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Trainer profile

William P Murphy

91 runners in the last 5 seasons · 18 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago 93% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
6–91
Wins / Runs
6.6%
Strike rate
n=91
14 (15%)
Placed
1.31
Fair A/E
n=91 · 1.07 incl. margin
+26.00
£1 level stake
n=91 at SP · +28.6%
£81,494
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.6
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
8.3%+1.7
n=12 · A/E 1.60 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.6
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
25%+18.4
n=4 · A/E 3.27 · £1 +0.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.9%−4.7
n=54 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −50.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.6
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 1.9% vs 6.6% · n=54
Over 2m5f – 3m 11.4% vs 6.6% · n=44
With a new jockey booking 2.4% vs 6.6% · n=42
In Chase races 10% vs 6.6% · n=50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 50 5 10% +16.00
Hurdle 20 1 5% +31.00
NH Flat 15 0 0% −15.00
Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 37 3 8.1% +20.00
Heavy 24 2 8.3% +32.00
Good 23 1 4.3% −19.00
Good to Soft 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 12 1 8.3% +39.00
Fairyhouse 12 1 8.3% +29.00
Punchestown 9 1 11.1% −4.00
Tipperary 7 1 14.3% −2.00
Tramore 6 0 0% −6.00
Navan 6 0 0% −6.00
Cork 6 0 0% −6.00
Downpatrick 4 1 25% +0.00
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00
Bellewstown 4 0 0% −4.00
Down Royal 3 1 33.3% +8.00
Clonmel 3 0 0% −3.00
Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 13 2 15.4% 1.04 −4.00
4th–6th fav 21 2 9.5% 1.49 −5.00
7th+ in betting 57 2 3.5% 1.53 +35.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
77.1% completed · 70 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 50 80% 0 0 10 0 0
Hurdle 20 70% 0 1 5 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Clonmeen (IRE) 28 3 6 2 May 26
Revolut Ned (IRE) 11 0 2 14 Oct 26
Barton Snow (IRE)then J J O'Shea 10 0 2 28 Aug 24
Aghmorough Bridge (IRE) 8 1 1 31 May 24
Joe Hannigan (IRE) 6 0 0 28 Oct 24
Grange Soldier (IRE) 5 1 1 28 Apr 26
Elsa Bay (IRE) 5 0 0 13 Dec 25
Grageen (IRE)from Leo Doyle 4 1 2 23 May 25
Holly Tree (IRE) 4 0 0 18 Apr 23
Butchers Daughter (IRE)from P A Fahy 2 0 0 10 Apr 25
Leading Rose (IRE) 1 0 0 5 Oct 26
Pour Me A Double (IRE) 1 0 0 29 Dec 25
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 18 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0001014000001418
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Simon Torrens 22 4 18.2% +86.00
Mr P A King 20 1 5% −16.00
Miss M M McElligott 14 0 0% −14.00
Niall Moore 7 0 0% −7.00
Mr P W Gleeson 5 0 0% −5.00
Ryan Treacy 5 0 0% −5.00
Luke Carberry 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr B O'Neill 2 1 50% +3.00
Darragh O'Keeffe 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr A P Kennedy 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr D Doyle 1 0 0% −1.00
Miss S A Carter 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
34
Archived wins
£348k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Clonmeen (IRE) — Join Racing TV Now Handicap Chase Fairyhouse · Apr 2026
£15,314
Velocity Boy (IRE) — Book Online At www.limerickraces.ie Handicap Hurdle Limerick · Apr 2016
£14,760
Burnt Oil Babe (IRE) — www.punchestown.com For Better Value Handicap Chase (0-130) Punchestown · Oct 2011
£10,005
Notable horses
Velocity Boy (IRE) Clonmeen (IRE) Burnt Oil Babe (IRE) Vinnie (IRE) Sacre Malta (FR) Twice The Craic (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Stowaway (GB) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Doyen (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,349 runs since 2008 (605 horses).
Snow Sky (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 10.7% of 413 runs since 2008 (54 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.1% from 156. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 129. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 178.
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,813 runs since 2008 (678 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Shantou (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,819 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Arcadio (GER) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,977 runs since 2008 (375 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 505 · newest first

The latest 50 of 505 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 July 2005 to 14 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Revolut Ned (IRE)J: Mr A P Kennedy Matchbook Betting Exchange (Q.R.) Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 18/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Leading Rose (IRE)J: Niall Moore Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 9th 50/1
30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Revolut Ned (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Sligo Races Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good · 12 ran 10th 16/1
08 Jun 26 Roscommon Revolut Ned (IRE)J: Mr P A King Roscommon (Q.R.) Handicap Chase (0-100)21.5f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 7th 6/1
30 May 26 Tramore Revolut Ned (IRE)J: Mr P A King Tramore Handicap Chase (0-100)22f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 9/2
02 May 26 Punchestown Clonmeen (IRE)J: Daniel King Palmerstown House Estate Pat Taaffe Handicap Chase (0-150) (Listed)24.5f · Yielding · 21 ran PU 66/1
28 Apr 26 Punchestown Grange Soldier (IRE)J: Mr P A King Kildare Hunt Club Cross Country Chase For The Ladies Perpetual Cup24.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 4th 33/1
06 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Clonmeen (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Join Racing TV Now Handicap Chase24.5f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran 1st 40/1
21 Feb 26 Fairyhouse Clonmeen (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Get Your Easter Festival Tickets Now Handicap Chase24f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 28/1
04 Feb 26 Punchestown Grange Soldier (IRE)J: Mr P A King ThatPrizeGuy.co.uk P.P. Hogan Memorial Cross Country Chase25f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 9th 125/1
29 Dec 25 Limerick Revolut Ned (IRE)J: Mr P W Gleeson Grant Thornton Maiden Hunters Chase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 12th 33/1
29 Dec 25 Limerick Pour Me A Double (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Grant Thornton Maiden Hunters Chase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 6th 80/1
27 Dec 25 Limerick Clonmeen (IRE)J: Niall Moore Tim & Martin Molony Veterans Handicap Chase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 9th 20/1
14 Dec 25 Navan Clonmeen (IRE)J: Niall Moore Irish Stallion Farms EBF Handicap Chase24f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 6th 33/1
13 Dec 25 Fairyhouse Elsa Bay (IRE)J: Ryan Treacy Fairyhouse Christmas Party Maiden Hurdle24f · Soft · 11 ran PU 125/1
30 Nov 25 Fairyhouse Clonmeen (IRE)J: Niall Moore BAR 1 Betting Porterstown Handicap Chase (Listed)30f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran PU 33/1
21 Nov 25 Fairyhouse Grange Soldier (IRE)J: Mr P A King INHSC Supporting Point-To-Points Hunters Chase24f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 50/1
21 Nov 25 Fairyhouse Elsa Bay (IRE)J: Ryan Treacy Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 7th 80/1
01 Nov 25 Down Royal Clonmeen (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Racing TV Handicap Chase24f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 8th 10/1
24 Oct 25 Sligo Elsa Bay (IRE)J: Mr P W Gleeson John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran PU 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is William P Murphy's strike rate?
William P Murphy has won 6 of 91 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is William P Murphy in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is William P Murphy's Fair A/E?
1.31, from 91 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).