Skip to content
Jockey profile

Mr Tom David

301 rides in the lifetime window · 187 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride May 2017 93% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
29–301
Wins / Runs
9.6%
Strike rate
n=301
75 (25%)
Placed
0.88
Fair A/E
n=301 · 0.77 incl. margin
−121.83
£1 level stake
n=301 at SP · −40.5%
£150k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (31 rides). Rode mostly for Tim Vaughan — 49% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 301 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 11.4% 35.3% when favourite Tim Vaughan: 9.6% from 146 LTO winners: 22.6% Rode the favourite in 11% of races
The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.6% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.98). Tim Vaughan supplied 49% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.6%, A/E 0.77). The rider also read well off a break of 180+ days (17%, n=47) and in Class 5 (14.9%, n=94). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 3.1% over 32 rides, 6.5pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
9.1%−0.5
n=187 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −55.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
22.6%+13.0
n=31 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −7.59
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
11.4%+1.8
n=79 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −29.00
When favourite
35.3%
n=34 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −1.96
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.2%−0.4
n=240 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −119.32
Big fields · 14+ runners
7.7%−1.9
n=65 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −31.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 22.6% vs 9.6% · n=31
Off a break of 180+ days 17% vs 9.6% · n=47
With horses switching code 3.2% vs 9.6% · n=62
In Class 5 14.9% vs 9.6% · n=94
Off a 61-180-day break 3.1% vs 9.6% · n=32
Over 2m5f – 3m 14.4% vs 9.6% · n=97
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 136 10 7.4% −71.00
Chase 121 17 14% −19.08
NH Flat 24 0 0% −24.00
Flat 20 2 10% −7.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 122 12 9.8% −53.71
Good to Firm 50 7 14% +7.00
Soft 49 5 10.2% −19.75
Good to Soft 48 4 8.3% −27.12
Standard (AW) 16 1 6.3% −12.25
Heavy 15 0 0% −15.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Worcester 18 3 16.7% +0.88
Cheltenham 18 1 5.6% −16.20
Ffos Las 18 2 11.1% −11.25
Chepstow 16 2 12.5% −8.00
Newton Abbot 14 1 7.1% −11.25
Huntingdon 14 2 14.3% +4.50
Market Rasen 14 3 21.4% +0.25
Towcester 13 0 0% −13.00
Uttoxeter 12 1 8.3% −8.50
Ludlow 11 3 27.3% +28.38
Hereford 11 2 18.2% +0.50
Stratford 11 1 9.1% −9.64
Bangor-on-Dee 10 0 0% −10.00
Leicester 9 1 11.1% −6.75
Sedgefield 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 119 7 5.9% −78.75
Class 5 94 14 14.9% +6.67
Class 6 51 6 11.8% −24.25
Class 3 18 1 5.6% −11.00
Class 2 14 1 7.1% −9.50
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 42 13 31% 1.04 −6.46
2nd–3rd fav 62 8 12.9% 0.83 −24.37
4th–6th fav 88 7 8% 0.98 −16.00
7th+ in betting 109 1 0.9% 0.29 −75.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
79.4% completed · 257 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 121 75.2% 9 5 16 0 0
Hurdle 136 83.1% 5 2 16 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Great Tsar (IRE) 10 0 5 4 May 10
Tanmeya (GB) 9 2 3 7 Oct 10
Grand Lahou (FR) 8 1 3 30 Sep 11
Tighe Caster (GB) 6 1 2 15 May 10
Current Exchange (IRE) 5 1 3 15 Mar 13
My Flora (GB) 5 2 2 1 Jun 12
Lucky Pearl (GB) 5 1 1 2 Jan 11
J'adhere (FR) 4 0 2 9 Apr 11
Moorlands Teri (GB) 4 0 1 17 Feb 11
Holyrood (GB) 4 0 1 10 Feb 11
Wild Side Of Life (IRE) 4 0 0 24 Oct 10
Rien A Perdre (FR) 4 2 2 30 May 10
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 187 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
9154308613813900
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardTim Vaughan
49% of all rides
9.6% SR · A/E 0.77
TrainerRWSR£1
Tim Vaughan 146 14 9.6% −62.62
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
31
Archived wins
£155k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 10 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Ben's Folly (IRE) — Read Paul Nicholls Exclusively On Betfair Handicap Hurdle Market Rasen · Sep 2010 · Class 2
£9,107
Grand Lahou (FR) — Lindley Catering Handicap Chase Hereford · Jan 2011 · Class 3
£4,554
Stoneriggs Merc (IRE) — Amateur Jockeys Association Amateur Riders' Handicap Chase Ludlow · Oct 2009 · Class 4
£4,067
Notable horses
Tanmeya (GB) My Flora (GB) Rien A Perdre (FR) Liz's Dream (GB) Grand Lahou (FR) Tighe Caster (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Moscow Society (USA) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,521 runs since 2008 (255 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Alflora (IRE) 40% · 4–10
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).
Exit To Nowhere (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,787 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 155.
Linamix (FR) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,571 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.1% from 156. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.4% from 129. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.8% from 418. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.3% from 113.
Nikos (GB) 33.3% · 3–9
Progeny have won 12.9% of 628 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 17.7% from 130. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.8% from 147.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 305 · newest first

