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Trainer profile

Peter Crate

111 runners in the last 5 seasons · 7 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
9–111
Wins / Runs
8.1%
Strike rate
n=111
24 (22%)
Placed
0.76
n=111 · 0.66 incl. margin
−52.42
£1 level stake
n=111 at SP · −47.2%
£89,470
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.76).

Deterministic profile computed from 111 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well in Class 5 (11.5%, n=52). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.84 across 51 runners (9.8% strike, −21.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Sandfrankskipsgo (GB) — 10 wins from 83 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
11.1%+3.0
n=9 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +0.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.1
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
33.3%+25.2
n=3 · A/E 4.42 · £1 +5.50
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −0.67
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−8.1
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 8.1% · n=35
With Tom Queally 15.6% vs 8.1% · n=32
In Class 5 11.5% vs 8.1% · n=52
Off a 15-30-day break 9.8% vs 8.1% · n=51 · A/E 0.84
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 58 5 8.6% −27.00
Good to Firm 20 1 5% −10.00
Good 18 2 11.1% −4.75
Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 4 1 25% +0.33
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 41 4 9.8% −15.00
Sandown 13 2 15.4% +0.83
Windsor 11 0 0% −11.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 11 1 9.1% −6.00
Brighton 9 0 0% −9.00
Lingfield 7 2 28.6% +6.75
Kempton (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Epsom 6 0 0% −6.00
Goodwood 3 0 0% −3.00
Newbury 2 0 0% −2.00
Bath 1 0 0% −1.00
Ascot 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 52 6 11.5% −14.42
Class 6 32 2 6.3% −16.50
Class 4 22 1 4.5% −16.50
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 3 37.5% 1.54 +5.08
2nd–3rd fav 25 3 12% 0.66 −7.50
4th–6th fav 51 3 5.9% 0.65 −23.00
7th+ in betting 27 0 0% 0.00 −27.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Harb (GB)from William Knight · then Tristan Davidson 35 5 11 10 Apr 25
Harry Brown (GB)from David Simcock 34 3 6 15 Oct 26
Talking Rubbish (GB) 11 0 0 29 Apr 24
Skip Happens (GB) 3 0 0 31 Oct 24
Dropskipandump (IRE) 3 0 0 17 Oct 22
All 7 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 7 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 5 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000914002213101114
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderShane Kelly
33% of all rides
8.1% SR · A/E 0.67
RiderRWSR£1
Shane Kelly 37 3 8.1% −21.50
Tom Queally 32 5 15.6% +1.08
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
43
Archived wins
£418k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 9 wins
Taajub (IRE) — SIS Sprint Handicap Ascot · Jul 2012 · Class 2
£28,013
Elna Bright (GB) — 32Red Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Nov 2011 · Class 3
£7,158
Harry Brown (GB) — William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Handicap Lingfield · May 2026 · Class 5
£7,014

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Muhaarar (GB) 14.3% · 5–35
Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,781 runs since 2008 (411 horses).
Harry Angel (IRE) 8.8% · 3–34
Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,747 runs since 2008 (261 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.5% from 331.
Bated Breath (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,128 runs since 2008 (669 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 843.
Advertise (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,539 runs since 2008 (151 horses).
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,145 runs since 2008 (659 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,187.
Due Diligence (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,544 runs since 2008 (193 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 536 · newest first

The latest 50 of 536 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 November 2011 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Jul 26 Epsom Harry Brown (GB)J: Rob Hornby Spillers Spectacular Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 13/2
09 Jul 26 Epsom Downs Harry Brown (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Robert Dyas HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 16/1
29 Jun 26 Windsor Harry Brown (GB)J: Tom Queally Distro Design HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 13th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Peter Crate's strike rate?
Peter Crate has won 9 of 111 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Peter Crate do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 41 runners (9.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Peter Crate in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Peter Crate's Fair A/E?
0.76, from 111 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).