What is Pat Dobbs's strike rate?

Pat Dobbs has won 662 of 5,717 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Pat Dobbs do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 30 wins from 157 rides (19.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Pat Dobbs ride most for?

Richard Hannon, with 1,816 rides since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 207 (11.4%).

What is Pat Dobbs's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 5,686 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Pat Dobbs

5,717 rides in the lifetime window · 3,163 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 29 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

662–5,717

Wins / Runs

11.6%

Strike rate

n=5,717

1,739 (30%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=5,686 · 0.86 incl. margin

−1,178.36

£1 level stake

n=5,717 at SP · −20.6%

£10.8m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 300 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (607 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 5,717 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 37% when favourite Richard Hannon: 11.4% from 1,816 LTO winners: 16.3% Rides the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chepstow (19.1%, n=157), clear of the rider's 11.6% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (5.4% over 353 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.3% (n=607, Fair A/E 1.07), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.7% (n=947, Fair A/E 0.93). Richard Hannon supplies 32% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.4%, A/E 0.96). The rider also reads well on Firm going (21.9%, n=105) and off a 0-7-day break (19.7%, n=208). 57 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Investec Coronation Cup at Epsom Downs (Jun 2015, £212,663). The standout partner of the record: Chindit (IRE) — 7 wins from 21 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.5%−0.1

n=3,111 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −410.82

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.3%+4.7

n=607 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −92.47

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

10.8%−0.8

n=778 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −89.58

When favourite

37%

n=535 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −32.35

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.7%−5.9

n=947 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −281.48

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.4%−1.2

n=517 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −125.49

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Firm going 21.9% vs 11.6% · n=105

Off a 0-7-day break 19.7% vs 11.6% · n=208

With William Haggas 23.5% vs 11.6% · n=34

At Chepstow 19.1% vs 11.6% · n=157

At trips under 6f 17.5% vs 11.6% · n=560

At Ascot 5.4% vs 11.6% · n=353

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 1,823 230 12.6% −351.81

Good 1,539 176 11.4% −190.66

Standard (AW) 971 100 10.3% −225.97

Good to Soft 721 70 9.7% −264.35

Soft 474 56 11.8% −77.00

Firm 105 23 21.9% −24.32

Heavy 84 7 8.3% −44.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 587 62 10.6% −104.13

Goodwood 513 60 11.7% −56.82

Newbury 479 49 10.2% −62.29

Salisbury 429 53 12.4% −69.26

Windsor 414 55 13.3% −90.57

Ascot 353 19 5.4% −152.03

Newmarket 332 39 11.7% −70.12

Sandown 307 37 12.1% +4.51

Newmarket 265 25 9.4% +3.71

Bath 243 44 18.1% −39.33

Lingfield (AW) 232 19 8.2% −95.63

Chepstow 157 30 19.1% −40.03

Nottingham 153 20 13.1% −21.80

Doncaster 147 14 9.5% −31.80

Leicester 137 20 14.6% −17.36

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,830 249 13.6% −378.33

Class 4 1,589 185 11.6% −285.89

Class 2 669 57 8.5% −112.24

Class 6 560 59 10.5% −168.00

Class 3 536 58 10.8% −92.41

Class 1 518 54 10.4% −126.49

Class 7 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 656 227 34.6% 1.09 −44.77

2nd–3rd fav 1,389 222 16% 0.96 −254.09

4th–6th fav 1,972 165 8.4% 1.02 −280.00

7th+ in betting 1,700 48 2.8% 0.78 −599.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 2,485 269 10.8% −577.55

1m2f – 1m4f 1,240 135 10.9% −272.30

1m – 1m1f 1,194 127 10.6% −292.59

Under 6f 560 98 17.5% −69.57

1m5f – 2m 218 31 14.2% +43.15

2m1f – 2m4f 19 2 10.5% −8.50

2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 348 30 8.6% −144.04

2009 379 45 11.9% −20.29

2010 425 49 11.5% −93.03

2011 302 46 15.2% +14.53

2012 378 51 13.5% +66.91

2013 427 47 11% −174.73

2014 363 45 12.4% −43.03

2015 522 64 12.3% −180.70

2016 406 35 8.6% −167.00

2017 347 31 8.9% −100.97

2018 166 18 10.8% −75.42

2019 270 38 14.1% +29.14

2020 248 26 10.5% −64.64

2021 284 30 10.6% −36.22

2022 269 36 13.4% −48.81

2023 203 22 10.8% −95.05

2024 160 17 10.6% −6.28

2025 51 10 19.6% +1.38

2026 169 22 13% −40.11

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,987 320 10.7% −569.27

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,956 229 11.7% −380.17

11-13 runners 1,556 134 8.6% −422.78

5-7 runners 1,120 206 18.4% −95.17

14-16 runners 641 44 6.9% −131.48

17+ runners 306 10 3.3% −150.00

2-4 runners 138 39 28.3% +1.24

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Classic (GB) 22 3 7 17 Oct 26