The latest 50 of 305 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 September 2007 to 5 May 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 May 17 Cheltenham En Passe (IRE)T: H C Pauling Connolly's Red Mills Intermediate Point-To-Point Championship Final Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Good · 16 ran 5th 33/1
28 Apr 17 Chepstow Captain Camelot (IRE)T: Miss C Packwood Dunraven Bowl Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 7th 28/1
15 Mar 17 Huntingdon Boreham Bill (IRE)T: Ben Pauling Champions League Betting At 188Bet Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 3/1
11 Nov 16 Cheltenham Silvergrove (GB)T: Ben Pauling Markel Insurance Amateur Riders' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 25f · Good · 15 ran 9th 9/2F
20 May 16 Stratford Itchymei'mscratch (IRE)T: Gareth Moore Subaru 'Restricted Point-To-Point' Series Final (Novices' Hunters' Chase)Class 3 · 22.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 2/1F
22 Apr 16 Chepstow Captain Camelot (IRE)T: Gareth Moore Dunraven Bowl Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 14/1
17 Mar 16 Cheltenham Silvergrove (GB)T: Ben Pauling Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (Amateur Riders)Class 2 · 26f · Good · 22 ran 3rd 16/1
15 Mar 16 Cheltenham Local Show (IRE)T: Ben Pauling 146th Year Of The National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup (Listed Amateur Riders' Novices' Chase)Class 1 · 32f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 7th 14/1
24 Feb 16 Doncaster Nearest The Pin (IRE)T: Dai Williams BetBright App Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 26f · Good · 8 ran 8th 28/1
21 Feb 16 Ffos Las Churchtown Love (IRE)T: Miss A Griffiths Dunraven Welsh Foxhunters Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 16/1
04 Dec 15 Sandown Silvergrove (GB)T: Ben Pauling Coldunell Amateur Riders' Handicap Chase (For The John Dunsdon Memorial Cup)Class 3 · 24f · Good To Soft · 7 ran UR 9/2
23 Jul 15 Worcester Newton Martini (GB)T: Ben Pauling Worcester News Amateur Riders' Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 23f · Good To Firm · 11 ran PU 11/2
26 May 15 Huntingdon Banksandditches (IRE)T: Clare Hobson Paul Rackham Champion Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 12/1
14 May 15 Fontwell Irish Rebel (IRE)T: Clare Hobson racebets.com - Claim Your 50 Welcome Bonus! Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 25.5f · Soft · 14 ran PU 20/1
24 Feb 15 Leicester Woodview Prince (IRE)T: J J O'Shea Cottesmore Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 22.5f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 5/4F
24 Feb 15 Leicester King Fontaine (IRE)T: J J O'Shea Leicestershire Hunters' ChaseClass 3 · 22.5f · Soft · 9 ran F 25/1
12 Feb 15 Leicester Woodview Prince (IRE)T: J J O'Shea Dick Saunders Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 9/4
06 Feb 15 Bangor-on-Dee Act Of Kalanisi (IRE)T: Miss Zara Phillips Bet On Your Mobile At Corbettsports Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20.5f · Soft · 10 ran PU 14/1
22 Jan 15 Warwick Iwanabebobbiesgirl (GB)T: David Brace Ebf Stallions Mares' 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 14 ran PU 100/1
21 May 14 Worcester Brize Norton (IRE)T: Miss N Seely Hargreave Hale Stockbrokers Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr Tom David's strike rate?
Mr Tom David has won 29 of 301 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Mr Tom David ride most for?
Tim Vaughan, with 146 rides since 2008 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (9.6%).
What is Mr Tom David's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 301 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).