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Trainer profile

Norman Cassidy

175 runners in the lifetime window · 32 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2019
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
6–175
Wins / Runs
3.4%
Strike rate
n=175
26 (15%)
Placed
0.64
Fair A/E
n=174 · 0.49 incl. margin
−107.50
£1 level stake
n=175 at SP · −61.4%
£105k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.64). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (49 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 175 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.1% Claiming riders: 3.8%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.73 and −88.50 to a £1 stake over 156 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The yard also read well on Soft going (9.4%, n=53) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (6.5%, n=31). The record read poorly on Good going — 0% over 44 runners, 3.4pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Proudstown Handicap Hurdle at Navan (Nov 2014, £19,500).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.1%+2.7
n=49 · A/E 1.50 · £1 −20.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.4
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.4
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.4
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.4
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.8%+0.4
n=156 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −88.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
20%+16.6
n=5 · A/E 4.97 · £1 +16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 9.4% vs 3.4% · n=53
On Good going 0% vs 3.4% · n=44
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 3.4% · n=44
On Heavy going 0% vs 3.4% · n=30
Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 3.4% · n=30
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 6.5% vs 3.4% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 85 3 3.5% −53.50
Hurdle 47 2 4.3% −17.00
Chase 27 1 3.7% −21.00
NH Flat 16 0 0% −16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 53 5 9.4% −0.50
Good 44 0 0% −44.00
Heavy 30 0 0% −30.00
Standard (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00
Good to Firm 14 0 0% −14.00
Good to Soft 10 1 10% +5.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 22 0 0% −22.00
Punchestown 15 0 0% −15.00
Sligo 13 3 23.1% +9.50
Fairyhouse 13 0 0% −13.00
Bellewstown 11 0 0% −11.00
Leopardstown 11 0 0% −11.00
Curragh 10 0 0% −10.00
Navan 10 1 10% +11.00
Thurles 9 0 0% −9.00
Gowran Park 9 0 0% −9.00
Naas 9 0 0% −9.00
Roscommon 6 0 0% −6.00
Wexford 5 0 0% −5.00
Down Royal 4 0 0% −4.00
Clonmel 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 1 20% +16.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 17 1 5.9% 0.48 −11.00
4th–6th fav 40 3 7.5% 1.05 −14.50
7th+ in betting 114 2 1.8% 0.60 −78.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Asiya (IRE)from Richard Laurance Cully · then D Broad 36 3 15 5 May 13
Pencilhimin (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 17 3 4 5 Jul 16
Red Seven (IRE)from Valentine Donoghue 17 0 2 13 Oct 12
Olly's Folly (GB)from John M Oxx · then D Broad 16 0 1 15 Feb 19
Big In Japan (IRE) 16 0 3 10 Aug 11
Verney Boy (IRE) 9 0 0 4 Sep 18
Famous Last Words (IRE) 6 0 1 18 Mar 13
Spiritual Sister (IRE) 6 0 0 21 Nov 12
Savitskaya (IRE) 5 0 0 9 Nov 12
Captain Stirling (IRE)from Charles O'Brien 5 0 0 23 May 08
Pure Skill (IRE) 4 0 0 3 Sep 13
Piece D'or (IRE)from P D Deegan · then David Harry Kelly 4 0 0 19 Jun 12
All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 32 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive; 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for D Broad (2) and Peter Maher (2); 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00000701080150
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr T J Beattie 23 0 0% −23.00
B D Murtagh 13 0 0% −13.00
Leigh Roche 12 2 16.7% +10.50
M G Cleary 10 0 0% −10.00
Mr D J Benson 6 2 33.3% +24.00
Killian Leonard 6 0 0% −6.00
Nathan Crosse 5 0 0% −5.00
Miss C M Woods 5 0 0% −5.00
Emmet McNamara 5 0 0% −5.00
Ray Dawson 5 0 0% −5.00
Ben Dalton 5 0 0% −5.00
Ben Curtis 5 0 0% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
7
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£115k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Pencilhimin (IRE) — Proudstown Handicap Hurdle (grade C) Navan · Nov 2014 · Grade C
£19,500
Pencilhimin (IRE) — Follow Limerick Racecourse On Facebook Handicap Hurdle Limerick · Nov 2014
£10,350
Extended Favour (IRE) — KFM Hunters Chase (Bishopscourt Cup) Punchestown · Apr 2006
£8,292
Notable horses
Asiya (IRE) Pencilhimin (IRE) Extended Favour (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dilshaan (GB) 8.1% · 3–37
Progeny have won 9.9% of 756 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.5% from 104. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.3% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 144.
Presenting (GB) 16.7% · 3–18
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Bahri (USA) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,889 runs since 2008 (148 horses).
Poet's Voice (GB) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 10% of 6,036 runs since 2008 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 262. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 492. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.
Shinko Forest (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,059 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.1% from 255. Weakest on Good going: 5.5% from 253.
Trans Island (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9% of 4,740 runs since 2008 (295 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 206 · newest first

