What is P A Carberry's strike rate?

P A Carberry has won 77 of 794 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P A Carberry do best at?

Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 58 wins from 421 rides (13.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does P A Carberry ride most for?

F-M Cottin, with 434 rides since 2008 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 59 (13.6%).

What is P A Carberry's Fair A/E?

1.17, from 701 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

P A Carberry

794 rides in the lifetime window · 329 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Apr 2017 98% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

77–794

Wins / Runs

9.7%

Strike rate

n=794

199 (25%)

Placed

1.17

Fair A/E

n=701 · 0.96 incl. margin

−23.65

£1 level stake

n=724 at SP · −3.3%

£4.80m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 80 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.17). In Group and Graded company the record reads 12% (204 runs). Rode mostly for F-M Cottin — 55% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 794 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Oct–Nov 22.2% when favourite F-M Cottin: 13.6% from 434 Group/Graded: 11.8% Rode the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Auteuil (FR) (13.8%, n=421), clear of the rider's 9.7% baseline. First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 5.5% (n=293, Fair A/E 0.66). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 11.8% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.22 and +14.20 to a £1 stake over 204 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. F-M Cottin supplied 55% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13.6% vs 9.7%, A/E 1.44) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly on Good going — 4.4% over 45 rides, 5.3pts below the baseline. 33 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Gras Savoye Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris at Auteuil (FR) (May 2008, £271,324). The standout partner of the record was Princesse D'Anjou (FR) — 5 wins from 16 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.5%−4.2

n=293 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −110.75

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

9.9%+0.2

n=71 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −15.20

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.9%−0.8

n=214 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −52.10

When favourite

22.2%

n=36 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −9.95

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.9%−3.8

n=371 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −87.10

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.8%+2.1

n=204 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +14.20

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With new recruits 2.4% vs 9.7% · n=42

At Auteuil (FR) 13.8% vs 9.7% · n=421

On first rides for the horse 5.5% vs 9.7% · n=293

With F-M Cottin 13.6% vs 9.7% · n=434

On Good going 4.4% vs 9.7% · n=45

With John G Carr 5% vs 9.7% · n=40

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 413 40 9.7% +3.25

Chase 367 37 10.1% −12.90

Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 461 48 10.4% −32.60

Heavy 223 25 11.2% +65.95

Good 45 2 4.4% −19.00

Good to Firm 28 0 0% −28.00

Good to Soft 22 2 9.1% +2.00

Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 421 58 13.8% +152.85

Enghien (FR) 93 6 6.5% −38.20

Punchestown 36 2 5.6% −18.00

Leopardstown 29 2 6.9% −4.00

Fairyhouse 26 1 3.8% −11.00

Navan 16 3 18.8% +11.50

Down Royal 15 0 0% −15.00

Gowran Park 15 0 0% −15.00

Kilbeggan 13 0 0% −13.00

Naas 13 1 7.7% −2.00

Tramore 9 0 0% −9.00

Downpatrick 9 0 0% −9.00

Cork 9 0 0% −9.00

Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00

Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 209 24 11.5% +9.20

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 40 8 20% 0.82 −13.95

2nd–3rd fav 94 13 13.8% 0.99 +3.40

4th–6th fav 200 23 11.5% 1.64 +98.80

7th+ in betting 390 12 3.1% 1.01 −111.90

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

79.2% completed · 780 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 367 73.8% 26 3 61 0 6

Hurdle 413 84% 6 1 43 0 16

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Pearse (FR) 24 1 10 18 Oct 14

Pibrac (FR) 19 2 6 9 Oct 13

Peak Raider (IRE) 13 1 3 12 Oct 14

Le Bel Anjou (FR) 11 4 5 5 May 13

Saga D'Ainay (FR) 11 0 4 18 Nov 12

Overlord (FR) 10 2 4 21 Apr 13

Astre De Ballon (FR) 9 1 1 17 Apr 17

Victoire Des Borde (FR) 9 4 8 24 Oct 15

Saint Michael (FR) 9 2 3 20 Nov 13

Venus Des Bordes (FR) 9 1 3 9 Oct 13

Tisane (FR) 9 3 4 18 Nov 12

Utopie Des Bordes (FR) 9 2 5 4 Nov 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 329 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

