No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07). With a claiming rider up the record reads 14% (63 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 222 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceClaiming riders: 14.3%
The read
Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 14.3% (n=63, Fair A/E 1.57). The yard also read well over 1m – 1m1f (17.3%, n=52) and off a 8-14-day break (14.7%, n=75). The record read poorly in Class 2 — 3.1% over 32 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4%−5.0
n=25 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −18.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10%+1.0
n=10 · A/E 2.50 · £1 +3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
13.3%
n=15 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −8.40
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
14.3%+5.3
n=63 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +9.10
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.0
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Over 1m – 1m1f17.3% vs 9% · n=52
Off a 8-14-day break14.7% vs 9% · n=75
With claiming riders up14.3% vs 9% · n=63
In Class 23.1% vs 9% · n=32
With C&D winners3.3% vs 9% · n=30
At trips under 6f5% vs 9% · n=40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat218209.2%−2.52
Hurdle400%−4.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)971010.3%−15.02
Good to Firm52611.5%+6.00
Good4037.5%+23.50
Soft1715.9%−5.00
Good to Soft1200%−12.00
Firm400%−4.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW)54611.1%+5.38
Newmarket2528%+39.00
Lingfield (AW)20210%−9.50
Newmarket1700%−17.00
Windsor13215.4%+11.50
Chelmsford (AW)1000%−10.00
Wolverhampton (AW)9222.2%+3.10
Ascot800%−8.00
Leicester7228.6%+4.00
Goodwood7114.3%+4.00
Nottingham7114.3%+5.00
Doncaster700%−7.00
Lingfield500%−5.00
Haydock5120%−0.50
Sandown500%−5.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 468811.8%+5.10
Class 55559.1%−9.62
Class 335411.4%+37.50
Class 23213.1%−20.00
Class 617211.8%−4.50
Class 11200%−12.00
Class 7300%−3.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite19315.8%0.73−7.90
2nd–3rd fav42819%1.29+3.88
4th–6th fav6446.3%0.79−23.50
7th+ in betting9755.2%1.48+21.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f11597.8%−36.62
1m – 1m1f52917.3%+76.50
Under 6f4025%−31.40
1m2f – 1m4f1000%−10.00
1m5f – 2m500%−5.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20084037.5%−19.12
20094149.8%−8.00
2010400%−4.00
201122522.7%+69.50
20122827.1%+8.00
20137268.3%−37.90
20141500%−15.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1791910.6%+30.48
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners8389.6%−12.00
8-10 runners6146.6%−35.40
14-16 runners34411.8%+20.00
5-7 runners23313%−9.12
17+ runners2015%+31.00
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 19 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 19 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Fahey (2) and Richard Hannon Snr (2); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.
8 have since run for another yard; 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01701391314561260
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Harrison George (IRE) — Enjoy Afternoon Tea In Frankies Bistro Handicap Nottingham · Jun 2013 · Class 2
Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,930 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 795.
Danetime (IRE)10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.
Bertolini (USA)5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Observatory (USA)17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 8.4% of 2,276 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.5% from 330.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 245 · newest first
The latest 50 of 245 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 June 2007 to 12 October 2014.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is P O'Gorman's strike rate?
P O'Gorman has won 20 of 222 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P O'Gorman do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 54 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is P O'Gorman's Fair A/E?
1.07, from 221 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
P O'Gorman·SR 9%·A/E 1.07
KTB
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