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Trainer profile

Thomas Carberry

150 runners in the lifetime window · 17 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2013 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
6–150
Wins / Runs
4%
Strike rate
n=150
28 (19%)
Placed
0.64
Fair A/E
n=150 · 0.47 incl. margin
−99.50
£1 level stake
n=150 at SP · −66.3%
£115k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.64).

Deterministic profile computed from 150 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 5.4%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well off a 31-60-day break (8.8%, n=34). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.72 across 54 runners (5.6% strike, −37.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ellen Construction Conyngham Cup Handicap Chase at Punchestown (Apr 2007, £32,550).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.0
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
12.5%
n=8 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.4%+1.4
n=37 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −16.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
9.1%+5.1
n=11 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −4.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 8.8% vs 4% · n=34
With a new jockey booking 1.7% vs 4% · n=58
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 5.6% vs 4% · n=54 · A/E 0.72
In Chase races 5% vs 4% · n=60 · A/E 0.82
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 88 3 3.4% −67.00
Chase 60 3 5% −30.50
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 59 3 5.1% −36.00
Soft 59 2 3.4% −35.50
Good 23 0 0% −23.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Good to Firm 4 1 25% +0.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 30 1 3.3% −23.50
Punchestown 12 0 0% −12.00
Navan 12 0 0% −12.00
Naas 12 0 0% −12.00
Down Royal 11 1 9.1% +6.00
Leopardstown 10 1 10% −6.00
Wexford 7 1 14.3% −3.00
Gowran Park 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Limerick 6 0 0% −6.00
Ballinrobe 6 0 0% −6.00
Thurles 6 0 0% −6.00
Cork 5 0 0% −5.00
Galway 4 0 0% −4.00
Clonmel 4 1 25% +9.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 11 1 9.1% −4.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 1 11.1% 0.57 −5.00
2nd–3rd fav 26 3 11.5% 0.92 −9.50
4th–6th fav 21 1 4.8% 0.67 −8.00
7th+ in betting 94 1 1.1% 0.34 −77.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.5% completed · 148 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 60 68.3% 4 3 10 1 1
Hurdle 88 95.5% 0 1 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Peak Raider (IRE)from N Clement · then Ms Nina Carberry 37 4 12 26 Jan 13
Jeunopse (IRE)from X Thomas-Demeaulte · then Ross O'Sullivan 19 0 7 1 Jan 13
Blaze Of Fire (GB)from Mme Christiane Head · then Ms Nina Carberry 19 1 3 28 Dec 12
Jupiter Hollow (IRE) 17 1 1 1 Jun 10
Donoughmore (IRE) 14 0 2 17 Dec 11
City Beach (IRE) 12 0 2 20 Sep 10
One More Bottle (IRE) 8 0 0 4 Feb 10
Links Course (IRE) 6 0 0 1 May 12
Your Right Now (IRE) 5 0 0 15 Mar 09
Local Lassie (IRE) 3 0 0 23 Apr 09
Kings Glen (IRE) 2 0 0 1 May 09
Now You Have It (IRE) 2 0 0 20 Mar 09
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for Ms Nina Carberry (2); 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
07000500001284
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
P A Carberry 29 1 3.4% −16.00
Peter Carberry 29 2 6.9% −8.00
Ms N Carberry 25 1 4% −18.50
Paul Carberry 14 1 7.1% −10.00
Mark Walsh 10 0 0% −10.00
Alan Crowe 6 0 0% −6.00
Ross Geraghty 4 0 0% −4.00
Ken Whelan 4 0 0% −4.00
Martin Mooney 3 0 0% −3.00
Davy Condon 3 1 33.3% +3.00
D J Casey 2 0 0% −2.00
Robbie Power 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
13
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£307k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Kings Glen (IRE) — Ellen Construction Conyngham Cup Handicap Chase (0-140) Punchestown · Apr 2007
£32,550
Penny Hall (IRE) — Paddypower.com Cork Grand National Handicap Chase (0-145) Cork · Nov 2006
£32,550
Peak Raider (IRE) — Caffrey's Bar & Restaurant of Batterstown Handicap Steeplechase (Grade B) Fairyhouse · Dec 2010 · Grade B
£27,300
Notable horses
Peak Raider (IRE) Penny Hall (IRE) Jupiter Hollow (IRE) Kings Glen (IRE) Blaze Of Fire (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Machiavellian (USA) 10.8% · 4–37
Progeny have won 8% of 1,598 runs since 2008 (74 horses).
Bering (GB) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 8.8% of 701 runs since 2008 (69 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.9% from 108. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 109. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 156.
Hawk Wing (USA) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,330 runs since 2008 (330 horses).
Jurado (USA) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 13.5% of 185 runs since 2008 (20 horses).
Turtle Island (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 7.5% of 3,325 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.7% from 215.
Kahyasi (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,120 runs since 2008 (185 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 343 · newest first

