What is Graeme McPherson's strike rate?

Graeme McPherson has won 200 of 1,957 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Graeme McPherson do best at?

Newton Abbot by strike rate: 9 wins from 56 runners (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Graeme McPherson?

Kielan Woods, with 683 runners since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 74 (10.8%).

What is Graeme McPherson's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 1,951 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Graeme McPherson

1,957 runners in the lifetime window · 219 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Sep 2021 91% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

200–1,957

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=1,957

590 (30%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=1,951 · 0.88 incl. margin

−178.18

£1 level stake

n=1,957 at SP · −9.1%

£1.49m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 140 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 12% (50 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,957 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Sep–Oct 33.6% when favourite Kielan Woods: 10.8% from 683 Claiming riders: 10.4% Sent off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

It is weakest at Cheltenham (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 0% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.39 and −67.00 to a £1 stake over 121 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Kielan Woods rode 35% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.8%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record read poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 44 runners, 10.2pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Harry Hunt (GB) — 8 wins from 56 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.9%−2.3

n=432 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −37.32

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.3%−6.9

n=121 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −67.00

Debutants · first career start

8.2%−2.0

n=98 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +108.83

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.1%−0.1

n=69 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +15.42

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12%+1.8

n=50 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +30.50

When favourite

33.6%

n=128 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +3.22

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.4%+0.2

n=633 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −80.72

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.2

n=39 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −39.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 1 0% vs 10.2% · n=44

In Group / Graded races 0% vs 10.2% · n=39

At Cheltenham 0% vs 10.2% · n=30

On last-time-out winners 16.7% vs 10.2% · n=186

With Archie Bellamy 20% vs 10.2% · n=30

With new recruits 3.3% vs 10.2% · n=121

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,181 119 10.1% −208.74

Chase 433 47 10.9% −41.10

NH Flat 176 17 9.7% +65.66

Flat 167 17 10.2% +6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 792 81 10.2% −173.93

Good to Soft 420 42 10% −12.40

Soft 377 45 11.9% +64.98

Heavy 130 9 6.9% −61.45

Good to Firm 125 11 8.8% −27.63

Standard (AW) 109 10 9.2% +28.50

Firm 4 2 50% +3.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 127 12 9.4% +5.37

Worcester 110 8 7.3% −39.38

Stratford 106 9 8.5% −25.67

Market Rasen 105 10 9.5% −35.58

Southwell 104 16 15.4% +26.13

Huntingdon 98 9 9.2% −21.50

Doncaster 89 8 9% −29.75

Bangor-on-Dee 83 13 15.7% +120.33

Warwick 68 8 11.8% −19.42

Chepstow 67 4 6% −24.32

Newton Abbot 56 9 16.1% +4.08

Ludlow 56 6 10.7% −13.88

Hereford 56 4 7.1% −10.00

Wetherby 52 8 15.4% −7.59

Taunton 46 3 6.5% −33.42

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 932 93 10% −91.55

Class 5 521 58 11.1% −36.26

Class 3 246 34 13.8% −10.15

Class 6 150 11 7.3% −8.42

Class 2 63 4 6.3% +13.20

Class 1 44 0 0% −44.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 166 54 32.5% 1.21 +16.22

2nd–3rd fav 458 59 12.9% 0.78 −151.90

4th–6th fav 668 57 8.5% 1.06 +1.00

7th+ in betting 665 30 4.5% 1.33 −43.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.4% completed · 1,614 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 433 76% 21 14 67 2 0

Hurdle 1,181 88.8% 25 14 90 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Harry Hunt (GB)from Cecil Ross 56 8 18 8 May 18

Shady Glen (IRE) 45 5 14 15 Oct 19

Red Admirable (IRE)from S R B Crawford 45 6 10 14 Apr 19

The Good Guy (IRE)from Kim Bailey 40 3 12 21 Jul 14

Hollywood All Star (IRE)from William Muir 39 3 11 26 Feb 19

Alexander The Grey (GB) 38 1 10 15 Jun 21

Kayf Blanco (GB)from David Harry Kelly 37 4 20 16 Oct 19

Londonia (GB)from Paul Cole 35 4 13 24 Nov 20

Ami Desbois (FR)then Fergal O'Brien 32 6 17 10 Apr 21

Follow The Swallow (IRE)from Liz Doyle 28 3 9 6 Nov 20

Trillerin Minella (IRE)then Kevin Hunter 28 2 8 31 Jul 16

Andaleep (IRE)from D K Weld · then Fergal O'Brien 27 3 10 29 Sep 21

The 60 most-raced of 219 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 34 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Kim Bailey (2) and Oliver Sherwood (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Fergal O'Brien (7) and Christian Williams (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7158711101591311911