315411913049151118

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardF-M Cottin

55% of all rides
13.6% SR · A/E 1.44

TrainerRWSR£1

F-M Cottin 434 59 13.6% +92.45

A L T Moore 60 5 8.3% −8.50

Louisa Carberry 53 6 11.3% +58.00

John G Carr 40 2 5% −8.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

137

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.15m

Prize money

2006

Best season · 22 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Princesse D'Anjou (FR) — Gras Savoye Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) Auteuil (FR) · May 2008 · Grade 1

£271,324

Princesse D'Anjou (FR) — Gras Savoye Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) Auteuil (FR) · May 2006 · Grade 1

£223,448

Sublimity (FR) — Smurfit Kappa Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2007 · Class 1

£205,272

Notable horses

Princesse D'Anjou (FR) Sublimity (FR) Le Bel Anjou (FR) Victoire Des Borde (FR) Penny Hall (IRE) Tisane (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Antarctique (IRE) 21.2% · 7–33

Progeny have won 12.2% of 830 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Weakest on Good going: 8.7% from 127.

Discover D'Auteuil (FR) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 10.2% of 954 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 18.4% from 103. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 408. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.3% from 195.

Michel Georges (GB) 16% · 4–25

Progeny have won 12.4% of 266 runs since 2008 (30 horses).

River Bay (USA) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 10% of 90 runs since 2008 (9 horses).

Spadoun (FR) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 12.2% of 1,144 runs since 2008 (70 horses).

Nononito (FR) 17.6% · 3–17

Progeny have won 8.1% of 247 runs since 2008 (42 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,812 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,812 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 17 April 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Apr 17 Auteuil (FR) Hudson River (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix de Pau (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 18 ran 14th 68/1

17 Apr 17 Auteuil (FR) Astre De Ballon (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix du President de la Republique - les Dimanches au Galop (Chase) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)23.5f · Very Soft · 19 ran 8th 29/1

26 Mar 17 Auteuil (FR) Dinette De Ballon (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Alain Grimaux (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 16 ran 11th 141/10

26 Mar 17 Auteuil (FR) Astre De Ballon (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix RFM Dimanches au Galop - Prix Lutteur III (Chase) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 18 ran 11th 45/1

06 Mar 17 Compiegne (FR) Dinette De Ballon (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Spumate (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 16 ran 10th 28/1

05 Mar 17 Auteuil (FR) Astre De Ballon (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Robert de Clermont-Tonnerre (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 53/1

05 Nov 16 Auteuil (FR) Astre De Ballon (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix le Parisien (Prix Cacao) (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 17 ran PU 119/10

15 Oct 16 Auteuil (FR) Astre De Ballon (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Montgomery (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf)23.5f · Very Soft · 13 ran F 25/1

09 Oct 16 Auteuil (FR) It's Jennifer (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Jack Barbe (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 31/5

28 Sep 16 Auteuil (FR) Dinette De Ballon (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Pierre et Jean-Marie Mercier (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo Fillies) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 9 ran 6th 84/10

21 Sep 16 Compiegne (FR) It's Jennifer (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Grand Croc (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo Fillies) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 2nd 215/10

20 Sep 16 Auteuil (FR) Dourdour (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix de la Savoie (Chase) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 9 ran 6th 25/1

09 Sep 16 Auteuil (FR) Dinette De Ballon (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Cadoudal (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 17 ran 3rd 161/10

09 Sep 16 Auteuil (FR) Dourdour (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Gelas (Chase) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 18 ran F 68/1

09 Sep 16 Auteuil (FR) Astre De Ballon (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Richard et Robert Hennessy - Journal du Dimanche (Chase) () (5yo+) (Turf)21.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran 10th 211/10

06 Aug 16 Clairefontaine Tzar De L'Elfe (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Du Vieux Poirier24.5f · Very Soft · 5 ran 5th 18/1

27 Jun 16 Auteuil (FR) Docteur De Ballon (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Gerald de Rochefort (Hurdle) () (4yo) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran 3rd 137/10

27 May 16 Auteuil (FR) Docteur De Ballon (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Beaumanoir (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 1st 7/2

14 May 16 Auteuil (FR) Tzar De L'Elfe (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Valmajour (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 15 ran 11th 139/10

14 May 16 Auteuil (FR) Astre De Ballon (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix Saint Sauveur (Chase) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 15 ran 1st 37/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P A Carberry's strike rate?: P A Carberry has won 77 of 794 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P A Carberry do best at?: Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 58 wins from 421 rides (13.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does P A Carberry ride most for?: F-M Cottin, with 434 rides since 2008 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 59 (13.6%).
What is P A Carberry's Fair A/E?: 1.17, from 701 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.