Sean Thomas Doyle
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.78). Debutants are a strength: 10% on first career starts (30 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 7.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −44.77 to a £1 stake over 107 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (14%, n=43) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (11.5%, n=61). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 3% over 33 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.35 across 51 runners (3.9% strike, −42.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Dawn Homes Novices' Championship Handicap Chase at Ayr (Apr 2018, £64,980). The stable star of the record: Crosshue Boy (IRE) — 7 wins from 43 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2010→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 444 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 444 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 August 2010 to 17 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Sean Thomas Doyle's strike rate?
- Sean Thomas Doyle has won 13 of 170 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Is Sean Thomas Doyle in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Sean Thomas Doyle's Fair A/E?
- 0.78, from 170 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.