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKielan Woods

35% of all rides
10.8% SR · A/E 0.97

RiderRWSR£1

Kielan Woods 683 74 10.8% −78.42

Jodie Mogford 154 11 7.1% +33.83

Tom Molloy 113 10 8.8% −31.30

Killian Moore 113 11 9.7% −18.12

Lilly Pinchin 87 11 12.6% +1.88

Wayne Hutchinson 70 10 14.3% +13.15

Max Kendrick 69 10 14.5% +24.70

Paul Moloney 43 3 7% −16.75

Ryan Hatch 39 6 15.4% +15.50

Liam Keniry 36 4 11.1% −4.75

Charlie Poste 36 3 8.3% +10.50

Archie Bellamy 30 6 20% +22.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

201

Archived wins

£1.49m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 26 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Ratfacemcdougall (IRE) — ITM Northern Lights Stayers' Hurdle Series Final (Handicap Hurdle) (GBB Race) Musselburgh · Mar 2021 · Class 2

£18,768

Kilcrea Asla (IRE) — Apollobet In-play Betting Veterans' Handicap Chase Haydock · Dec 2013 · Class 2

£13,814

Sammylou (IRE) — William Hill Leading Racecourse Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Newton Abbot · Oct 2020 · Class 2

£11,261

Notable horses

Harry Hunt (GB) Stynes (IRE) Red Admirable (IRE) Ami Desbois (FR) Shady Glen (IRE) Sammylou (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dr Massini (IRE) 11% · 8–73

Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.

Beneficial (GB) 12.9% · 9–70

Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Kayf Tara (GB) 9.8% · 6–61

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,736 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Bertolini (USA) 14.3% · 8–56

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Shantou (USA) 13.3% · 6–45

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,816 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Westerner (GB) 8.9% · 4–45

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,815 runs since 2008 (940 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,968 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,968 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 March 2006 to 30 September 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Sep 21 Warwick Eyeofthescorpion (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Ignite Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 21f · Good · 8 ran 4th 7/2

29 Sep 21 Kempton (AW) Eagle's Realm (GB)J: George Rooke MansionBet Watch And Bet HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 10th 25/1

29 Sep 21 Kempton (AW) Andaleep (IRE)J: George Rooke Follow MansionBet On Twitter HandicapClass 3 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 5th 16/1

29 Sep 21 Bangor-on-Dee Jessica Rabbit (GB)J: Lilly Pinchin tote+ Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good · 7 ran 5th 9/2

28 Sep 21 Worcester Zulu Dawn (IRE)J: Lilly Pinchin Cazoo Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 13/8

27 Sep 21 Newton Abbot New Zealander (GB)J: Lilly Pinchin Talk Tidy Marketing Conditional Jockeys' Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 17/2

21 Sep 21 Warwick Jessica Rabbit (GB)J: Kielan Woods Poundland Foundation Proudly Supports Whizz Kidz Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 7 ran UR 3/1

13 Sep 21 Worcester Annual Review (IRE)J: Kielan Woods MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 4th 14/1

10 Sep 21 Sandown Andaleep (IRE)J: George Rooke 1account HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 14/1

08 Sep 21 Uttoxeter Zulu Dawn (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Edwalton Fields Bovis Homes Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 8/1

05 Sep 21 Fontwell Josie Abbing (IRE)J: Lilly Pinchin Follow At The Races On Twitter Conditional Jockeys' Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 5/4F

04 Sep 21 Stratford New Zealander (GB)J: Lilly Pinchin Retraining Of Racehorses Conditional Jockeys' Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 7/1

02 Sep 21 Sedgefield Hattaab (GB)J: Kielan Woods Cazoo Search Drive Smile Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 27f · Good · 7 ran 5th 9/1

30 Aug 21 Cartmel Eyeofthescorpion (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Louis Roederer Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 25.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 9/4F

26 Aug 21 Sedgefield Jessica Rabbit (GB)J: Kielan Woods Download The vickers.bet App Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 3/1

22 Aug 21 Sandown Andaleep (IRE)J: William Cox Sky Bet Sunday Series Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 15th 14/1

19 Aug 21 Stratford Annual Review (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Like Racing TV On Facebook Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 13 ran 4th 16/1

19 Aug 21 Stratford New Zealander (GB)J: Bradley Roberts Walls & Ceilings International Ltd Amateur Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 14 ran 8th 14/1

18 Aug 21 Worcester Hattaab (GB)J: Kielan Woods Cazoo Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 14 ran 8th 12/1

16 Aug 21 Bangor-on-Dee Jessica Rabbit (GB)J: Lilly Pinchin Paddock Restaurant Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 7/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Graeme McPherson's strike rate?: Graeme McPherson has won 200 of 1,957 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Graeme McPherson do best at?: Newton Abbot by strike rate: 9 wins from 56 runners (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Graeme McPherson?: Kielan Woods, with 683 runners since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 74 (10.8%).
What is Graeme McPherson's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 1,951 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.