourt Cup20f · Yielding · 20 ran 13th 50/1
26 Apr 12 Punchestown Inoma James (IRE)T: D J Barry Avon Ri Corporate & Leisure Resort Chase For The La Touche Cup33f · Heavy · 24 ran PU 25/1
08 Apr 12 Cork By The Banks (IRE)T: Denis W Cullen Corkracecourse.ie (Pro/Am) Flat Race19f · Good · 20 ran 18th 50/1
25 Mar 12 Downpatrick Pontificating (IRE)T: T J Taaffe Toals Bookmakers Bet On Irish Lotto (pro/am) Flat Race18f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 11/1
19 Mar 12 Limerick Texas Tea (IRE)T: D J Barry Munster Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 8/1
17 Mar 12 Down Royal Polar Lass (IRE)T: T J Canavan Daily Mirror Hunters Chase20f · Soft · 14 ran PU 40/1
27 Nov 11 Wexford Cadilac Jack (IRE)T: P Meany Rosslare Hunters Chase22f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 33/1
03 Nov 11 Thurles Shahalan (IRE)T: Patrick O Brady Toboradora Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 11th 50/1
26 Oct 11 Punchestown Slivegullion Girl (IRE)T: Patrick O Brady Thoroughbred County Mares Flat Race16f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 50/1
08 Oct 11 Fairyhouse Uponthe Hoof (IRE)T: T J Taaffe Check Special Offers For Winter Festival (C & G) Flat Race16f · Good · 16 ran 4th 14/1
12 Sep 11 Listowel Uponthe Hoof (IRE)T: T J Taaffe Bank Of Ireland Flat Race16f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr P N O'Brien's strike rate?
Mr P N O'Brien has won 3 of 76 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr P N O'Brien's Fair A/E?
0.86, from 76 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).