The latest 50 of 206 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 April 2005 to 15 February 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Feb 19 Dundalk (AW) Olly's Folly (GB)J: Andrew Slattery NR Rubber Products Handicap (45-65)10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 33/1
01 Feb 19 Dundalk (AW) Olly's Folly (GB)J: Nathan Crosse Red Or Black At Ace Casino Kildare Town Claiming Race10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 100/1
19 Jan 19 Navan Cascade D'amour (IRE)J: Mr A P Fahey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 11 ran 11th 50/1
11 Jan 19 Dundalk (AW) Olly's Folly (GB)J: Paddy Harnett Cash Out Now Available On Horse Racing Multiples At BetVictor Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 33/1
02 Oct 18 Naas Olly's Folly (GB)J: Nathan Crosse Naasracecourse.com Handicap (45-65)6f · Good · 20 ran 13th 33/1
04 Sep 18 Naas Verney Boy (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Nursery Of Champions Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)12f · Good · 16 ran 14th 33/1
29 Aug 18 Bellewstown Olly's Folly (GB)J: Nathan Crosse Awards And Gifts Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)8f · Good · 15 ran 8th 20/1
23 Aug 18 Killarney Verney Boy (IRE)J: Mr T J Beattie Kerry Group (Q.R.) Race17f · Good · 3 ran 3rd 100/1
06 Aug 18 Curragh Olly's Folly (GB)J: Danny Sheehy Curragh 'Where Champions Are Made' Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 30 ran 19th 25/1
09 Jul 18 Roscommon Olly's Folly (GB)J: Nathan Crosse Supervalu's Roscommon Apprentice Handicap (45-65)7f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 6th 33/1
23 Jun 18 Down Royal Olly's Folly (GB)J: Danny Sheehy Value Cabs Handicap (45-65)7f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 11th 20/1
14 Jun 18 Leopardstown Verney Boy (IRE)J: Mr T J Beattie Leopardstown Members (Q.R.) Maiden15f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 10th 66/1
11 May 18 Kilbeggan Champagne Beach (GB)J: Barry Browne Midland Veterinary (Tullamore) Ltd. Novice Hurdle19.5f · Soft · 6 ran PU 100/1
03 Nov 17 Dundalk (AW) Olly's Folly (GB)J: Andrew Breslin Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 7/1
30 Aug 17 Bellewstown Olly's Folly (GB)J: Killian Leonard Awards And Gifts Claiming Maiden8f · Good · 11 ran 4th 7/1
10 Aug 17 Leopardstown Olly's Folly (GB)J: Killian Leonard Awardsandgifts.ie Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 16/1
27 Jul 17 Leopardstown Olly's Folly (GB)J: Killian Leonard Stunning Handicap (45-75)8f · Good · 20 ran 8th 20/1
12 Jul 17 Dundalk (AW) Olly's Folly (GB)J: Killian Leonard Download The Ladbrokes App Handicap7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 7/1
25 Jun 17 Gowran Park (IRE) Olly's Folly (GB)J: Killian Leonard Racing Again July 4th Handicap7f · Good · 11 ran 5th 16/1
20 Jun 17 Naas Verney Boy (IRE)J: Danny Sheehy www.naasracecourse.com Claiming Race10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Norman Cassidy's strike rate?
Norman Cassidy has won 6 of 175 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Norman Cassidy's Fair A/E?
0.64, from 174 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).