The latest 50 of 343 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 26 January 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Jan 13 Leopardstown Peak Raider (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Boylesports.com Hurdle (0-145) (Grade B)16f · Heavy · 28 ran 23rd 25/1
01 Jan 13 Fairyhouse Jeunopse (IRE)J: Ms N Carberry Bobbyjo Bistro Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 4/1
28 Dec 12 Limerick Blaze Of Fire (GB)J: John Cullen Irish Independent Beginners Chase17f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 33/1
26 Dec 12 Leopardstown Peak Raider (IRE)J: Paul Carberry Racing Post All You Need For Irish Racing Handicap Chase17f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 7/1
15 Dec 12 Fairyhouse Jeunopse (IRE)J: Ms N Carberry Christmas Party Raceday At Fairyhouse Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 20 ran 4th 6/1
01 Dec 12 Fairyhouse Peak Raider (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Bar One Racing Ballyhack Handicap Chase (grade B)17f · Soft · 14 ran 4th 14/1
29 Nov 12 Thurles Blaze Of Fire (GB)J: Niall P Madden Killinan (c & G) Beginners Chase18f · Heavy · 16 ran 15th 50/1
14 Nov 12 Downpatrick Blaze Of Fire (GB)J: Paul Carberry Get Ready For Christmas Beginners Chase18.5f · Soft To Heavy · 7 ran UR 9/1
18 Oct 12 Punchestown Jeunopse (IRE)J: Ms N Carberry 10 Admission All Non Festival Racedays Handicap Hurdle (80-116)20f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 12/1
11 Oct 12 Tramore Blaze Of Fire (GB)J: Paul Carberry tramoreraces On Twitter Beginners Chase16f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 20/1
07 Sep 12 Kilbeggan Blaze Of Fire (GB)J: Paul Carberry Moate Handicap Hurdle (80-102)19f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 3/1F
11 Aug 12 Kilbeggan Blaze Of Fire (GB)J: M Walsh Joe Cooney Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 13/2
11 Jul 12 Wexford Blaze Of Fire (GB)J: Paul Carberry Nick O'donnell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 9/4F
20 Jun 12 Wexford Blaze Of Fire (GB)J: Paul Carberry Curracloe Handicap Hurdle (80-95)18f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 1st 3/1
20 May 12 Limerick Blaze Of Fire (GB)J: Mark Walsh Limerick G.A.A. Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)21f · Good · 17 ran 6th 8/1
08 May 12 Punchestown Peak Raider (IRE)J: Paul Carberry Coleman Tunnelling Ireland, U.K. And Africa Handicap Chase16f · Soft · 10 ran PU 12/1
01 May 12 Ballinrobe Links Course (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Ladies Day June 26th Beginners Chase22f · Good · 14 ran PU 33/1
01 May 12 Ballinrobe Blaze Of Fire (GB)J: Mark Walsh Killeen Sports Grounds Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Good · 15 ran 6th 14/1
19 Apr 12 Tipperary Ally Cascade (IRE)J: Ms N Carberry Tipperary Racecourse Events Flat Race16f · Soft · 17 ran 3rd 11/1
10 Apr 12 Fairyhouse Peak Raider (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Dan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase (Grade A)17f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Thomas Carberry's strike rate?
Thomas Carberry has won 6 of 150 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Thomas Carberry do best at?
Fairyhouse by strike rate: 1 wins from 30 runners (3.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Thomas Carberry's Fair A/E?
0.64, from 150 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).