Chindit (IRE) 21 7 11 29 Sep 23

Annes Rocket (IRE) 21 3 7 12 Jul 14

Blue Surf (GB) 20 4 7 16 Apr 16

Sufi (GB) 16 1 6 28 Jul 22

Extrasolar (GB) 15 3 7 19 Sep 15

Waseem Faris (IRE) 14 2 4 1 Oct 20

Saborido (USA) 14 4 5 26 Aug 15

Boyfriend (GB) 13 3 8 14 Oct 26

Calling The Wind (IRE) 12 2 7 3 Sep 24

Oh This Is Us (IRE) 12 3 4 10 May 21

Son (GB) 11 1 1 12 Apr 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 3,163 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

374121312111211800

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Hannon

32% of all rides
11.4% SR · A/E 0.96

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Hannon 1,816 207 11.4% −435.11

Richard Hannon Snr 1,313 181 13.8% −154.88

Amanda Perrett 476 49 10.3% −119.47

Ralph Beckett 226 28 12.4% −58.00

Sir Michael Stoute 174 29 16.7% −40.02

Sylvester Kirk 130 8 6.2% −89.22

Richard Hughes 123 13 10.6% +6.26

Marcus Tregoning 118 13 11% −43.30

Jimmy Fox 66 7 10.6% −17.05

Gary Moore 62 6 9.7% −26.75

Ken Cunningham-Brown 54 6 11.1% +24.00

Mike Murphy 45 4 8.9% −23.12

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

732

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£11.5m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 64 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Pether's Moon (IRE) — Investec Coronation Cup (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2015 · Group 1

£212,663

Elnawin (GB) — DBS 300000 St Leger Yearling Stakes Newmarket · Aug 2008 · Class 2

£160,621

Rougemont (IRE) — 250,000 Tattersalls Millions 3-Y-O Trophy Newmarket · Apr 2012 · Class 2

£135,275

Notable horses

Chindit (IRE) Magic Warrior (GB) Annes Rocket (IRE) Blue Surf (GB) Saborido (USA) Classic (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Acclamation (GB) 11.7% · 21–180

Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 13.9% · 16–115

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,874 runs since 2008 (1,572 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.9% from 845.

Kodiac (GB) 13.8% · 15–109

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,605 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Dark Angel (IRE) 12.1% · 13–107

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 11.7% · 12–103

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,038 runs since 2008 (1,160 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,193.

Oasis Dream (GB) 15.9% · 13–82

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,045 runs since 2008 (1,507 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,594 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,594 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Ascot Classic (GB)T: Richard Hannon Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 16th 28/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Prince Of India (IRE)T: Marco Botti Qatar Racing British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 5th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Theheatison (GB)T: Nick Scholfield Qatar Racing British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 5th 200/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Harry Brown (GB)T: Peter Crate Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 15/2

15 Oct 26 Brighton Curious Minx (GB)T: Richard Hannon bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 5th 9/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Passerine (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Each Way Extra At bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 5/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Boyfriend (GB)T: Richard Hannon Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 10/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Pierpoint (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 6 ran 6th 25/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Radical Bay (GB)T: Amanda Perrett Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 10th 12/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Dark Issue (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 10th 12/1

07 Oct 26 Nottingham Sapphire Steps (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Watch Racing Tv Now Handicap Stakes (Div II) (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 40/1

07 Oct 26 Nottingham Spell Catcher (GB)T: Richard Hannon Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 4th 9/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester King's Code (GB)T: David Evans Paul & Margo Barley Mow Cosgrove Farewell Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 8/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester Lunar Storm (FR)T: Richard Hannon British EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 18/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester Passerine (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Mick & Linda New Inn Enderby Cheers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 4th 12/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Virtue Patience (GB)T: Amanda Perrett Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 3rd 5/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Star Chorus (IRE)T: Mike Murphy Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 1st 15/8J

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lucky Luna (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 9th 10/1

03 Oct 26 Ascot Realign (FR)T: William Haggas Betmgm Challenge Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 3rd 12/1

03 Oct 26 Ascot Prince Of India (IRE)T: Marco Botti John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 2nd 3/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 14 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Pat Dobbs's strike rate?: Pat Dobbs has won 662 of 5,717 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Pat Dobbs do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 30 wins from 157 rides (19.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Pat Dobbs ride most for?: Richard Hannon, with 1,816 rides since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 207 (11.4%).
What is Pat Dobbs's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 5,686 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.